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Colorado · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Lake County, CO

6 FEMA disaster declarations (2002-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Biological.

6
FEMA declarations
3
Major disasters
6
NRI risk · Very Low
Biological
Top hazard

The verdict

Start with the local benchmark for Lake County: 6 FEMA declaration records are 41% below the Colorado county mean, even though the count is higher than 3% of counties in the national registry. On FEMA's distinct National Risk Index model, which combines expected loss with vulnerability and resilience, the county ranks safer than 6%.

Safer than 6%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
6
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
1
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 08065 · Lake County 6 declarations · rank 3144/3,266

DECL-LIGHT · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-MODERATE · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-LIGHT 6
  • MAJOR-MID 50%
  • RANK-LOWER #3,144
  • PHOTO-FINISH Summit
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-MODERATE Moderate
  • TYPE-LEAD Biological
  • VS-ST-BELOW -41%

Nearest declaration peer: Summit, CO (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Colorado state profile

Lake County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Lake County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Lake County carries 6 FEMA declaration records, ranked 3144 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Lake County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Lake County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Lake County

6 3rd percentile higher than 3% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Lake County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Colorado avg41/1005.7/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Colorado county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Lake County is led by Avalanche (about $2.1M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Lake County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's National Risk Index places this county in the low end of the national distribution, composite score 5.7/100 (Very Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $4.4M in annualized losses). Two modifiers shape how that exposure becomes real-world harm here: social vulnerability (Very Low) and community resilience (Very Low). Among the 18 modeled hazards, Landslide carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 4 years here.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 1 claim and $2.6K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Colorado county averages 10.2 federal declaration records, while Lake County has 6. The gap is 41% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

34 /100

Historical Activity Index

Moderate historical activity

Lake County, CO · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Low
4/30

6 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.3x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
7/25

6 declarations (0.6x state county average of 10)

Major Disaster Share High
13/25

3 of 6 declarations are major disasters (50%)

Hazard Diversity High
10/20

4 different disaster types declared in Lake County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Lake County

Lake County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 8, Drought 0, Heat Wave 0, Winter Storm 8. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 5 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 5 8-hazard mean
Lake County NRI risk profile FIPS 08065 · displayed-hazard mean 5/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

6

Low volume

Major Disaster share

50%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

6

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Lake County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Landslide Relatively Moderate roughly once every 4 years
Avalanche Relatively High roughly once every 8 years
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 55 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 995 years
Volcanic Activity Very Low roughly once every 10,000 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 6,328 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 32 times per year
Hail Very Low an average of 1.1 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 47 years
Cold Wave Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 67 years
Strong Wind Very Low roughly once every 4 years
Drought No Rating 34 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Fire 2
Biological 2
Flood 1
Coastal Storm 1

What Biological declarations mean here

Biological is the most frequent declaration type on Lake County's record, 33% of its declarations. In practice this category is dominated by the COVID-19 declarations of 2020, which were issued across every US state and territory rather than in response to any local hazard event.

This has a direct consequence for how Lake County's number should be read. Because those declarations reached essentially every county in the country, they raise every county's total by a similar amount and tell you nothing about local hazard exposure. A county whose record is led by Biological declarations is, in most cases, a county with a genuinely quiet weather-hazard history, the pandemic records are simply the largest thing in an otherwise short list.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 3 50.0%

of all 6 declarations

Emergency - 2 33.3%

of all 6 declarations

Fire Management - 1 16.7%

of all 6 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2020 2
2013 1
2005 1
2002 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 6 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 6 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
5644 WILLOW FIRE FM Fire 2026-07-05
4498 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-28
3436 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4145 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2013-09-14
3224 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Coastal Storm 2005-09-05
1421 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2002-06-19

Storm Events in Colorado

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Lake County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 4,913 0 100 $2.9B
Winter Weather 2,620 3 23 $22.5K
High Wind 1,992 5 6 $20.9M
Thunderstorm Wind 1,741 2 11 $5.4M
Winter Storm 1,497 0 0 $848.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

1

Total Paid

$2.6K

Avg Per Claim

$2.6K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 5.7/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$4.4M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively Moderate
Avalanche Relatively High
Lightning Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Volcanic Activity Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Hail Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Drought No Rating
Heat Wave No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Landslide

Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.

Worth noting for Lake County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Biological. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Lake County's closest FEMA peer: Oconto County, WI

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Lake County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Lake County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Lake County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

FEMA's National Risk Index flags Landslide as the top modeled exposure here (Relatively Moderate); the guide explains how that model differs from declaration counts.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Lake County?
The most common disaster type in Lake County is Biological, with 2 declarations. Other disaster types include Fire (2), Flood (1), Coastal Storm (1).
How does Lake County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Colorado average?
The typical Colorado county has 10.2 FEMA declaration records; Lake County has 6, or 41% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 71% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Lake County received?
Lake County has received 3 major disaster declarations, representing 50% of all 6 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Lake County filed?
Lake County has 1 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $2.6K in payments, with an average of $2.6K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Lake County?
No. In Lake County, Landslide has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Avalanche leads Expected Annual Loss at about $2.1M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Lake County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Lake County was 2020, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 2002 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Lake County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Lake County, Colorado has an overall risk score of 5.7 out of 100 (Very Low). Social vulnerability here rates Very Low, while community resilience comes in at Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $4.4M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Lake County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Lake County as of the latest release is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Avalanche (Relatively High) and Lightning (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts landslide here at roughly once every 4 years. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Lake County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Colorado profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events