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Texas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Goliad County, TX

21 FEMA disaster declarations (1967-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

21
FEMA declarations
12
Major disasters
23
NRI risk · Very Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Goliad County. Its 21 FEMA declarations are 0% above the Texas county mean and exceed the count for 52% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 23%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 23%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
21
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
16
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 48175 · Goliad County 21 declarations · rank 1569/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 21
  • MAJOR-MID 57%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,569
  • PHOTO-FINISH Montgomery
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +0%

Nearest declaration peer: Montgomery, IN (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Texas state profile

Goliad County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Goliad County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Goliad County carries 21 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1569 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Goliad County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Goliad County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Goliad County

21 Top 48% higher than 52% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Goliad County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Texas avg49/10022.6/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

What does Goliad County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county's FEMA National Risk Index composite lands at 22.6/100 (Very Low), a modest reading against the rest of the country. Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $6.3M in annualized losses), tempered or compounded by a Relatively High social-vulnerability score and Relatively Low community-resilience score. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Hurricane carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 8 years here, based on 44 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 16 claims and $423.7K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Goliad County's 21 federal records stand 0% above the Texas county mean of 20.9. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

60 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Goliad County, TX · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
15/30

21 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
13/25

21 declarations (1.0x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share High
14/25

12 of 21 declarations are major disasters (57%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Goliad County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Goliad County

Goliad County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 48, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 19 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 19 8-hazard mean
Goliad County NRI risk profile FIPS 48175 · displayed-hazard mean 19/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

21

Above median

Major Disaster share

57%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

23

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Goliad County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Hurricane Relatively Moderate roughly once every 8 years
Drought Relatively Low 67 modeled event-days per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 305 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Heat Wave Very Low 8.1 modeled event-days per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 2.7 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low an average of 1 time per year
Hail Very Low an average of 1.3 times per year
Lightning Very Low an average of 53 times per year
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 3 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 10 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 1.2 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 3,106 years
Strong Wind Very Low roughly once every 1 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 11
Flood 3
Severe Ice Storm 2
Biological 2
Fire 1
Severe Storm 1
Drought 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Goliad County's federal record, 52% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 12 57.1%

of all 21 declarations

Emergency - 9 42.9%

of all 21 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 1
2021 2
2020 3
2017 1
2008 2
2007 1
2006 1
2005 3
2003 1
2002 1
1999 1
1998 1
1997 1
1993 1
1967 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 21 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 21 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4798 HURRICANE BERYL DR Hurricane 2024-07-09
4586 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-19
3554 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-14
3530 HURRICANE HANNA EM Hurricane 2020-07-26
4485 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3458 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4332 HURRICANE HARVEY DR Hurricane 2017-08-25
3294 HURRICANE IKE EM Hurricane 2008-09-10
3290 HURRICANE GUSTAV EM Hurricane 2008-08-29
3277 HURRICANE DEAN EM Hurricane 2007-08-18
1624 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-11
1606 HURRICANE RITA DR Hurricane 2005-09-24
3261 HURRICANE RITA EM Hurricane 2005-09-21
3216 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
1479 HURRICANE CLAUDETTE DR Hurricane 2003-07-17
1425 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2002-07-04
1257 TX-FLOODING 10/18/98 DR Flood 1998-10-21
1239 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DR Severe Storm 1998-08-26
1179 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1997-07-07
3113 EXTREME FIRE HAZARD EM Drought 1993-09-10
Show 1 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
232 HURRICANE BEULAH DR Hurricane 1967-09-28

Storm Events in Texas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Goliad County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 14,072 0 15 $7.4B
Thunderstorm Wind 10,293 41 141 $369.9M
Drought 7,032 0 0 $86.0K
Flash Flood 4,728 338 24 $47.6B
Heat 4,079 119 405 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

16

Total Paid

$423.7K

Avg Per Claim

$26.5K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 22.6/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$6.3M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Hurricane Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Hail Very Low
Lightning Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Hurricane

Hurricane exposure in the model bundles the three ways a tropical system does harm, which arrive on different timescales and are insured differently: wind, storm surge on the coast, and rainfall flooding that can reach far inland well after landfall.

For Goliad County the two measures on this page point the same way: Hurricane is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively Moderate), and Hurricane declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Goliad County's closest FEMA peer: Grant County, WV

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Goliad County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Goliad County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Goliad County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 21 FEMA declarations, Goliad County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Goliad County?
The most common disaster type in Goliad County is Hurricane, with 11 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (3), Severe Ice Storm (2), Biological (2).
How does Goliad County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Texas average?
FEMA lists 21 declaration records for Goliad County. That is 0% above the Texas county mean of 20.9. Its count is also 1% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Goliad County received?
Goliad County has received 12 major disaster declarations, representing 57% of all 21 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Goliad County filed?
Goliad County has 16 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $423.7K in payments, with an average of $26.5K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Goliad County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Goliad County was 2005, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1967 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Goliad County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Goliad County, Texas has an overall risk score of 22.6 out of 100 (Very Low). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively High, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $6.3M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Goliad County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Goliad County is Hurricane (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Drought (Relatively Low) and Wildfire (Very Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts hurricane here at roughly once every 8 years, drawn from 44 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Goliad County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Texas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events