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Illinois · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Jasper County, IL

9 FEMA disaster declarations (1990-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

9
FEMA declarations
7
Major disasters
20
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Start with the local benchmark for Jasper County: 9 FEMA declaration records are 30% below the Illinois county mean, even though the count is higher than 8% of counties in the national registry. On FEMA's distinct National Risk Index model, which combines expected loss with vulnerability and resilience, the county ranks safer than 20%.

Safer than 20%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
9
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
10
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Jasper County compare?

Jasper County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

9 8th percentile higher than 8% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Jasper County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Illinois county average

0/100100/100Illinois avg55/10020.4/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Illinois county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Jasper County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $4.5M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Very High), while Drought carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Jasper County's hazard record show?

Declaration frequency

The state comparison is the clearest context for Jasper County's moderate federal record. Its 9 declarations sit 30% below the Illinois county mean, with 7 Major Disaster entries among them. 3 records concern Severe Storm, the file's most frequent incident type. Spread across 30 years, the registry rate is 0.3 per year. FEMA reports authorized programs separately from the DR, EM, and FM codes.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county's FEMA National Risk Index composite lands at 20.4/100 (Very Low), a modest reading against the rest of the country. Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $10.0M in annualized losses), tempered or compounded by a Very Low social-vulnerability score and Relatively High community-resilience score. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Drought carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 1.7 modeled event-days per year here, based on 42 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 10 claims and $161.0K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Illinois county averages 12.9 federal declaration records, while Jasper County has 9. The gap is 30% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

48 /100

Historical Activity Index

Moderate historical activity

Jasper County, IL · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Low
7/30

9 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.4x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
9/25

9 declarations (0.7x state county average of 13)

Major Disaster Share Very High
19/25

7 of 9 declarations are major disasters (78%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in Jasper County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

Moderate

vs. Illinois Avg

-30%

State avg: 12.9

vs. National Avg

-57%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.3

Over 30 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Jasper County

Jasper County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 8, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 19 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 19 8-hazard mean
Jasper County NRI risk profile FIPS 17079 · displayed-hazard mean 19/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

9

Low volume

Major Disaster share

78%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

20

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Jasper County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Drought Relatively Moderate 1.7 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 190 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 5 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 4.2 times per year
Heat Wave Very Low 7.9 modeled event-days per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 44 years
Hail Very Low an average of 2.7 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low an average of 1.5 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 6.9 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 1.5 times per year
Lightning Very Low an average of 49 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 79,877 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 3
Biological 2
Tornado 2
Snowstorm 1
Hurricane 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Jasper County's record, 33% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 7 77.8%

of all 9 declarations

Emergency - 2 22.2%

of all 9 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 2
2014 1
2011 1
2008 1
2005 1
2002 1
1996 1
1990 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 9 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 9 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4489 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-26
3435 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4157 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES DR Tornado 2013-11-26
1960 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Snowstorm 2011-03-17
1771 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-06-24
3230 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-07
1416 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Tornado 2002-05-21
1112 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1996-05-06
871 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1990-06-22

Storm Events in Illinois

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Jasper County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 7,218 9 67 $46.0M
Hail 3,195 0 0 $27.1M
Winter Weather 1,363 14 49 $1.8M
Flood 1,221 14 11 $84.3M
Flash Flood 1,133 11 3 $1.1B

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

10

Total Paid

$161.0K

Avg Per Claim

$16.1K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 20.4/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$10.0M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Drought Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Hail Very Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Lightning Very Low
Wildfire Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Drought

Drought is the slowest of the modeled hazards and the least visible: it does its damage to agriculture, water supply and soil over seasons rather than hours, so it rarely produces the kind of single-day damage that drives a disaster declaration. FEMA scores it in event-days per year rather than discrete events for exactly that reason.

Worth noting for Jasper County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Drought carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Jasper County's closest FEMA peer: Sedgwick County, CO

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Jasper County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Jasper County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

FEMA's National Risk Index flags Drought as the top modeled exposure here (Relatively Moderate); the guide explains how that model differs from declaration counts.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Jasper County?
The most common disaster type in Jasper County is Severe Storm, with 3 declarations. Other disaster types include Biological (2), Tornado (2), Snowstorm (1).
How does Jasper County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Illinois average?
The typical Illinois county has 12.9 FEMA declaration records; Jasper County has 9, or 30% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 57% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Jasper County received?
Jasper County has received 7 major disaster declarations, representing 78% of all 9 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Jasper County filed?
Jasper County has 10 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $161.0K in payments, with an average of $16.1K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Jasper County?
No. In Jasper County, Drought has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $4.5M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Jasper County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Jasper County was 2020, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1990 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Jasper County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Jasper County, Illinois has an overall risk score of 20.4 out of 100 (Very Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Very Low; on community resilience, Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $10.0M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Jasper County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Jasper County as of the latest release is Drought (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Earthquake (Relatively Low) and Landslide (Very Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts drought here at 1.7 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 42 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Jasper County

Against a Illinois county mean of 13 declarations, Jasper County, IL records 9, or 30% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as moderate activity.

  • Major Disaster is the largest group (7 of 9) in a declaration history that remains below its state benchmark; frequency here is not a forecast. Illinois overview
  • Nationally the county exceeds 8% of recorded county totals, but its own Illinois benchmark is higher. The ranking keeps those two contexts separate. Most-disaster rankings
  • A short NFIP claims file cannot establish low flood exposure; the data guide explains the limits of each federal measure. Disaster-data guide

A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.