Karnes County, Texas

County storm and disaster record · FIPS 48255 · population 14,673 · 748 sq mi

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 290 records for Karnes County, Texas from 1950 through June 30, 2026, on 241 days; the most frequent are floods and flash floods (93 records). The most damaging was the October 17, 1998 flood ($5.5 million in 2025 dollars). FEMA has issued 16 declarations naming the county since 1967, 14 of them for natural hazards; the latest for a natural hazard was “Severe Winter Storms” on February 19, 2021.

The record, 1950 to 2026

Storm records filed for the county each year (2026 to June 30, 2026). Before 1996 NOAA recorded only tornadoes (from 1950), thunderstorm wind and hail (from 1955).

  • recorded, no damage figure
  • under $100,000
  • $100,000 or more
  • $1 million or more
  • $10 million or more, or a death
  • $100 million or more, or 10 deaths
  • a year's colour: its recorded damage or deaths
  • a year with a death
  • 1955: wind and hail recorded from 1955
  • 1996: all 48 event types from 1996
Storm records
290on 241 days, 1950 to June 30, 2026
Deaths recorded
0173 injuries
Damage, 2025 dollars
$16Mas filed (scale steps before 1993)
Tornadoes
22strongest F3
FEMA declarations
16latest 2021

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records through June 30, 2026 (file revision 20260918); damage converted to 2025 dollars with the BLS CPI-U. Search the record at NCEI. BLS consumer price index.

What hazards hit Karnes County most?

The most frequent records are floods and flash floods: 93 since 1996. The rank column places the county among Texas's counties by days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land over each hazard's complete period.

Karnes County: records by hazard, 1950 to June 30, 2026
HazardRecordsDaysFirst, lastKilledInjuredDamageRank in state
Floods 93 75 1996-2026 0 170 $8.2M 29 of 254
Drought 74 74 1996-2026 0 0 – 74 of 254
Hail 44 34 1967-2026 0 0 $240K 228 of 254
Severe thunderstorm wind 30 28 1955-2023 0 0 $403K 220 of 254
Tornadoes 22 20 1955-2012 0 3 $3.1M 159 of 254
Winter storms 7 7 1997-2025 0 0 – 218 of 254
Heat 6 6 2023-2024 0 0 – 128 of 254
Extreme cold 5 5 2021-2024 0 0 – 121 of 254
Fog, smoke and funnel clouds 5 4 1997-2013 0 0 – 59 of 254
Hurricanes and tropical storms 2 2 2003-2017 0 0 $4.0M 53 of 254
Wildfires 2 2 2018-2018 0 0 – 143 of 254

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database (county and forecast-zone records attributed to the county; a zone record shows its own totals on each county it covers). Days: dates with at least one record of the hazard in the county. Ranks: days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land (Census Bureau 2024 Gazetteer), since 1950 for tornadoes, 1955 for hail and thunderstorm wind, 1996 for the rest.

How many tornadoes has Karnes County had?

NOAA records 22 tornadoes in Karnes County from 1955 to 2012, the strongest rated F3, with 0 deaths and 3 injuries recorded in the county. A tornado that crossed a county line is counted in each county it touched, with the length of its path inside the county.

Counted as whole tornadoes rather than county records, the Storm Prediction Center's database holds 22 tornadoes whose track touched Karnes County since 1950 (NOAA's county records number 22, the same count); along their whole tracks they killed 0 people.

The deadliest and strongest tornadoes that touched Karnes County, whole tracks
DateTornadoRatingPathKilled
1966-04-25 00:15, as SPC files itKenedyF30.1 mi0

Map of the strongest tornado tracks in Texas.

Every tornado record filed for Karnes County (22)
Every tornado recorded in Karnes County, newest first
DatePlaceCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2012-03-20 Runge, Karnes County EF0 0.25 mi x 30 yd 0 0 –
2004-11-23 Kenedy, Karnes County F0 0.1 mi x 20 yd 0 0 –
2001-11-15 Karnes City, Karnes County F1 2.5 mi x 200 yd 0 0 $250K
2001-11-15 Karnes City, Karnes County F0 0.1 mi x 20 yd 0 0 –
1994-10-16 Karnes City, Karnes County F0 0.1 mi x 30 yd 0 0 $4K
1988-09-17 Karnes County F0 0.2 mi x 10 yd 0 0 $25K step
1981-08-30 Karnes County F0 0.3 mi x 37 yd 0 0 $25K step
1980-08-09 Karnes County F1 1 mi x 37 yd 0 0 $25K step
1975-05-08 Karnes County F0 0 0 $3K step
1967-09-21 Karnes County 0 0 $3K step
1967-09-20 Karnes County 0 0 $250 step
1967-09-18 Karnes County 0 0 –
1967-05-08 Karnes County F2 8.9 mi x 440 yd 0 0 $3K step
1966-04-25 Karnes County F3 0 3 $250K step
1965-10-18 Karnes County F1 0.2 mi x 17 yd 0 0 –
1965-10-18 Karnes County F1 0.2 mi x 17 yd 0 0 –
1965-05-18 Karnes County F0 1.5 mi x 33 yd 0 0 $250 step
1960-10-15 Karnes County F2 2 mi x 880 yd 0 0 $25K step
1959-07-27 Karnes County F1 4 mi x 83 yd 0 0 $3K step
1958-05-03 Karnes County F0 0 0 –
1957-03-11 Karnes County F0 1 mi x 33 yd 0 0 $30 step
1955-05-18 Karnes County 0 0 –

