PlainHazard

If you are in immediate danger, call 911.

The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Colorado · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Eagle County, CO

9 FEMA disaster declarations (1977-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Fire.

9
FEMA declarations
3
Major disasters
76
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Fire
Top hazard

The verdict

Start with the local benchmark for Eagle County: 9 FEMA declaration records are 12% below the Colorado county mean, even though the count is higher than 8% of counties in the national registry. On FEMA's distinct National Risk Index model, which combines expected loss with vulnerability and resilience, the county ranks in the riskiest 24%.

Riskiest 24%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
9
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
35
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

View my watchlist

FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 08037 · Eagle County 9 declarations · rank 2991/3,266

DECL-LIGHT · MAJOR-LIGHT · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-MODERATE · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-LIGHT 9
  • MAJOR-LIGHT 33%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,991
  • PHOTO-FINISH Fulton
  • NRI-LOW 76
  • ACT-MODERATE Moderate
  • TYPE-LEAD Fire
  • VS-ST-BELOW -12%

Nearest declaration peer: Fulton, OH (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Colorado state profile

Eagle County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Eagle County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Eagle County carries 9 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2991 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Eagle County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Eagle County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Eagle County

9 8th percentile higher than 8% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Eagle County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Colorado avg41/10076.2/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Colorado county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Eagle County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $38.8M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Very High), while Avalanche carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Eagle County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 76.2/100 (Relatively Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Low (roughly $48.5M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Very Low and community resilience Relatively Low, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Avalanche stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.2 times per year here, based on 37 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 35 claims and $269.5K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Colorado county averages 10.2 federal declaration records, while Eagle County has 9. The gap is 12% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

39 /100

Historical Activity Index

Moderate historical activity

Eagle County, CO · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Low
7/30

9 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.4x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
11/25

9 declarations (0.9x state county average of 10)

Major Disaster Share Moderate
8/25

3 of 9 declarations are major disasters (33%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in Eagle County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Eagle County

Eagle County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 48, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 25, Drought 8, Heat Wave 0, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 18 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 18 8-hazard mean
Eagle County NRI risk profile FIPS 08037 · displayed-hazard mean 18/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

9

Low volume

Major Disaster share

33%

Mixed major share

NRI risk score

76

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Eagle County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Avalanche Very High an average of 1.2 times per year
Landslide Relatively Moderate an average of 1.3 times per year
Lightning Relatively High an average of 56 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 1.1 times per year
Volcanic Activity Very Low roughly once every 10,000 years
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 1,122 years
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 48 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,248 years
Hail Very Low roughly once every 3 years
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 67 years
Drought Very Low 45 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 21 years
Strong Wind Very Low roughly once every 5 years
Cold Wave Very Low roughly once every 23 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Fire 4
Biological 2
Coastal Storm 1
Flood 1
Drought 1

What Fire declarations mean here

Fire is the most frequent declaration type on Eagle County's record, 44% of its declarations. Wildfire is the one hazard here with its own dedicated federal instrument: the Fire Management Assistance Grant, which appears in this data as an FM record. An FMAG can be authorised while a fire is still burning, on a timescale of hours, because its purpose is to reimburse the cost of fighting a fire that threatens to become a major disaster.

That distinction matters when comparing counties. An FM declaration is not a presidential major disaster declaration and does not carry the same assistance programmes, so a fire-heavy county's total is not directly comparable with a hurricane-heavy county's total unless the declaration types are separated, which is why they are listed separately on this page.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Fire Management - 3 33.3%

of all 9 declarations

Major Disaster - 3 33.3%

of all 9 declarations

Emergency - 3 33.3%

of all 9 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 3
2018 1
2005 1
2002 2
1984 1
1977 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 9 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 9 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
5334 GRIZZLY CREEK FIRE FM Fire 2020-08-19
4498 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-28
3436 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
5249 LAKE CHRISTINE FIRE FM Fire 2018-07-04
3224 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Coastal Storm 2005-09-05
2457 CO - PANORAMA FIRE - 07/31/02 FM Fire 2002-07-31
1421 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2002-06-19
719 SEVERE STORMS, MUDSLIDES, LANDSLIDES & FLOODING DR Flood 1984-07-27
3025 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-01-29

Storm Events in Colorado

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Eagle County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 4,913 0 100 $2.9B
Winter Weather 2,620 3 23 $22.5K
High Wind 1,992 5 6 $20.9M
Thunderstorm Wind 1,741 2 11 $5.4M
Winter Storm 1,497 0 0 $848.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

35

Total Paid

$269.5K

Avg Per Claim

$7.7K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 76.2/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$48.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Avalanche Very High
Landslide Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively High
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Volcanic Activity Very Low
Wildfire Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Very Low
Hail Very Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Drought Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Heat Wave No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Avalanche

Avalanche is the most geographically restricted hazard in the model, limited to steep terrain holding seasonal snow. Its exposure concentrates on mountain roads, rail corridors and backcountry recreation rather than on the built environment generally.

Worth noting for Eagle County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Avalanche carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Fire. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Eagle County's closest FEMA peer: Wilson County, NC

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Eagle County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Eagle County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Eagle County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

FEMA's National Risk Index flags Avalanche as the top modeled exposure here (Very High); the guide explains how that model differs from declaration counts.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Eagle County?
The most common disaster type in Eagle County is Fire, with 4 declarations. Other disaster types include Biological (2), Coastal Storm (1), Flood (1).
How does Eagle County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Colorado average?
The typical Colorado county has 10.2 FEMA declaration records; Eagle County has 9, or 12% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 57% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Eagle County received?
Eagle County has received 3 major disaster declarations, representing 33% of all 9 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Eagle County filed?
Eagle County has 35 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $269.5K in payments, with an average of $7.7K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Eagle County?
No. In Eagle County, Avalanche has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $38.8M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Eagle County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Eagle County was 2020, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1977 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Eagle County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Eagle County, Colorado has an overall risk score of 76.2 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Very Low; on community resilience, Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $48.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Eagle County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Eagle County as of the latest release is Avalanche (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Landslide (Relatively Moderate) and Lightning (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts avalanche here at an average of 1.2 times per year, drawn from 37 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Eagle County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Colorado profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events