PlainHazard

If you are in immediate danger, call 911.

The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Idaho · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Jerome County, ID

6 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Biological.

6
FEMA declarations
4
Major disasters
21
NRI risk · Very Low
Biological
Top hazard

The verdict

Start with the local benchmark for Jerome County: 6 FEMA declaration records are 28% below the Idaho county mean, even though the count is higher than 3% of counties in the national registry. On FEMA's distinct National Risk Index model, which combines expected loss with vulnerability and resilience, the county ranks safer than 21%.

Safer than 21%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
6
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
1
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

View my watchlist

FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 16053 · Jerome County 6 declarations · rank 3152/3,266

DECL-LIGHT · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-MODERATE · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-LIGHT 6
  • MAJOR-MID 67%
  • RANK-LOWER #3,152
  • PHOTO-FINISH Summit
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-MODERATE Moderate
  • TYPE-LEAD Biological
  • VS-ST-BELOW -28%

Nearest declaration peer: Summit, CO (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Idaho state profile

Jerome County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Jerome County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Jerome County carries 6 FEMA declaration records, ranked 3152 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Jerome County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Jerome County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Jerome County

6 3rd percentile higher than 3% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Jerome County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Idaho avg39/10021.5/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Idaho county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Jerome County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $2.7M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Wildfire carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Jerome County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county's FEMA National Risk Index composite lands at 21.5/100 (Very Low), a modest reading against the rest of the country. Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $5.8M in annualized losses), tempered or compounded by a Relatively High social-vulnerability score and Very Low community-resilience score. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Wildfire carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 141 years here.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 1 claim and $0 paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Idaho county averages 8.3 federal declaration records, while Jerome County has 6. The gap is 28% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

40 /100

Historical Activity Index

Moderate historical activity

Jerome County, ID · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Low
4/30

6 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.3x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
9/25

6 declarations (0.7x state county average of 8)

Major Disaster Share High
17/25

4 of 6 declarations are major disasters (67%)

Hazard Diversity High
10/20

4 different disaster types declared in Jerome County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Jerome County

Jerome County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 48, Drought 8, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 22 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 22 8-hazard mean
Jerome County NRI risk profile FIPS 16053 · displayed-hazard mean 22/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

6

Low volume

Major Disaster share

67%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

21

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Jerome County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Wildfire Relatively Moderate roughly once every 141 years
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 9.8 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 3.6 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 351 years
Volcanic Activity Very Low roughly once every 2,500 years
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 14 years
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 7 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 5 years
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 19 times per year
Drought Very Low 60 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 17 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 18 years
Hail Very Low roughly once every 4 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Biological 2
Flood 2
Hurricane 1
Fire 1

What Biological declarations mean here

Biological is the most frequent declaration type on Jerome County's record, 33% of its declarations. In practice this category is dominated by the COVID-19 declarations of 2020, which were issued across every US state and territory rather than in response to any local hazard event.

This has a direct consequence for how Jerome County's number should be read. Because those declarations reached essentially every county in the country, they raise every county's total by a similar amount and tell you nothing about local hazard exposure. A county whose record is led by Biological declarations is, in most cases, a county with a genuinely quiet weather-hazard history, the pandemic records are simply the largest thing in an otherwise short list.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 4 66.7%

of all 6 declarations

Emergency - 2 33.3%

of all 6 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 2
2017 1
2005 1
2000 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 6 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 6 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4534 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-09
3467 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4310 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2017-04-21
3244 HURRICANE KATRINA EM Hurricane 2005-09-13
1341 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2000-09-01
186 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1964-12-31

Storm Events in Idaho

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Jerome County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Heavy Snow 1,495 1 13 $100.9M
Thunderstorm Wind 1,087 9 26 $3.6M
Winter Storm 492 4 15 $1.0M
High Wind 396 4 6 $10.6M
Winter Weather 297 10 15 $1.7M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

1

Total Paid

$0

Avg Per Claim

$0

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 21.5/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$5.8M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Wildfire Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Volcanic Activity Very Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Avalanche Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Drought Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Hail Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Wildfire

Wildfire risk in the model reflects fuel, terrain, weather and how much development sits in the wildland-urban interface. It is one of the few hazards where the exposure is materially changed by land management and building choices, not only by where the county happens to be.

Worth noting for Jerome County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Wildfire carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Biological. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Jerome County's closest FEMA peer: Sheridan County, MT

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Jerome County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Jerome County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Jerome County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

FEMA's National Risk Index flags Wildfire as the top modeled exposure here (Relatively Moderate); the guide explains how that model differs from declaration counts.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Jerome County?
The most common disaster type in Jerome County is Biological, with 2 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (2), Hurricane (1), Fire (1).
How does Jerome County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Idaho average?
The typical Idaho county has 8.3 FEMA declaration records; Jerome County has 6, or 28% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 71% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Jerome County received?
Jerome County has received 4 major disaster declarations, representing 67% of all 6 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Jerome County filed?
Jerome County has 1 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $0 in payments, with an average of $0 per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Jerome County?
No. In Jerome County, Wildfire has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $2.7M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Jerome County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Jerome County was 2020, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Jerome County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Jerome County, Idaho has an overall risk score of 21.5 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively High and community resilience is Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $5.8M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Jerome County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Jerome County as of the latest release is Wildfire (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Winter Weather (Relatively High) and Heat Wave (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts wildfire here at roughly once every 141 years. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Jerome County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Idaho profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events