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Nebraska · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Lincoln County, NE

20 FEMA disaster declarations (1994-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

20
FEMA declarations
16
Major disasters
49
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Lincoln County. Its 20 FEMA declarations are 19% above the Nebraska county mean and exceed the count for 46% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 49%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 49%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
20
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
78
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 31111 · Lincoln County 20 declarations · rank 1625/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-HEAVY · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 20
  • MAJOR-HEAVY 80%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,625
  • PHOTO-FINISH Monona
  • NRI-LOW 49
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +19%

Nearest declaration peer: Monona, IA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Nebraska state profile

Lincoln County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Lincoln County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Lincoln County carries 20 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1625 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Lincoln County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Lincoln County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Lincoln County

20 46th percentile higher than 46% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Lincoln County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Nebraska avg26/10048.6/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Nebraska county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Lincoln County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $6.8M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Low), while Hail carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Lincoln County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 78 paid claims, totaling $255.4K. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $3.3K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Lincoln County's 20 federal records stand 19% above the Nebraska county mean of 16.8. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 48.6/100 for this county (Relatively Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Relatively Low (roughly $16.9M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Relatively Low) and community resilience (Relatively Low) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Hail stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 7.3 times per year here, based on 276 historical events on record.

64 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Lincoln County, NE · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
14/30

20 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
15/25

20 declarations (1.2x state county average of 17)

Major Disaster Share Very High
20/25

16 of 20 declarations are major disasters (80%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Lincoln County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Lincoln County

Lincoln County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 0, Tornado 25, Wildfire 25, Drought 48, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 28 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 28 8-hazard mean
Lincoln County NRI risk profile FIPS 31111 · displayed-hazard mean 28/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

20

Above median

Major Disaster share

80%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

49

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Lincoln County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Hail Relatively High an average of 7.3 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 16 times per year
Drought Relatively Moderate 89 modeled event-days per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 1,296 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 4.6 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low an average of 1.5 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 2.7 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 4.2 modeled event-days per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.5 times per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 43 times per year
Landslide Very Low an average of 1.1 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,815 years
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 48 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 11
Flood 3
Fire 2
Biological 2
Hurricane 1
Snowstorm 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Lincoln County's record, 55% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 16 80.0%

of all 20 declarations

Emergency - 3 15.0%

of all 20 declarations

Fire Management - 1 5.0%

of all 20 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 2
2024 2
2020 2
2019 1
2015 1
2011 2
2010 1
2009 1
2008 1
2007 2
2006 1
2005 1
2001 1
1998 1
1994 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 20 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 20 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4920 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2026-06-30
5623 MORRILL-COTTONWOOD FIRE FM Fire 2026-03-13
4822 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2024-09-24
4808 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2024-08-20
4521 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-04
3483 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4420 SEVERE WINTER STORM, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-03-21
4225 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-06-25
4013 FLOODING DR Flood 2011-08-12
3323 FLOODING EM Flood 2011-06-18
1924 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2010-07-15
1853 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2009-07-31
1770 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-06-20
1714 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-07-24
1674 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2007-01-07
1627 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2006-01-26
3245 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUEES EM Hurricane 2005-09-13
1373 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2001-05-16
1190 SEVERE SNOW STORMS, RAIN, AND STRONG WINDS DR Severe Storm 1997-11-01
1027 SEVERE SNOW AND ICE STORM DR Snowstorm 1994-05-09

Storm Events in Nebraska

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Lincoln County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 6,079 0 2 $237.7M
Thunderstorm Wind 4,757 3 19 $228.1M
Drought 1,658 0 0 $0
High Wind 1,647 1 1 $22.1M
Winter Storm 1,155 0 2 $335.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

78

Total Paid

$255.4K

Avg Per Claim

$3.3K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 48.6/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$16.9M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Hail Relatively High
Winter Weather Relatively High
Drought Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Hail

Hail is among the most expensive hazards in the model relative to how little it threatens life. It concentrates on roofs, vehicles and crops, and a single severe storm can generate an insurance loss across a metropolitan area without a single injury.

For Lincoln County the two measures on this page point the same way: Hail is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively High), and Severe Storm declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Lincoln County's closest FEMA peer: Brown County, MN

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Lincoln County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Lincoln County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Lincoln County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Lincoln County's NFIP claims file (78 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Lincoln County?
The most common disaster type in Lincoln County is Severe Storm, with 11 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (3), Fire (2), Biological (2).
How does Lincoln County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Nebraska average?
FEMA lists 20 declaration records for Lincoln County. That is 19% above the Nebraska county mean of 16.8. Its count is also 3% below the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Lincoln County received?
Lincoln County has received 16 major disaster declarations, representing 80% of all 20 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Lincoln County filed?
Lincoln County has 78 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $255.4K in payments, with an average of $3.3K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Lincoln County?
No. In Lincoln County, Hail has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $6.8M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Lincoln County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Lincoln County was 2007, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1994 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Lincoln County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Lincoln County, Nebraska has an overall risk score of 48.6 out of 100 (Relatively Low). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively Low, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $16.9M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Lincoln County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Lincoln County is Hail (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Winter Weather (Relatively High) and Drought (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts hail here at an average of 7.3 times per year, drawn from 276 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Lincoln County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Nebraska profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events