Keith County, Nebraska

County storm and disaster record · FIPS 31101 · population 8,319 · 1,062 sq mi

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 968 records for Keith County, Nebraska from 1950 through June 30, 2026, on 506 days; the most frequent are hail reports (455 records). The deadliest single record is the August 3, 2012 thunderstorm wind: 1 death. FEMA has issued 9 declarations naming the county since 2001, 7 of them for natural hazards; the latest for a natural hazard was “Morrill-Cottonwood Fire” on March 13, 2026.

The record, 1950 to 2026

Storm records filed for the county each year (2026 to June 30, 2026). Before 1996 NOAA recorded only tornadoes (from 1950), thunderstorm wind and hail (from 1955).

  • recorded, no damage figure
  • under $100,000
  • $100,000 or more
  • $1 million or more
  • $10 million or more, or a death
  • $100 million or more, or 10 deaths
  • a year's colour: its recorded damage or deaths
  • a year with a death
  • 1955: wind and hail recorded from 1955
  • 1996: all 48 event types from 1996
Storm records
968on 506 days, 1950 to June 30, 2026
Deaths recorded
225 injuries
Damage, 2025 dollars
$62Mas filed (scale steps before 1993)
Tornadoes
53strongest EF2
FEMA declarations
9latest 2026

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records through June 30, 2026 (file revision 20260918); damage converted to 2025 dollars with the BLS CPI-U. Search the record at NCEI. BLS consumer price index.

What hazards hit Keith County most?

The most frequent records are hail reports: 455 since 1976. 61% of its hail reports since 1976 fell in June and July. The rank column places the county among Nebraska's counties by days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land over each hazard's complete period.

Keith County: records by hazard, 1950 to June 30, 2026
HazardRecordsDaysFirst, lastKilledInjuredDamageRank in state
Hail 455 229 1976-2026 0 1 $39M 40 of 93
Severe thunderstorm wind 264 146 1977-2026 1 14 $4.0M 48 of 93
Drought 56 55 2012-2026 0 0 $3.2M 47 of 93
Tornadoes 53 39 1957-2024 0 1 $11M 52 of 93
High wind and dust storms 52 52 1996-2026 0 5 $147K 55 of 93
Winter storms 45 45 1996-2024 0 0 $7K 87 of 93
Floods 17 14 1999-2025 1 0 $2.0M 70 of 93
Extreme cold 10 10 2011-2025 0 0 – 83 of 93
Lightning 6 3 2001-2012 0 1 $402K 39 of 93
Fog, smoke and funnel clouds 5 4 2009-2022 0 0 – 45 of 93
Wildfires 5 5 2012-2026 0 3 $3.1M 2 of 93

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database (county and forecast-zone records attributed to the county; a zone record shows its own totals on each county it covers). Days: dates with at least one record of the hazard in the county. Ranks: days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land (Census Bureau 2024 Gazetteer), since 1950 for tornadoes, 1955 for hail and thunderstorm wind, 1996 for the rest.

How many tornadoes has Keith County had?

NOAA records 53 tornadoes in Keith County from 1957 to 2024, the strongest rated EF2, with 0 deaths and 1 injury recorded in the county. A tornado that crossed a county line is counted in each county it touched, with the length of its path inside the county.

Counted as whole tornadoes rather than county records, the Storm Prediction Center's database holds 55 tornadoes whose track touched Keith County since 1950 (NOAA's county records number 53: they file a crossing tornado once per county segment, and the two databases differ on some tracks); along their whole tracks they killed 0 people.

Map of the strongest tornado tracks in Nebraska.

