Keith County, Nebraska
County storm and disaster record · FIPS 31101 · population 8,319 · 1,062 sq mi
NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 968 records for Keith County, Nebraska from 1950 through June 30, 2026, on 506 days; the most frequent are hail reports (455 records). The deadliest single record is the August 3, 2012 thunderstorm wind: 1 death. FEMA has issued 9 declarations naming the county since 2001, 7 of them for natural hazards; the latest for a natural hazard was “Morrill-Cottonwood Fire” on March 13, 2026.
The record, 1950 to 2026
Storm records filed for the county each year (2026 to June 30, 2026). Before 1996 NOAA recorded only tornadoes (from 1950), thunderstorm wind and hail (from 1955).
- recorded, no damage figure
- under $100,000
- $100,000 or more
- $1 million or more
- $10 million or more, or a death
- $100 million or more, or 10 deaths
- a year's colour: its recorded damage or deaths
- a year with a death
- 1955: wind and hail recorded from 1955
- 1996: all 48 event types from 1996
- Storm records
- 968on 506 days, 1950 to June 30, 2026
- Deaths recorded
- 225 injuries
- Damage, 2025 dollars
- $62Mas filed (scale steps before 1993)
- Tornadoes
- 53strongest EF2
- FEMA declarations
- 9latest 2026
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records through June 30, 2026 (file revision 20260918); damage converted to 2025 dollars with the BLS CPI-U. Search the record at NCEI. BLS consumer price index.
What hazards hit Keith County most?
The most frequent records are hail reports: 455 since 1976. 61% of its hail reports since 1976 fell in June and July. The rank column places the county among Nebraska's counties by days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land over each hazard's complete period.
| Hazard | Records | Days | First, last | Killed | Injured | Damage | Rank in state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hail | 455 | 229 | 1976-2026 | 0 | 1 | $39M | 40 of 93 |
| Severe thunderstorm wind | 264 | 146 | 1977-2026 | 1 | 14 | $4.0M | 48 of 93 |
| Drought | 56 | 55 | 2012-2026 | 0 | 0 | $3.2M | 47 of 93 |
| Tornadoes | 53 | 39 | 1957-2024 | 0 | 1 | $11M | 52 of 93 |
| High wind and dust storms | 52 | 52 | 1996-2026 | 0 | 5 | $147K | 55 of 93 |
| Winter storms | 45 | 45 | 1996-2024 | 0 | 0 | $7K | 87 of 93 |
| Floods | 17 | 14 | 1999-2025 | 1 | 0 | $2.0M | 70 of 93 |
| Extreme cold | 10 | 10 | 2011-2025 | 0 | 0 | – | 83 of 93 |
| Lightning | 6 | 3 | 2001-2012 | 0 | 1 | $402K | 39 of 93 |
| Fog, smoke and funnel clouds | 5 | 4 | 2009-2022 | 0 | 0 | – | 45 of 93 |
| Wildfires | 5 | 5 | 2012-2026 | 0 | 3 | $3.1M | 2 of 93 |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database (county and forecast-zone records attributed to the county; a zone record shows its own totals on each county it covers). Days: dates with at least one record of the hazard in the county. Ranks: days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land (Census Bureau 2024 Gazetteer), since 1950 for tornadoes, 1955 for hail and thunderstorm wind, 1996 for the rest.
How many tornadoes has Keith County had?
NOAA records 53 tornadoes in Keith County from 1957 to 2024, the strongest rated EF2, with 0 deaths and 1 injury recorded in the county. A tornado that crossed a county line is counted in each county it touched, with the length of its path inside the county.
Counted as whole tornadoes rather than county records, the Storm Prediction Center's database holds 55 tornadoes whose track touched Keith County since 1950 (NOAA's county records number 53: they file a crossing tornado once per county segment, and the two databases differ on some tracks); along their whole tracks they killed 0 people.
Map of the strongest tornado tracks in Nebraska.
