Karnes County, Texas
County storm and disaster record · FIPS 48255 · population 14,673 · 748 sq mi
NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 290 records for Karnes County, Texas from 1950 through June 30, 2026, on 241 days; the most frequent are floods and flash floods (93 records). The most damaging was the October 17, 1998 flood ($5.5 million in 2025 dollars). FEMA has issued 16 declarations naming the county since 1967, 14 of them for natural hazards; the latest for a natural hazard was “Severe Winter Storms” on February 19, 2021.
The record, 1950 to 2026
Storm records filed for the county each year (2026 to June 30, 2026). Before 1996 NOAA recorded only tornadoes (from 1950), thunderstorm wind and hail (from 1955).
- recorded, no damage figure
- under $100,000
- $100,000 or more
- $1 million or more
- $10 million or more, or a death
- $100 million or more, or 10 deaths
- a year's colour: its recorded damage or deaths
- a year with a death
- 1955: wind and hail recorded from 1955
- 1996: all 48 event types from 1996
- Storm records
- 290on 241 days, 1950 to June 30, 2026
- Deaths recorded
- 0173 injuries
- Damage, 2025 dollars
- $16Mas filed (scale steps before 1993)
- Tornadoes
- 22strongest F3
- FEMA declarations
- 16latest 2021
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records through June 30, 2026 (file revision 20260918); damage converted to 2025 dollars with the BLS CPI-U. Search the record at NCEI. BLS consumer price index.
What hazards hit Karnes County most?
The most frequent records are floods and flash floods: 93 since 1996. The rank column places the county among Texas's counties by days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land over each hazard's complete period.
| Hazard | Records | Days | First, last | Killed | Injured | Damage | Rank in state |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Floods | 93 | 75 | 1996-2026 | 0 | 170 | $8.2M | 29 of 254 |
| Drought | 74 | 74 | 1996-2026 | 0 | 0 | – | 74 of 254 |
| Hail | 44 | 34 | 1967-2026 | 0 | 0 | $240K | 228 of 254 |
| Severe thunderstorm wind | 30 | 28 | 1955-2023 | 0 | 0 | $403K | 220 of 254 |
| Tornadoes | 22 | 20 | 1955-2012 | 0 | 3 | $3.1M | 159 of 254 |
| Winter storms | 7 | 7 | 1997-2025 | 0 | 0 | – | 218 of 254 |
| Heat | 6 | 6 | 2023-2024 | 0 | 0 | – | 128 of 254 |
| Extreme cold | 5 | 5 | 2021-2024 | 0 | 0 | – | 121 of 254 |
| Fog, smoke and funnel clouds | 5 | 4 | 1997-2013 | 0 | 0 | – | 59 of 254 |
| Hurricanes and tropical storms | 2 | 2 | 2003-2017 | 0 | 0 | $4.0M | 53 of 254 |
| Wildfires | 2 | 2 | 2018-2018 | 0 | 0 | – | 143 of 254 |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database (county and forecast-zone records attributed to the county; a zone record shows its own totals on each county it covers). Days: dates with at least one record of the hazard in the county. Ranks: days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land (Census Bureau 2024 Gazetteer), since 1950 for tornadoes, 1955 for hail and thunderstorm wind, 1996 for the rest.
How many tornadoes has Karnes County had?
NOAA records 22 tornadoes in Karnes County from 1955 to 2012, the strongest rated F3, with 0 deaths and 3 injuries recorded in the county. A tornado that crossed a county line is counted in each county it touched, with the length of its path inside the county.
Counted as whole tornadoes rather than county records, the Storm Prediction Center's database holds 22 tornadoes whose track touched Karnes County since 1950 (NOAA's county records number 22, the same count); along their whole tracks they killed 0 people.
| Date | Tornado | Rating | Path | Killed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1966-04-25 00:15, as SPC files it | Kenedy | F3 | 0.1 mi | 0 |
Map of the strongest tornado tracks in Texas.