Every tornado record filed for Keith County (53)
Every tornado recorded in Keith County, newest first
DatePlaceCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2024-05-23 Roscoe, Keith County EFU 3.29 mi x 25 yd 0 0 –
2024-05-23 Brule, Keith County EF1 2.05 mi x 200 yd 0 0 $423K
2024-05-23 Brule, Keith County EF1 5.15 mi x 430 yd 0 0 $564K
2024-05-23 Lake Mc Conaghy, Keith County EF0 0.12 mi x 25 yd 0 0 $19K
2024-05-23 Lake Mc Conaghy, Keith County EF2 0.3 mi x 200 yd 0 0 $3.3M
2024-05-23 Lake Mc Conaghy, Keith County EF1 0.29 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $5K
2024-05-23 Lake Mc Conaghy, Keith County EF1 0.07 mi x 25 yd 0 0 $47K
2024-05-23 Lemoyne, Keith County EFU 0.05 mi x 25 yd 0 0 –
2018-06-17 Sarben, Keith County EF0 0.1 mi x 10 yd 0 0 –
2018-06-17 Brule, Keith County EF0 0.1 mi x 10 yd 0 0 –
2009-06-05 Paxton, Keith County EF0 0.1 mi x 20 yd 0 0 $8K
2007-03-28 Ogallala, Keith County EF0 0.1 mi x 20 yd 0 0 $7K
2007-03-28 Ogallala Airport, Keith County EF0 0.1 mi x 20 yd 0 0 –
2007-03-28 Ogallala, Keith County EF1 0.69 mi x 20 yd 0 0 $142K
2007-03-24 Ogallala, Keith County EF0 0.1 mi x 10 yd 0 0 –
2006-06-10 Ogallala, Keith County F0 0.1 mi x 10 yd 0 0 –
2006-06-10 Roscoe, Keith County F0 0.2 mi x 20 yd 0 0 $1K
2005-06-04 Keystone, Keith County F0 4 mi x 25 yd 0 0 –
2004-06-10 Lemoyne, Keith County F0 0.5 mi x 20 yd 0 0 –
2004-06-10 Lemoyne, Keith County F0 0.1 mi x 20 yd 0 0 $16K
2003-07-21 Lake Mc Conaghy, Keith County F0 0.1 mi x 10 yd 0 0 –
1999-07-19 Ogallala, Keith County F1 6 mi x 300 yd 0 0 $888K
1999-06-27 Ogallala, Keith County F0 1 mi x 50 yd 0 0 –
1997-08-28 Ogallala, Keith County F0 0.1 mi x 20 yd 0 0 –
1997-06-25 Ogallala, Keith County F0 0.1 mi x 10 yd 0 0 –
1996-06-05 Ogallala, Keith County F1 2 mi x 200 yd 0 0 $470K
1994-10-05 Ogallala, Keith County F1 0.5 mi x 100 yd 0 0 $199K
1991-06-17 Keith County F1 0.1 mi x 23 yd 0 0 $3K step
1991-05-16 Keith County F0 0.2 mi x 23 yd 0 0 –
1990-05-18 Keith County F1 1 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $250K step
1989-06-06 Keith County F0 0.1 mi x 30 yd 0 0 $30 step
1988-04-24 Keith County F0 0.4 mi x 70 yd 0 0 $30 step
1987-07-06 Keith County F0 0.1 mi x 20 yd 0 0 $30 step
1987-06-27 Keith County F1 0.1 mi x 10 yd 0 0 $30 step
1987-06-27 Keith County F0 0.1 mi x 10 yd 0 0 $30 step
1986-04-17 Keith County F0 0.1 mi x 17 yd 0 0 $30 step
1984-07-16 Keith County F0 0.1 mi x 17 yd 0 0 –
1984-06-16 Keith County F0 0.1 mi x 20 yd 0 0 –
1983-07-15 Keith County F2 0.3 mi x 100 yd 0 0 $250K step
1978-05-27 Keith County 0 0 $250K step
1978-05-27 Keith County 0 0 –
1977-04-11 Keith County 0 1 $25K step
1976-08-15 Keith County F1 0.5 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $25K step
1976-06-23 Keith County F0 0.2 mi x 30 yd 0 0 –
1971-10-17 Keith County F1 11.5 mi x 300 yd 0 0 $250K step
1970-06-25 Keith County F2 0.3 mi x 33 yd 0 0 $25K step
1967-06-07 Keith County 0 0 –
1964-05-22 Keith County F0 0 0 –
1962-05-18 Keith County F1 0 0 –
1958-07-18 Keith County F0 0.1 mi x 33 yd 0 0 $3K step
1958-07-02 Keith County F0 0 0 $3K step
1958-06-18 Keith County F1 0 0 $3K step
1957-07-03 Keith County F1 0.8 mi x 33 yd 0 0 $3K step

A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, tornado records by county (path length in the county, maximum width); ratings as published: F scale before February 1, 2007, EF scale after. Whole-track figures: NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database (1950-2025). SPC severe weather database.

When was the last damaging storm in Keith County?

The most recent record with damage, injuries or deaths is the June 30, 2026 thunderstorm wind (8 injuries and $1.0 million in damage in 2025 dollars).