A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, tornado records by county (path length in the county, maximum width); ratings as published: F scale before February 1, 2007, EF scale after. Whole-track figures: NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database (1950-2025). SPC severe weather database.

When was the last damaging storm in Karnes County?

The most recent record with damage, injuries or deaths is the May 22, 2022 thunderstorm wind ($10,000 in damage in 2025 dollars).

A thunderstorm produced wind gusts estimated at 90 mph that uprooted trees along FM 99 southwest of Karnes City.
National Weather Service event narrative, NOAA Storm Events Database (search the full record, event 1027561)
The 12 most recent records kept for Karnes County
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2026-06-01 DroughtKarnes County · forecast zone Karnes 0 0 –
2026-05-01 FloodKarnes City, Karnes County 0 0 –
2026-05-01 HailKenedy, Karnes County 1.00 in hail 0 0 –
2026-05-01 DroughtKarnes County · forecast zone Karnes 0 0 –
2026-04-01 DroughtKarnes County · forecast zone Karnes 0 0 –
2026-03-01 DroughtKarnes County · forecast zone Karnes 0 0 –
2026-02-01 DroughtKarnes County · forecast zone Karnes 0 0 –
2026-01-01 DroughtKarnes County · forecast zone Karnes 0 0 –
2025-12-01 DroughtKarnes County · forecast zone Karnes 0 0 –
2025-11-01 DroughtKarnes County · forecast zone Karnes 0 0 –
2025-10-01 DroughtKarnes County · forecast zone Karnes 0 0 –
2025-09-30 DroughtKarnes County · forecast zone Karnes 0 0 –

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database; every record of 2025-2026 is listed, earlier ones when they caused deaths, injuries or $250,000 of damage (2025 dollars), and every tornado.

The deadliest and costliest records

Records with deaths or injuries in Karnes County, most deaths first
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
1998-10-18 Flash FloodCountywide, Karnes County The Great October FloodIn advance of a very slow-moving upper level trough of low pressure over West Texas, a cold front drifted slowly southeastward into West Central Texas during the evening of Friday, October 16th. Deep moisture was in place across South Central Texas as the two systems approached, being fed at the ... 0 70 $724K
1998-10-18 Flash FloodCountywide, Karnes County The Great October FloodIn advance of a very slow-moving upper level trough of low pressure over West Texas, a cold front drifted slowly southeastward into West Central Texas during the evening of Friday, October 16th. Deep moisture was in place across South Central Texas as the two systems approached, being fed at the ... 0 50 $362K
1998-10-17 FloodKarnes County · forecast zone Karnes Flooding along the San Antonio River, Cibolo Creek and Geronimo CreekIn Bexar County, the San Antonio River begins just below Olmos Dam where it merges with spring flow. Two new flood tunnels on the San Antonio River and Apache Creek respectively saved downtown San Antonio and homes and businesses below Brackenridge ... 0 50 $5.5M
1966-04-25 TornadoKarnes County F3 0 3 $250K step

A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.

The costliest records in Karnes County since 1993, damage in 2025 dollars
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
1998-10-17 FloodKarnes County · forecast zone Karnes 0 50 $5.5M
2003-07-15 Tropical StormKarnes County · forecast zone Karnes 0 0 $4.0M
1998-10-18 Flash FloodCountywide, Karnes County 0 70 $724K
1998-10-18 Flash FloodCountywide, Karnes County 0 50 $362K
2001-08-30 Flash FloodCountywide, Karnes County 0 0 $333K
2001-11-15 TornadoKarnes City, Karnes County F1 2.5 mi x 200 yd 0 0 $250K
2022-05-22 Thunderstorm WindCoy City, Karnes County 78 kt wind 0 0 $10K
1994-10-16 TornadoKarnes City, Karnes County F0 0.1 mi x 30 yd 0 0 $4K

Before 1993 NOAA filed damage by category, not amount, so the list above starts in 1993. The highest category filed here before then (entered as $250K, in the dollars of the day) holds: April 25, 1966 (tornado, Karnes County).