Every tornado record filed for Karnes County (22)
| Date | Place | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-03-20 | Runge, Karnes County | EF0 0.25 mi x 30 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2004-11-23 | Kenedy, Karnes County | F0 0.1 mi x 20 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2001-11-15 | Karnes City, Karnes County | F1 2.5 mi x 200 yd | 0 | 0 | $250K |
| 2001-11-15 | Karnes City, Karnes County | F0 0.1 mi x 20 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 1994-10-16 | Karnes City, Karnes County | F0 0.1 mi x 30 yd | 0 | 0 | $4K |
| 1988-09-17 | Karnes County | F0 0.2 mi x 10 yd | 0 | 0 | $25K step |
| 1981-08-30 | Karnes County | F0 0.3 mi x 37 yd | 0 | 0 | $25K step |
| 1980-08-09 | Karnes County | F1 1 mi x 37 yd | 0 | 0 | $25K step |
| 1975-05-08 | Karnes County | F0 | 0 | 0 | $3K step |
| 1967-09-21 | Karnes County | 0 | 0 | $3K step | |
| 1967-09-20 | Karnes County | 0 | 0 | $250 step | |
| 1967-09-18 | Karnes County | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 1967-05-08 | Karnes County | F2 8.9 mi x 440 yd | 0 | 0 | $3K step |
| 1966-04-25 | Karnes County | F3 | 0 | 3 | $250K step |
| 1965-10-18 | Karnes County | F1 0.2 mi x 17 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 1965-10-18 | Karnes County | F1 0.2 mi x 17 yd | 0 | 0 | – |
| 1965-05-18 | Karnes County | F0 1.5 mi x 33 yd | 0 | 0 | $250 step |
| 1960-10-15 | Karnes County | F2 2 mi x 880 yd | 0 | 0 | $25K step |
| 1959-07-27 | Karnes County | F1 4 mi x 83 yd | 0 | 0 | $3K step |
| 1958-05-03 | Karnes County | F0 | 0 | 0 | – |
| 1957-03-11 | Karnes County | F0 1 mi x 33 yd | 0 | 0 | $30 step |
| 1955-05-18 | Karnes County | 0 | 0 | – |
A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, tornado records by county (path length in the county, maximum width); ratings as published: F scale before February 1, 2007, EF scale after. Whole-track figures: NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database (1950-2025). SPC severe weather database.
When was the last damaging storm in Karnes County?
The most recent record with damage, injuries or deaths is the May 22, 2022 thunderstorm wind ($10,000 in damage in 2025 dollars).
A thunderstorm produced wind gusts estimated at 90 mph that uprooted trees along FM 99 southwest of Karnes City.
National Weather Service event narrative, NOAA Storm Events Database (search the full record, event 1027561)
| Date | Record | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | DroughtKarnes County · forecast zone Karnes | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-05-01 | FloodKarnes City, Karnes County | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-05-01 | HailKenedy, Karnes County | 1.00 in hail | 0 | 0 | – |
| 2026-05-01 | DroughtKarnes County · forecast zone Karnes | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-04-01 | DroughtKarnes County · forecast zone Karnes | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-03-01 | DroughtKarnes County · forecast zone Karnes | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-02-01 | DroughtKarnes County · forecast zone Karnes | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2026-01-01 | DroughtKarnes County · forecast zone Karnes | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2025-12-01 | DroughtKarnes County · forecast zone Karnes | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2025-11-01 | DroughtKarnes County · forecast zone Karnes | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2025-10-01 | DroughtKarnes County · forecast zone Karnes | 0 | 0 | – | |
| 2025-09-30 | DroughtKarnes County · forecast zone Karnes | 0 | 0 | – |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database; every record of 2025-2026 is listed, earlier ones when they caused deaths, injuries or $250,000 of damage (2025 dollars), and every tornado.