Every tornado record filed for Keith County (53)
| Date | Place | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-23 | Roscoe, Keith County | EFU 3.29 mi x 25 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2024-05-23 | Brule, Keith County | EF1 2.05 mi x 200 yd | 0 | 0 | $423K |
| 2024-05-23 | Brule, Keith County | EF1 5.15 mi x 430 yd | 0 | 0 | $564K |
| 2024-05-23 | Lake Mc Conaghy, Keith County | EF0 0.12 mi x 25 yd | 0 | 0 | $19K |
| 2024-05-23 | Lake Mc Conaghy, Keith County | EF2 0.3 mi x 200 yd | 0 | 0 | $3.3M |
| 2024-05-23 | Lake Mc Conaghy, Keith County | EF1 0.29 mi x 50 yd | 0 | 0 | $5K |
| 2024-05-23 | Lake Mc Conaghy, Keith County | EF1 0.07 mi x 25 yd | 0 | 0 | $47K |
| 2024-05-23 | Lemoyne, Keith County | EFU 0.05 mi x 25 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2018-06-17 | Sarben, Keith County | EF0 0.1 mi x 10 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2018-06-17 | Brule, Keith County | EF0 0.1 mi x 10 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2009-06-05 | Paxton, Keith County | EF0 0.1 mi x 20 yd | 0 | 0 | $8K |
| 2007-03-28 | Ogallala, Keith County | EF0 0.1 mi x 20 yd | 0 | 0 | $7K |
| 2007-03-28 | Ogallala Airport, Keith County | EF0 0.1 mi x 20 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2007-03-28 | Ogallala, Keith County | EF1 0.69 mi x 20 yd | 0 | 0 | $142K |
| 2007-03-24 | Ogallala, Keith County | EF0 0.1 mi x 10 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2006-06-10 | Ogallala, Keith County | F0 0.1 mi x 10 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2006-06-10 | Roscoe, Keith County | F0 0.2 mi x 20 yd | 0 | 0 | $1K |
| 2005-06-04 | Keystone, Keith County | F0 4 mi x 25 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2004-06-10 | Lemoyne, Keith County | F0 0.5 mi x 20 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2004-06-10 | Lemoyne, Keith County | F0 0.1 mi x 20 yd | 0 | 0 | $16K |
| 2003-07-21 | Lake Mc Conaghy, Keith County | F0 0.1 mi x 10 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 1999-07-19 | Ogallala, Keith County | F1 6 mi x 300 yd | 0 | 0 | $888K |
| 1999-06-27 | Ogallala, Keith County | F0 1 mi x 50 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 1997-08-28 | Ogallala, Keith County | F0 0.1 mi x 20 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 1997-06-25 | Ogallala, Keith County | F0 0.1 mi x 10 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 1996-06-05 | Ogallala, Keith County | F1 2 mi x 200 yd | 0 | 0 | $470K |
| 1994-10-05 | Ogallala, Keith County | F1 0.5 mi x 100 yd | 0 | 0 | $199K |
| 1991-06-17 | Keith County | F1 0.1 mi x 23 yd | 0 | 0 | $3K step |
| 1991-05-16 | Keith County | F0 0.2 mi x 23 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 1990-05-18 | Keith County | F1 1 mi x 50 yd | 0 | 0 | $250K step |
| 1989-06-06 | Keith County | F0 0.1 mi x 30 yd | 0 | 0 | $30 step |
| 1988-04-24 | Keith County | F0 0.4 mi x 70 yd | 0 | 0 | $30 step |
| 1987-07-06 | Keith County | F0 0.1 mi x 20 yd | 0 | 0 | $30 step |
| 1987-06-27 | Keith County | F1 0.1 mi x 10 yd | 0 | 0 | $30 step |
| 1987-06-27 | Keith County | F0 0.1 mi x 10 yd | 0 | 0 | $30 step |
| 1986-04-17 | Keith County | F0 0.1 mi x 17 yd | 0 | 0 | $30 step |
| 1984-07-16 | Keith County | F0 0.1 mi x 17 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 1984-06-16 | Keith County | F0 0.1 mi x 20 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 1983-07-15 | Keith County | F2 0.3 mi x 100 yd | 0 | 0 | $250K step |
| 1978-05-27 | Keith County | 0 | 0 | $250K step | |