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database: deaths and injuries direct and indirect; damage is property plus crops as estimated by the National Weather Service, converted to 2025 dollars.

Is it getting more frequent?

Records per decade for Karnes County's most frequent hazards. Counts rose everywhere after 1996, when NOAA began recording every event type, so compare decades within a hazard's complete period only (the shaded cells come before it).

Karnes County: records per decade (the 2020s to June 30, 2026)
Hazard1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020-26
Floods––––1458138
Drought––––1132733
Hail046761146
Severe thunderstorm wind13247166
Tornadoes49131310

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records per calendar decade; zone records from the CZ_TYPE field (Z).

What time of year?

Records by month in Karnes County. The two busiest months are in violet.

The values, month by month

Jan 13 · Feb 18 · Mar 23 · Apr 39 · May 51 · Jun 23 · Jul 31 · Aug 18 · Sep 19 · Oct 22 · Nov 21 · Dec 12 (records).

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records by the month they began.

Federal disaster declarations for Karnes County

FEMA's register lists 16 declarations that include Karnes County: 10 major disasters, 6 emergencies and 0 fire management assistance declarations. Most were for hurricane (6) and severe ice storm (2).

Declarations including Karnes County, newest first
DeclaredNumberTypeTitle
2021-02-19DR-4586Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storms
2021-02-14EM-3554Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storm
2020-03-25DR-4485BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
2020-03-13EM-3458BiologicalCovid-19
2017-08-25DR-4332HurricaneHurricane Harvey
2008-03-14EM-3284FireWildfires
2006-01-11DR-1624FireExtreme Wildfire Threat
2005-09-24DR-1606HurricaneHurricane Rita
2005-09-21EM-3261HurricaneHurricane Rita
2005-09-02EM-3216HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation
2003-07-17DR-1479HurricaneHurricane Claudette
2002-07-04DR-1425FloodSevere Storms and Flooding
1998-10-21DR-1257FloodTx-Flooding 10/18/98
1998-08-26DR-1239Severe StormTropical Storm Charley
1993-09-10EM-3113DroughtExtreme Fire Hazard
1967-09-28DR-232HurricaneHurricane Beulah

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2), declarations through October 2, 2026; one declaration is counted once however many areas it names. OpenFEMA dataset page.

How many floods has Karnes County had?

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 93 flood or flash flood records for Karnes County from 1996 to 2026, on 75 days, with 0 deaths. By flood insurance claims since 1978 (OpenFEMA, as of September 8, 2026), Karnes County ranks 2212th of 2,942 U.S. counties.

Named storms on Karnes County's flood and tropical record
StormBeganRecordsDeaths in the county
Tropical Storm Erin2007-08-1610
Hurricane Claudette2003-07-1510

The National Flood Insurance Program has paid $105,000 on 15 claims filed in Karnes County; the most in one year was 4 in 1981. Claims count insured losses only: uninsured flood damage is not in this file.

The values, year by year

1981: 4 · 1998: 1 · 2002: 2 · 2003: 2 · 2007: 1 · 2009: 1 · 2010: 1 · 2018: 1 · 2020: 2; the other years: 0.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims, as of September 8, 2026; claims by year of loss, payments in the dollars of the year paid. OpenFEMA dataset page.

FEMA's modeled risk for Karnes County

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Karnes County Relatively Low overall, with an expected annual loss of $12.0 million. These are FEMA's model estimates of future loss from 18 hazards, not a count of what happened; they can differ from the record above.

National Risk Index ratings for Karnes County (December 2025 release), by FEMA's rating, then score
HazardRisk ratingExpected annual lossModeled frequency
DroughtRelatively Moderate$811K65 modeled event-days a year
HurricaneRelatively Moderate$2.3Monce in about 10 years (modeled)
HailRelatively Moderate$428K2.1 a year (modeled)
Riverine FloodingRelatively Low$6.1M2.6 a year (modeled)
Heat WaveRelatively Low$381K11 modeled event-days a year
TornadoRelatively Low$1.1Monce in about 3 years (modeled)
Cold WaveRelatively Low$495Konce in about 2 years (modeled)
LightningRelatively Low$107K49 a year (modeled)

Source: FEMA National Risk Index, county table, December 2025 release. FEMA's National Risk Index map.

Counties that share a border with Karnes County

  1. Bee County 452
  2. Live Oak County 444
  3. Atascosa County 386
  4. DeWitt County 372
  5. Wilson County 341
  6. Gonzales County 334
  7. Goliad County 316
  8. Karnes County 290

Source: U.S. Census Bureau county adjacency file; NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records since 1950. The Census Bureau's adjacency file.

Next