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Arkansas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Miller County, AR

21 FEMA disaster declarations (1968-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

21
FEMA declarations
15
Major disasters
71
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Miller County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 21 declarations, more than 52% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 13% below the Arkansas county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 29%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 29%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
21
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
140
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 05091 · Miller County 21 declarations · rank 1507/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 21
  • MAJOR-MID 71%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,507
  • PHOTO-FINISH Montgomery
  • NRI-LOW 71
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -13%

Nearest declaration peer: Montgomery, IN (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Arkansas state profile

Miller County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Miller County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Miller County carries 21 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1507 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Miller County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Miller County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Miller County

21 Top 48% higher than 52% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Miller County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Arkansas avg56/10070.8/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Arkansas county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Miller County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $5.7M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Low), while Hail carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Miller County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 140 paid claims, totaling $2.7M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $19.4K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Arkansas county averages 24.2 federal declaration records, while Miller County has 21. The gap is 13% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 70.8/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $20.3M in annualized losses), and a Very High social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Hail stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 5.3 times per year here, based on 201 historical events on record.

62 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Miller County, AR · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
15/30

21 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
11/25

21 declarations (0.9x state county average of 24)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

15 of 21 declarations are major disasters (71%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Miller County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Miller County

Miller County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 48, Wildfire 25, Drought 48, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 40 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 40 8-hazard mean
Miller County NRI risk profile FIPS 05091 · displayed-hazard mean 40/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

21

Above median

Major Disaster share

71%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

71

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Miller County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Hail Relatively High an average of 5.3 times per year
Ice Storm Very High roughly once every 1 years
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 5.3 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 19 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 62 times per year
Drought Relatively Moderate 28 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 548 years
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 948 years
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 4.2 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.3 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 40 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 6 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 9
Flood 3
Hurricane 2
Biological 2
Tornado 2
Severe Ice Storm 2
Winter Storm 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Miller County's record, 43% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 15 71.4%

of all 21 declarations

Emergency - 6 28.6%

of all 21 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 2
2020 3
2015 1
2010 1
2009 3
2008 1
2005 1
2001 3
1999 1
1990 1
1983 1
1972 1
1968 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 21 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 21 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3636 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4873 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2025-05-21
3627 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-05
3541 HURRICANE LAURA EM Hurricane 2020-08-27
4518 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-03
3461 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4226 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-06-26
1872 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2010-02-04
1845 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-06-16
1834 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Tornado 2009-04-27
1804 TROPICAL STORM IKE DR Severe Storm 2008-10-22
1751 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-03-26
3215 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
1363 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2001-03-13
1354 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2000-12-29
3159 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2000-12-28
1266 AR SEVERE WEATHER 1-21-99 DR Severe Storm 1999-01-23
865 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1990-05-15
673 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1982-12-13
321 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1972-01-27
Show 1 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
239 TORNADOES, SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Tornado 1968-05-29

Storm Events in Arkansas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Miller County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 3,657 10 23 $60.9M
Hail 2,230 0 0 $7.7M
Flash Flood 1,517 12 3 $15.9M
Heat 1,222 2 325 $0
Flood 1,152 9 0 $40.2M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

140

Total Paid

$2.7M

Avg Per Claim

$19.4K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 70.8/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$20.3M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Hail Relatively High
Ice Storm Very High
Strong Wind Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Wildfire Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Hail

Hail is among the most expensive hazards in the model relative to how little it threatens life. It concentrates on roofs, vehicles and crops, and a single severe storm can generate an insurance loss across a metropolitan area without a single injury.

For Miller County the two measures on this page point the same way: Hail is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively High), and Severe Storm declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Miller County's closest FEMA peer: Bennington County, VT

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Miller County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Miller County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Miller County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Miller County's NFIP claims file (140 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Miller County?
The most common disaster type in Miller County is Severe Storm, with 9 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (3), Hurricane (2), Biological (2).
How does Miller County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Arkansas average?
The typical Arkansas county has 24.2 FEMA declaration records; Miller County has 21, or 13% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 1% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Miller County received?
Miller County has received 15 major disaster declarations, representing 71% of all 21 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Miller County filed?
Miller County has 140 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $2.7M in payments, with an average of $19.4K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Miller County?
No. In Miller County, Hail has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $5.7M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Miller County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Miller County was 2001, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1968 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Miller County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Miller County, Arkansas has an overall risk score of 70.8 out of 100 (Relatively Low). Social vulnerability here rates Very High, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $20.3M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Miller County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Miller County is Hail (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Ice Storm (Very High) and Strong Wind (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts hail here at an average of 5.3 times per year, drawn from 201 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Miller County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Arkansas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events