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Arkansas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Lafayette County, AR

21 FEMA disaster declarations (1990-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

21
FEMA declarations
15
Major disasters
33
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Lafayette County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 21 declarations, more than 52% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 13% below the Arkansas county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 33%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 33%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
21
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
5
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 05073 · Lafayette County 21 declarations · rank 1490/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 21
  • MAJOR-MID 71%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,490
  • PHOTO-FINISH Montgomery
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -13%

Nearest declaration peer: Montgomery, IN (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Arkansas state profile

Lafayette County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Lafayette County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Lafayette County carries 21 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1490 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Lafayette County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Lafayette County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Lafayette County

21 Top 48% higher than 52% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Lafayette County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Arkansas avg56/10033.2/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Arkansas county average

What does Lafayette County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 33.2/100 for this county (Very Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $6.9M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Very High) and community resilience (Very Low) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Ice Storm stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 1 years here, based on 64 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 5 claims and $101.9K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Arkansas county averages 24.2 federal declaration records, while Lafayette County has 21. The gap is 13% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

62 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Lafayette County, AR · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
15/30

21 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
11/25

21 declarations (0.9x state county average of 24)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

15 of 21 declarations are major disasters (71%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Lafayette County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Lafayette County

Lafayette County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 25, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 30 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 30 8-hazard mean
Lafayette County NRI risk profile FIPS 05073 · displayed-hazard mean 30/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

21

Above median

Major Disaster share

71%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

33

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Lafayette County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Ice Storm Very High roughly once every 1 years
Drought Relatively Moderate 27 modeled event-days per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 5.2 times per year
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 20 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 552 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 19 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 5.4 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 63 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 1,708 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 9 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 3.7 times per year
Cold Wave Very Low roughly once every 1 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 9
Flood 4
Hurricane 2
Biological 2
Severe Ice Storm 2
Winter Storm 1
Snowstorm 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Lafayette County's record, 43% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 15 71.4%

of all 21 declarations

Emergency - 6 28.6%

of all 21 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 2
2020 3
2015 1
2010 2
2009 2
2005 1
2004 1
2001 3
1999 1
1997 1
1994 1
1991 1
1990 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 21 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 21 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3636 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4873 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2025-05-21
3627 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-05
3541 HURRICANE LAURA EM Hurricane 2020-08-27
4518 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-03
3461 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4226 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-06-26
1872 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2010-02-04
1861 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-12-03
1845 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-06-16
1804 TROPICAL STORM IKE DR Severe Storm 2008-10-22
3215 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
1528 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-06-30
1363 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2001-03-13
1354 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2000-12-29
3159 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2000-12-28
1266 AR SEVERE WEATHER 1-21-99 DR Severe Storm 1999-01-23
1176 FLOODING, SEVERE STORMS DR Flood 1997-04-14
1011 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Snowstorm 1994-02-28
907 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1991-05-30
Show 1 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
865 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1990-05-15

Storm Events in Arkansas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Lafayette County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 3,657 10 23 $60.9M
Hail 2,230 0 0 $7.7M
Flash Flood 1,517 12 3 $15.9M
Heat 1,222 2 325 $0
Flood 1,152 9 0 $40.2M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

5

Total Paid

$101.9K

Avg Per Claim

$20.4K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 33.2/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$6.9M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Ice Storm Very High
Drought Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Low
Hurricane Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Ice Storm

Ice storms load power lines and tree limbs with accumulating freezing rain until they fail. The characteristic cost is infrastructure and multi-day power loss across a wide area rather than structural damage to buildings, which is why their consequences often outlast the weather that caused them.

Worth noting for Lafayette County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Ice Storm carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Lafayette County's closest FEMA peer: Yates County, NY

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Lafayette County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Lafayette County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Lafayette County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 21 FEMA declarations, Lafayette County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Lafayette County?
The most common disaster type in Lafayette County is Severe Storm, with 9 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (4), Hurricane (2), Biological (2).
How does Lafayette County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Arkansas average?
The typical Arkansas county has 24.2 FEMA declaration records; Lafayette County has 21, or 13% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 1% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Lafayette County received?
Lafayette County has received 15 major disaster declarations, representing 71% of all 21 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Lafayette County filed?
Lafayette County has 5 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $101.9K in payments, with an average of $20.4K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Lafayette County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Lafayette County was 2001, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1990 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Lafayette County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Lafayette County, Arkansas has an overall risk score of 33.2 out of 100 (Very Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Very High; on community resilience, Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $6.9M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Lafayette County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Lafayette County is Ice Storm (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Drought (Relatively Moderate) and Hail (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts ice storm here at roughly once every 1 years, drawn from 64 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Lafayette County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Arkansas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events