The deadliest and costliest records
| Date | Record | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1998-10-18 | Flash FloodCountywide, Karnes County The Great October FloodIn advance of a very slow-moving upper level trough of low pressure over West Texas, a cold front drifted slowly southeastward into West Central Texas during the evening of Friday, October 16th. Deep moisture was in place across South Central Texas as the two systems approached, being fed at the ... | 0 | 70 | $724K | |
| 1998-10-18 | Flash FloodCountywide, Karnes County The Great October FloodIn advance of a very slow-moving upper level trough of low pressure over West Texas, a cold front drifted slowly southeastward into West Central Texas during the evening of Friday, October 16th. Deep moisture was in place across South Central Texas as the two systems approached, being fed at the ... | 0 | 50 | $362K | |
| 1998-10-17 | FloodKarnes County · forecast zone Karnes Flooding along the San Antonio River, Cibolo Creek and Geronimo CreekIn Bexar County, the San Antonio River begins just below Olmos Dam where it merges with spring flow. Two new flood tunnels on the San Antonio River and Apache Creek respectively saved downtown San Antonio and homes and businesses below Brackenridge ... | 0 | 50 | $5.5M | |
| 1966-04-25 | TornadoKarnes County | F3 | 0 | 3 | $250K step |
A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.
| Date | Record | Character | Killed | Injured | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1998-10-17 | FloodKarnes County · forecast zone Karnes | 0 | 50 | $5.5M | |
| 2003-07-15 | Tropical StormKarnes County · forecast zone Karnes | 0 | 0 | $4.0M | |
| 1998-10-18 | Flash FloodCountywide, Karnes County | 0 | 70 | $724K | |
| 1998-10-18 | Flash FloodCountywide, Karnes County | 0 | 50 | $362K | |
| 2001-08-30 | Flash FloodCountywide, Karnes County | 0 | 0 | $333K | |
| 2001-11-15 | TornadoKarnes City, Karnes County | F1 2.5 mi x 200 yd | 0 | 0 | $250K |
| 2022-05-22 | Thunderstorm WindCoy City, Karnes County | 78 kt wind | 0 | 0 | $10K |
| 1994-10-16 | TornadoKarnes City, Karnes County | F0 0.1 mi x 30 yd | 0 | 0 | $4K |
Before 1993 NOAA filed damage by category, not amount, so the list above starts in 1993. The highest category filed here before then (entered as $250K, in the dollars of the day) holds: April 25, 1966 (tornado, Karnes County).
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database: deaths and injuries direct and indirect; damage is property plus crops as estimated by the National Weather Service, converted to 2025 dollars.
Is it getting more frequent?
Records per decade for Karnes County's most frequent hazards. Counts rose everywhere after 1996, when NOAA began recording every event type, so compare decades within a hazard's complete period only (the shaded cells come before it).
| Hazard | 1950s | 1960s | 1970s | 1980s | 1990s | 2000s | 2010s | 2020-26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Floods | – | – | – | – | 14 | 58 | 13 | 8 |
| Drought | – | – | – | – | 11 | 3 | 27 | 33 |
| Hail | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 4 | 6 |
| Severe thunderstorm wind | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 6 |
| Tornadoes | 4 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records per calendar decade; zone records from the CZ_TYPE field (Z).
What time of year?
Records by month in Karnes County. The two busiest months are in violet.
The values, month by month
Jan 13 · Feb 18 · Mar 23 · Apr 39 · May 51 · Jun 23 · Jul 31 · Aug 18 · Sep 19 · Oct 22 · Nov 21 · Dec 12 (records).
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records by the month they began.
