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Missouri · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Henry County, MO

20 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2023), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

20
FEMA declarations
14
Major disasters
53
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Henry County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 20 declarations, more than 46% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 19% below the Missouri county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 47%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 47%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
20
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
1
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 29083 · Henry County 20 declarations · rank 1719/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 20
  • MAJOR-MID 70%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,719
  • PHOTO-FINISH Monona
  • NRI-LOW 53
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -19%

Nearest declaration peer: Monona, IA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Missouri state profile

Henry County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Henry County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Henry County carries 20 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1719 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Henry County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Henry County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Henry County

20 46th percentile higher than 46% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Henry County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Missouri avg51/10052.8/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Missouri county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Henry County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $7.4M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Very High), while Ice Storm carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Henry County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 52.8/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Very Low (roughly $13.6M in annualized losses), and a Relatively High social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively High community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Ice Storm carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 2 years here, based on 35 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 1 claim and $8.4K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Missouri county averages 24.6 federal declaration records, while Henry County has 20. The gap is 19% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

57 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Henry County, MO · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
14/30

20 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
10/25

20 declarations (0.8x state county average of 25)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

14 of 20 declarations are major disasters (70%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Henry County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Henry County

Henry County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 24 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 24 8-hazard mean
Henry County NRI risk profile FIPS 29083 · displayed-hazard mean 24/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

20

Above median

Major Disaster share

70%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

53

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Henry County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Drought Relatively Moderate 12 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 4.7 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 14 modeled event-days per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 6.5 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 9.9 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 5.1 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 2.2 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 676 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 52 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 8 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 876 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 100 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 11
Severe Ice Storm 3
Biological 2
Flood 2
Hurricane 1
Drought 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Henry County's record, 55% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 14 70.0%

of all 20 declarations

Emergency - 6 30.0%

of all 20 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2023 1
2020 3
2019 1
2015 1
2011 2
2009 1
2008 1
2006 1
2005 1
2004 1
2003 1
2002 1
1995 1
1993 1
1987 1
Show 2 earlier declaration years
1976 1
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 20 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 20 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4741 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2023-09-21
4552 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2020-07-09
4490 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-26
3482 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4451 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2019-07-09
4238 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-08-07
1961 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Severe Storm 2011-03-23
3317 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2011-02-03
3303 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2009-01-30
3281 SEVERE WINTER STORMS EM Severe Ice Storm 2007-12-12
1631 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2006-03-16
3232 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1524 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-06-11
1463 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-05-06
1403 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2002-02-06
1054 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, HAIL, FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1995-06-02
995 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1993-07-09
779 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1986-10-14
3017 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-09-24
372 HEAVY RAINS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1973-04-19

Storm Events in Missouri

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Henry County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,391 30 52 $63.4M
Hail 4,411 0 1 $86.1M
Flash Flood 2,399 47 14 $406.6M
Flood 1,810 25 7 $304.6M
Drought 1,033 0 350 $53.6M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

1

Total Paid

$8.4K

Avg Per Claim

$8.4K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 52.8/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$13.6M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Landslide Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Hurricane Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Ice Storm

Ice storms load power lines and tree limbs with accumulating freezing rain until they fail. The characteristic cost is infrastructure and multi-day power loss across a wide area rather than structural damage to buildings, which is why their consequences often outlast the weather that caused them.

Worth noting for Henry County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Ice Storm carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Henry County's closest FEMA peer: Franklin County, PA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Henry County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Henry County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Henry County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 20 FEMA declarations, Henry County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Henry County?
The most common disaster type in Henry County is Severe Storm, with 11 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Ice Storm (3), Biological (2), Flood (2).
How does Henry County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Missouri average?
The typical Missouri county has 24.6 FEMA declaration records; Henry County has 20, or 19% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 3% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Henry County received?
Henry County has received 14 major disaster declarations, representing 70% of all 20 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Henry County filed?
Henry County has 1 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $8.4K in payments, with an average of $8.4K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Henry County?
No. In Henry County, Ice Storm has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $7.4M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Henry County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Henry County was 2020, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2023.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Henry County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Henry County, Missouri has an overall risk score of 52.8 out of 100 (Relatively Low). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively High, while community resilience comes in at Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $13.6M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Henry County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Henry County as of the latest release is Ice Storm (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Drought (Relatively Moderate) and Strong Wind (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts ice storm here at roughly once every 2 years, drawn from 35 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Henry County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Missouri profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events