| 1978-05-27 | Keith County | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 1977-04-11 | Keith County | 0 | 1 | $25K step | |
| 1976-08-15 | Keith County | F1 0.5 mi x 50 yd | 0 | 0 | $25K step |
| 1976-06-23 | Keith County | F0 0.2 mi x 30 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 1971-10-17 | Keith County | F1 11.5 mi x 300 yd | 0 | 0 | $250K step |
| 1970-06-25 | Keith County | F2 0.3 mi x 33 yd | 0 | 0 | $25K step |
| 1967-06-07 | Keith County | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 1964-05-22 | Keith County | F0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| 1962-05-18 | Keith County | F1 | 0 | 0 | – |
| 1958-07-18 | Keith County | F0 0.1 mi x 33 yd | 0 | 0 | $3K step |
| 1958-07-02 | Keith County | F0 | 0 | 0 | $3K step |
| 1958-06-18 | Keith County | F1 | 0 | 0 | $3K step |
| 1957-07-03 | Keith County | F1 0.8 mi x 33 yd | 0 | 0 | $3K step |
A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, tornado records by county (path length in the county, maximum width); ratings as published: F scale before February 1, 2007, EF scale after. Whole-track figures: NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database (1950-2025). SPC severe weather database.
When was the last damaging storm in Keith County?
The most recent record with damage, injuries or deaths is the June 30, 2026 thunderstorm wind (8 injuries and $1.0 million in damage in 2025 dollars).
Thunderstorm wind gusts between 80 and 90 MPH occurred near Kingsley Dam. Several campers were overturned at Beach Area 5 Campground. Eight minor injuries were reported with none hospitalized. The strong winds led to severe beach erosion between Beach Area 5 and Beach Area 12 Campgrounds. Some campers parked on the shoreline were swallowed up by the lake due to the erosion. Damage reports are from Broadcast Media and Emergency Management.
National Weather Service event narrative, NOAA Storm Events Database (search the full record, event 1357057)
| Date | Record | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Thunderstorm WindKeystone, Keith County | 69 kt wind | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2026-06-30 | Thunderstorm WindKeystone, Keith County | 74 kt wind | 0 | 8 | $1.0M |
| 2026-06-30 | Thunderstorm WindKeystone, Keith County | 61 kt wind | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2026-06-30 | Thunderstorm WindKeystone, Keith County | 53 kt wind | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2026-06-30 | Thunderstorm WindLake Mc Conaghy, Keith County | 59 kt wind | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2026-06-30 | Thunderstorm WindBrule, Keith County | 56 kt wind | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2026-06-30 | Thunderstorm WindLake Mc Conaghy, Keith County | 53 kt wind | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2026-06-30 | Thunderstorm WindKeystone, Keith County | 53 kt wind | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2026-06-30 | Thunderstorm WindLemoyne, Keith County | 55 kt wind | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2026-06-30 | Thunderstorm WindBrule, Keith County | 56 kt wind | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2026-06-30 | Thunderstorm WindBrule, Keith County | 56 kt wind | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2026-06-30 | Thunderstorm WindBrule, Keith County | 53 kt wind | 0 | 0 | – |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database; every record of 2025-2026 is listed, earlier ones when they caused deaths, injuries or $250,000 of damage (2025 dollars), and every tornado.