Federal disaster declarations for Karnes County
FEMA's register lists 16 declarations that include Karnes County: 10 major disasters, 6 emergencies and 0 fire management assistance declarations. Most were for hurricane (6) and severe ice storm (2).
| Declared | Number | Type | Title |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-02-19 | DR-4586 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storms |
| 2021-02-14 | EM-3554 | Severe Ice Storm | Severe Winter Storm |
| 2020-03-25 | DR-4485 | Biological | Covid-19 Pandemic |
| 2020-03-13 | EM-3458 | Biological | Covid-19 |
| 2017-08-25 | DR-4332 | Hurricane | Hurricane Harvey |
| 2008-03-14 | EM-3284 | Fire | Wildfires |
| 2006-01-11 | DR-1624 | Fire | Extreme Wildfire Threat |
| 2005-09-24 | DR-1606 | Hurricane | Hurricane Rita |
| 2005-09-21 | EM-3261 | Hurricane | Hurricane Rita |
| 2005-09-02 | EM-3216 | Hurricane | Hurricane Katrina Evacuation |
| 2003-07-17 | DR-1479 | Hurricane | Hurricane Claudette |
| 2002-07-04 | DR-1425 | Flood | Severe Storms and Flooding |
| 1998-10-21 | DR-1257 | Flood | Tx-Flooding 10/18/98 |
| 1998-08-26 | DR-1239 | Severe Storm | Tropical Storm Charley |
| 1993-09-10 | EM-3113 | Drought | Extreme Fire Hazard |
| 1967-09-28 | DR-232 | Hurricane | Hurricane Beulah |
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2), declarations through October 2, 2026; one declaration is counted once however many areas it names. OpenFEMA dataset page.
How many floods has Karnes County had?
NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 93 flood or flash flood records for Karnes County from 1996 to 2026, on 75 days, with 0 deaths. By flood insurance claims since 1978 (OpenFEMA, as of September 8, 2026), Karnes County ranks 2212th of 2,942 U.S. counties.
| Storm | Began | Records | Deaths in the county |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tropical Storm Erin | 2007-08-16 | 1 | 0 |
| Hurricane Claudette | 2003-07-15 | 1 | 0 |
The National Flood Insurance Program has paid $105,000 on 15 claims filed in Karnes County; the most in one year was 4 in 1981. Claims count insured losses only: uninsured flood damage is not in this file.
The values, year by year
1981: 4 · 1998: 1 · 2002: 2 · 2003: 2 · 2007: 1 · 2009: 1 · 2010: 1 · 2018: 1 · 2020: 2; the other years: 0.
Source: FEMA OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims, as of September 8, 2026; claims by year of loss, payments in the dollars of the year paid. OpenFEMA dataset page.
FEMA's modeled risk for Karnes County
FEMA's National Risk Index rates Karnes County Relatively Low overall, with an expected annual loss of $12.0 million. These are FEMA's model estimates of future loss from 18 hazards, not a count of what happened; they can differ from the record above.
| Hazard | Risk rating | Expected annual loss | Modeled frequency |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drought | Relatively Moderate | $811K | 65 modeled event-days a year |
| Hurricane | Relatively Moderate | $2.3M | once in about 10 years (modeled) |
| Hail | Relatively Moderate | $428K | 2.1 a year (modeled) |
| Riverine Flooding | Relatively Low | $6.1M | 2.6 a year (modeled) |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low | $381K | 11 modeled event-days a year |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | $1.1M | once in about 3 years (modeled) |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Low | $495K | once in about 2 years (modeled) |
| Lightning | Relatively Low | $107K | 49 a year (modeled) |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, county table, December 2025 release. FEMA's National Risk Index map.
Counties that share a border with Karnes County
Source: U.S. Census Bureau county adjacency file; NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records since 1950. The Census Bureau's adjacency file.
Next
- Tornadoes in TexasEvery Texas tornado since 1950 and the counties with the most per square mile
- Floods in TexasThe state's floods and flash floods, by county, year and month
- The Texas recordEvery hazard in the state, its deadliest events and its federal declarations
- FEMA's risk rating for each hazard in Karnes CountyThe hazard risk calculator: 18 hazards beside the county's record
- Download Karnes County's FEMA declarations (CSV)16 rows: every declaration that named the county, for your own analysis