Thunderstorm wind gusts between 80 and 90 MPH occurred near Kingsley Dam. Several campers were overturned at Beach Area 5 Campground. Eight minor injuries were reported with none hospitalized. The strong winds led to severe beach erosion between Beach Area 5 and Beach Area 12 Campgrounds. Some campers parked on the shoreline were swallowed up by the lake due to the erosion. Damage reports are from Broadcast Media and Emergency Management.
National Weather Service event narrative, NOAA Storm Events Database (search the full record, event 1357057)
The 12 most recent records kept for Keith County
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2026-06-30 Thunderstorm WindKeystone, Keith County 69 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-06-30 Thunderstorm WindKeystone, Keith County 74 kt wind 0 8 $1.0M
2026-06-30 Thunderstorm WindKeystone, Keith County 61 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-06-30 Thunderstorm WindKeystone, Keith County 53 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-06-30 Thunderstorm WindLake Mc Conaghy, Keith County 59 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-06-30 Thunderstorm WindBrule, Keith County 56 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-06-30 Thunderstorm WindLake Mc Conaghy, Keith County 53 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-06-30 Thunderstorm WindKeystone, Keith County 53 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-06-30 Thunderstorm WindLemoyne, Keith County 55 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-06-30 Thunderstorm WindBrule, Keith County 56 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-06-30 Thunderstorm WindBrule, Keith County 56 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-06-30 Thunderstorm WindBrule, Keith County 53 kt wind 0 0 –

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database; every record of 2025-2026 is listed, earlier ones when they caused deaths, injuries or $250,000 of damage (2025 dollars), and every tornado.

The deadliest and costliest records

Records with deaths or injuries in Keith County, most deaths first
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2012-08-03 Thunderstorm WindLake Mc Conaghy, Keith County Nebraska Game and Parks Commission stated a 36 year old man drowned at 707 pm MST at Lake McConaughy. The man was paddling a raft when it capsized during a thunderstorm. 50 kt wind 1 0 –
2002-07-06 Flash FloodSouth Portion, Keith County A tropical-like system moved into Southwest Nebraska Friday night and Saturday. Thunderstorms formed along a stationary front and persisted over the same area . Total rainfall was from 8 to 11 inches. Flood waters began to inundate hotels and businesses along Interstate 80 in Ogallala at 7 AM MST. One bridge and ... 1 0 $1.3M
2026-06-30 Thunderstorm WindKeystone, Keith County Thunderstorm wind gusts between 80 and 90 MPH occurred near Kingsley Dam. Several campers were overturned at Beach Area 5 Campground. Eight minor injuries were reported with none hospitalized. The strong winds led to severe beach erosion between Beach Area 5 and Beach Area 12 Campgrounds. Some campers parked on the ... 74 kt wind 0 8 $1.0M
2026-05-30 Dust StormKeith County · forecast zone Keith Severe thunderstorm wind gusts up to around 70 MPH produced blowing dust along Interstate 80 in western Keith County. Reduced visibility due to the blowing dust, led to a 16 car pile up on Interstate 80 near mile marker 118. One fatality and 5 injuries were reported in the accident. 0 5 –
2012-10-18 WildfireKeith County · forecast zone Keith A wildfire started about one mile north of Interstate 80 near Paxton that was fanned by high winds. The high winds caused the wildfire to quickly spread southeast, crossing Interstate 80 and then burning for an additional 12 miles southeast into northeast Perkins County. The wildfire reached up to 1.5 miles wide. The ... 0 3 $1.4M
2005-07-02 Thunderstorm WindLake Mc Conaghy, Keith County Thunderstorm outflow winds of approximately 75 mph overturned 5 campers, capsized 2 boats, broke numerous large tree limbs, and caused severe damage to 2 sailboats. There were 3 people injured by the winds. One person was injured when a tree limb fell and cut a woman's leg. Another female was injured when a tree limb ... 65 kt wind 0 3 –
2024-07-19 HailLemoyne, Keith County Fire department reports one injury from 2 inch diameter hail. 2.00 in hail 0 1 –
2018-06-24 Thunderstorm WindLake Mc Conaghy, Keith County Thunderstorm wind gusts estimated at 88 MPH uprooted several trees, snapped tree trunks and brought down several large branches. One branch struck a camper, killing the occupant inside. Several RV trailers were rolled over and one was rolled 5 times, landing in Lake McConaughy. 77 kt wind 0 1 $176K
The costliest records in Keith County since 1993, damage in 2025 dollars
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
1996-07-25 HailPaxton, Keith County 1.75 in hail 0 0 $20M
1996-06-05 HailOgallala, Keith County 2.75 in hail 0 0 $3.8M
2024-05-23 TornadoLake Mc Conaghy, Keith County EF2 0.3 mi x 200 yd 0 0 $3.3M
1999-06-27 HailOgallala, Keith County 1.75 in hail 0 0 $2.0M
2003-07-21 HailOgallala, Keith County 4.00 in hail 0 0 $1.7M
2012-10-18 WildfireKeith County · forecast zone Keith 0 3 $1.4M
1997-06-25 HailOgallala, Keith County 1.00 in hail 0 0 $1.4M
2002-07-06 Flash FloodSouth Portion, Keith County 1 0 $1.3M

Before 1993 NOAA filed damage by category, not amount, so the list above starts in 1993. The highest category filed here before then (entered as $250K, in the dollars of the day) holds: October 17, 1971 (tornado, Keith County); May 27, 1978 (tornado, Keith County); July 15, 1983 (tornado, Keith County).