The deadliest and costliest records
| Date | Record | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-08-03 | Thunderstorm WindLake Mc Conaghy, Keith County Nebraska Game and Parks Commission stated a 36 year old man drowned at 707 pm MST at Lake McConaughy. The man was paddling a raft when it capsized during a thunderstorm. | 50 kt wind | 1 | 0 | – |
| 2002-07-06 | Flash FloodSouth Portion, Keith County A tropical-like system moved into Southwest Nebraska Friday night and Saturday. Thunderstorms formed along a stationary front and persisted over the same area . Total rainfall was from 8 to 11 inches. Flood waters began to inundate hotels and businesses along Interstate 80 in Ogallala at 7 AM MST. One bridge and ... | 1 | 0 | $1.3M | |
| 2026-06-30 | Thunderstorm WindKeystone, Keith County Thunderstorm wind gusts between 80 and 90 MPH occurred near Kingsley Dam. Several campers were overturned at Beach Area 5 Campground. Eight minor injuries were reported with none hospitalized. The strong winds led to severe beach erosion between Beach Area 5 and Beach Area 12 Campgrounds. Some campers parked on the ... | 74 kt wind | 0 | 8 | $1.0M |
| 2026-05-30 | Dust StormKeith County · forecast zone Keith Severe thunderstorm wind gusts up to around 70 MPH produced blowing dust along Interstate 80 in western Keith County. Reduced visibility due to the blowing dust, led to a 16 car pile up on Interstate 80 near mile marker 118. One fatality and 5 injuries were reported in the accident. | 0 | 5 | – | |
| 2012-10-18 | WildfireKeith County · forecast zone Keith A wildfire started about one mile north of Interstate 80 near Paxton that was fanned by high winds. The high winds caused the wildfire to quickly spread southeast, crossing Interstate 80 and then burning for an additional 12 miles southeast into northeast Perkins County. The wildfire reached up to 1.5 miles wide. The ... | 0 | 3 | $1.4M | |
| 2005-07-02 | Thunderstorm WindLake Mc Conaghy, Keith County Thunderstorm outflow winds of approximately 75 mph overturned 5 campers, capsized 2 boats, broke numerous large tree limbs, and caused severe damage to 2 sailboats. There were 3 people injured by the winds. One person was injured when a tree limb fell and cut a woman's leg. Another female was injured when a tree limb ... | 65 kt wind | 0 | 3 | – |
| 2024-07-19 | HailLemoyne, Keith County Fire department reports one injury from 2 inch diameter hail. | 2.00 in hail | 0 | 1 | – |
| 2018-06-24 | Thunderstorm WindLake Mc Conaghy, Keith County Thunderstorm wind gusts estimated at 88 MPH uprooted several trees, snapped tree trunks and brought down several large branches. One branch struck a camper, killing the occupant inside. Several RV trailers were rolled over and one was rolled 5 times, landing in Lake McConaughy. | 77 kt wind | 0 | 1 | $176K |
| Date | Record | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1996-07-25 | HailPaxton, Keith County | 1.75 in hail | 0 | 0 | $20M |
| 1996-06-05 | HailOgallala, Keith County | 2.75 in hail | 0 | 0 | $3.8M |
| 2024-05-23 | TornadoLake Mc Conaghy, Keith County | EF2 0.3 mi x 200 yd | 0 | 0 | $3.3M |
| 1999-06-27 | HailOgallala, Keith County | 1.75 in hail | 0 | 0 | $2.0M |
| 2003-07-21 | HailOgallala, Keith County | 4.00 in hail | 0 | 0 | $1.7M |
| 2012-10-18 | WildfireKeith County · forecast zone Keith | 0 | 3 | $1.4M | |
| 1997-06-25 | HailOgallala, Keith County | 1.00 in hail | 0 | 0 | $1.4M |
| 2002-07-06 | Flash FloodSouth Portion, Keith County | 1 | 0 | $1.3M |
Before 1993 NOAA filed damage by category, not amount, so the list above starts in 1993. The highest category filed here before then (entered as $250K, in the dollars of the day) holds: October 17, 1971 (tornado, Keith County); May 27, 1978 (tornado, Keith County); July 15, 1983 (tornado, Keith County).
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database: deaths and injuries direct and indirect; damage is property plus crops as estimated by the National Weather Service, converted to 2025 dollars.
Is it getting more frequent?
