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Nebraska · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Hayes County, NE

19 FEMA disaster declarations (1967-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

19
FEMA declarations
17
Major disasters
1
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Hayes County. Its 19 FEMA declarations are 13% above the Nebraska county mean and exceed the count for 41% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 1%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 1%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
19
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
10
severe storm declarations, the most common hazard here

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 31085 · Hayes County 19 declarations · rank 1880/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-HEAVY · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-MID 19
  • MAJOR-HEAVY 89%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,880
  • PHOTO-FINISH Bartow
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +13%

Nearest declaration peer: Bartow, GA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Nebraska state profile

Hayes County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Hayes County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Hayes County carries 19 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1880 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Hayes County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Hayes County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Hayes County

19 41st percentile higher than 41% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Hayes County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Nebraska avg26/1001.2/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Nebraska county average

What does Hayes County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits at the very bottom of FEMA's National Risk Index nationally, a composite score of 1.2/100 (rated Very Low). Projected losses are minimal, Expected Annual Loss reads Very Low (roughly $1.7M in annualized losses), and the county's exposure is shaped by a Very Low social-vulnerability profile and Very Low community resilience. Even the county's top-rated hazard, Hail, only reaches Relatively Low on FEMA's scale, none of the 18 modeled hazards stand out here. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 8 times per year here, based on 305 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

No paid-claim row for this county appears in the NFIP county table used by PlainHazard. That absence is not evidence that flooding never occurred: the register observes claims under federal flood-insurance policies, not uninsured losses, emergency reports, or every flood outside the program. The FEMA declaration history below is therefore the available federal-action record on this page.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Hayes County's 19 federal records stand 13% above the Nebraska county mean of 16.8. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

65 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Hayes County, NE · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
14/30

19 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.9x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
14/25

19 declarations (1.1x state county average of 17)

Major Disaster Share Very High
22/25

17 of 19 declarations are major disasters (89%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Hayes County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Hayes County

Hayes County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 8. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 9 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 9 8-hazard mean
Hayes County NRI risk profile FIPS 31085 · displayed-hazard mean 9/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

19

Below median

Major Disaster share

89%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

1

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Hayes County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Hail Relatively Low an average of 8 times per year
Drought Relatively Low 91 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 3.7 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 2,030 years
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 8 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 14 times per year
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Cold Wave Very Low an average of 4 times per year
Heat Wave Very Low 4.1 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 4 years
Lightning Very Low an average of 43 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 3,937 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 1 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 10
Flood 4
Biological 2
Hurricane 1
Snowstorm 1
Tornado 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Hayes County's record, 53% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 17 89.5%

of all 19 declarations

Emergency - 2 10.5%

of all 19 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 1
2020 2
2019 1
2015 1
2011 1
2010 2
2008 1
2007 2
2006 1
2005 1
2001 1
1998 1
1994 1
1993 1
1984 1
Show 1 earlier declaration years
1967 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 19 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 19 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4808 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2024-08-20
4521 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-04
3483 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4420 SEVERE WINTER STORM, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-03-21
4225 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-06-25
4014 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-08-12
1924 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2010-07-15
1902 SEVERE STORMS, ICE JAMS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2010-04-21
1770 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-06-20
1714 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-07-24
1674 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2007-01-07
1627 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2006-01-26
3245 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUEES EM Hurricane 2005-09-13
1373 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2001-05-16
1190 SEVERE SNOW STORMS, RAIN, AND STRONG WINDS DR Severe Storm 1997-11-01
1027 SEVERE SNOW AND ICE STORM DR Snowstorm 1994-05-09
998 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1993-07-19
716 TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Tornado 1984-07-03
228 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1967-07-18

Storm Events in Nebraska

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Hayes County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 6,079 0 2 $237.7M
Thunderstorm Wind 4,757 3 19 $228.1M
Drought 1,658 0 0 $0
High Wind 1,647 1 1 $22.1M
Winter Storm 1,155 0 2 $335.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 1.2/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$1.7M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Hail Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Lightning Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Hail

Hail is among the most expensive hazards in the model relative to how little it threatens life. It concentrates on roofs, vehicles and crops, and a single severe storm can generate an insurance loss across a metropolitan area without a single injury.

For Hayes County the two measures on this page point the same way: Hail is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively Low), and Severe Storm declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Hayes County's closest FEMA peer: Fremont County, IA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Hayes County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Hayes County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Hayes County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 19 FEMA declarations, Hayes County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Hayes County?
The most common disaster type in Hayes County is Severe Storm, with 10 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (4), Biological (2), Hurricane (1).
How does Hayes County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Nebraska average?
FEMA lists 19 declaration records for Hayes County. That is 13% above the Nebraska county mean of 16.8. Its count is also 8% below the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Hayes County received?
Hayes County has received 17 major disaster declarations, representing 89% of all 19 disaster declarations.
What was the worst year for disasters in Hayes County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Hayes County was 2007, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1967 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Hayes County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Hayes County, Nebraska has an overall risk score of 1.2 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Very Low and community resilience is Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $1.7M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Hayes County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Hayes County is Hail (risk rating: Relatively Low). Other significant hazards include Drought (Relatively Low) and Strong Wind (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts hail here at an average of 8 times per year, drawn from 305 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Hayes County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Nebraska profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events