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database: deaths and injuries direct and indirect; damage is property plus crops as estimated by the National Weather Service, converted to 2025 dollars.

Is it getting more frequent?

Records per decade for Keith County's most frequent hazards. Counts rose everywhere after 1996, when NOAA began recording every event type, so compare decades within a hazard's complete period only (the shaded cells come before it).

Keith County: records per decade (the 2020s to June 30, 2026)
Hazard1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020-26
Hail0052511011514852
Severe thunderstorm wind0043521389670
Drought––––002630
Tornadoes437991128
High wind and dust storms––––4171813
Winter storms––––916155

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records per calendar decade; zone records from the CZ_TYPE field (Z).

What time of year?

61% of its hail reports since 1976 fell in June and July. The two busiest months are in violet.

The values, month by month

Jan 18 · Feb 22 · Mar 37 · Apr 52 · May 147 · Jun 276 · Jul 224 · Aug 102 · Sep 29 · Oct 27 · Nov 16 · Dec 18 (records).

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records by the month they began.

Federal disaster declarations for Keith County

FEMA's register lists 9 declarations that include Keith County: 6 major disasters, 2 emergencies and one fire management assistance declaration. Most were for severe storm (4) and biological (2).

Declarations including Keith County, newest first
DeclaredNumberTypeTitle
2026-03-13FM-5623FireMorrill-Cottonwood Fire
2024-08-20DR-4808Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding
2020-04-04DR-4521BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
2020-03-13EM-3483BiologicalCovid-19
2018-06-29DR-4375SnowstormSevere Winter Storm and Straight-Line Winds
2007-08-29DR-1721Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
2007-01-07DR-1674Severe StormSevere Winter Storms
2005-09-13EM-3245HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuees
2001-05-16DR-1373Severe StormSevere Winter Storms, Flooding and Tornadoes

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2), declarations through October 2, 2026; one declaration is counted once however many areas it names. OpenFEMA dataset page.

How many floods has Keith County had?

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 17 flood or flash flood records for Keith County from 1999 to 2025, on 14 days, with 1 death. By flood insurance claims since 1978 (OpenFEMA, as of September 8, 2026), Keith County ranks 2477th of 2,942 U.S. counties.

The National Flood Insurance Program has paid $39,000 on 7 claims filed in Keith County; the most in one year was 2 in 2002. Claims count insured losses only: uninsured flood damage is not in this file.

The values, year by year

1999: 1 · 2002: 2 · 2007: 1 · 2015: 1 · 2016: 1 · 2023: 1; the other years: 0.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims, as of September 8, 2026; claims by year of loss, payments in the dollars of the year paid. OpenFEMA dataset page.

FEMA's modeled risk for Keith County

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Keith County Very Low overall, with an expected annual loss of $6.4 million. These are FEMA's model estimates of future loss from 18 hazards, not a count of what happened; they can differ from the record above.

National Risk Index ratings for Keith County (December 2025 release), by FEMA's rating, then score
HazardRisk ratingExpected annual lossModeled frequency
HailRelatively Moderate$1.3M6.9 a year (modeled)
DroughtRelatively Moderate$821K98 modeled event-days a year
LightningRelatively Moderate$358K44 a year (modeled)
WildfireRelatively Low$153Konce in about 1,064 years (modeled)
Winter WeatherRelatively Low$83K16 a year (modeled)
Cold WaveRelatively Low$656K4.7 a year (modeled)
Strong WindRelatively Low$413K2.3 a year (modeled)
TornadoRelatively Low$483Konce in about 2 years (modeled)

Source: FEMA National Risk Index, county table, December 2025 release. FEMA's National Risk Index map.

Counties that share a border with Keith County

  1. Lincoln County 2,085
  2. Keith County 968
  3. Garden County 672
  4. Perkins County 662
  5. Deuel County 506
  6. McPherson County 427
  7. Arthur County 411

Source: U.S. Census Bureau county adjacency file; NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records since 1950. The Census Bureau's adjacency file.

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