Records per decade for Keith County's most frequent hazards. Counts rose everywhere after 1996, when NOAA began recording every event type, so compare decades within a hazard's complete period only (the shaded cells come before it).
| Hazard | 1950s | 1960s | 1970s | 1980s | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | 2020-26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hail | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 110 | 115 | 148 | 52 |
| Severe thunderstorm wind | 0 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 21 | 38 | 96 | 70 |
| Drought | – | – | – | – | 0 | 0 | 26 | 30 |
| Tornadoes | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 2 | 8 |
| High wind and dust storms | – | – | – | – | 4 | 17 | 18 | 13 |
| Winter storms | – | – | – | – | 9 | 16 | 15 | 5 |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records per calendar decade; zone records from the CZ_TYPE field (Z).
What time of year?
61% of its hail reports since 1976 fell in June and July. The two busiest months are in violet.
The values, month by month
Jan 18 · Feb 22 · Mar 37 · Apr 52 · May 147 · Jun 276 · Jul 224 · Aug 102 · Sep 29 · Oct 27 · Nov 16 · Dec 18 (records).
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records by the month they began.
Federal disaster declarations for Keith County
FEMA's register lists 9 declarations that include Keith County: 6 major disasters, 2 emergencies and one fire management assistance declaration. Most were for severe storm (4) and biological (2).
| Declared | Number | Type | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | FM-5623 | Fire | Morrill-Cottonwood Fire |
| 2024-08-20 | DR-4808 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding |
| 2020-04-04 | DR-4521 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020-03-13 | EM-3483 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2018-06-29 | DR-4375 | Snowstorm | Severe Winter Storm and Straight-Line Winds |
| 2007-08-29 | DR-1721 | Severe Storm | Severe Storms and Flooding |
| 2007-01-07 | DR-1674 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| 2005-09-13 | EM-3245 | Hurricane | Hurricane Katrina Evacuees |
| 2001-05-16 | DR-1373 | Severe Storm | Severe Winter Storms, Flooding and Tornadoes |
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2), declarations through October 2, 2026; one declaration is counted once however many areas it names. OpenFEMA dataset page.
How many floods has Keith County had?
NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 17 flood or flash flood records for Keith County from 1999 to 2025, on 14 days, with 1 death. By flood insurance claims since 1978 (OpenFEMA, as of September 8, 2026), Keith County ranks 2477th of 2,942 U.S. counties.
The National Flood Insurance Program has paid $39,000 on 7 claims filed in Keith County; the most in one year was 2 in 2002. Claims count insured losses only: uninsured flood damage is not in this file.
The values, year by year
1999: 1 · 2002: 2 · 2007: 1 · 2015: 1 · 2016: 1 · 2023: 1; the other years: 0.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims, as of September 8, 2026; claims by year of loss, payments in the dollars of the year paid. OpenFEMA dataset page.
FEMA's modeled risk for Keith County
FEMA's National Risk Index rates Keith County Very Low overall, with an expected annual loss of $6.4 million. These are FEMA's model estimates of future loss from 18 hazards, not a count of what happened; they can differ from the record above.
| Hazard | Risk rating | Expected annual loss | Modeled frequency |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hail | Relatively Moderate | $1.3M | 6.9 a year (modeled) |
| Drought | Relatively Moderate | $821K | 98 modeled event-days a year |
| Lightning | Relatively Moderate | $358K | 44 a year (modeled) |
| Wildfire | Relatively Low | $153K | once in about 1,064 years (modeled) |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Low | $83K | 16 a year (modeled) |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low | $656K | 4.7 a year (modeled) |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Low | $413K | 2.3 a year (modeled) |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | $483K | once in about 2 years (modeled) |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, county table, December 2025 release. FEMA's National Risk Index map.
Counties that share a border with Keith County
Source: U.S. Census Bureau county adjacency file; NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records since 1950. The Census Bureau's adjacency file.
Next
- Tornadoes in NebraskaEvery Nebraska tornado since 1950 and the counties with the most per square mile
- Hail in NebraskaThe state's hail reports, by county, year and month
- The Nebraska recordEvery hazard in the state, its deadliest events and its federal declarations
- FEMA's risk rating for each hazard in Keith CountyThe hazard risk calculator: 18 hazards beside the county's record
- Download Keith County's FEMA declarations (CSV)9 rows: every declaration that named the county, for your own analysis