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Colorado · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Garfield County, CO

12 FEMA disaster declarations (1977-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Fire.

12
FEMA declarations
3
Major disasters
65
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Fire
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Garfield County. Its 12 FEMA declarations are 18% above the Colorado county mean and exceed the count for 14% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 35%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 35%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
12
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
30
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 08045 · Garfield County 12 declarations · rank 2779/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-LIGHT · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-MID 12
  • MAJOR-LIGHT 25%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,779
  • PHOTO-FINISH Johnson
  • NRI-LOW 65
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Fire
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +18%

Nearest declaration peer: Johnson, KS (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Colorado state profile

Garfield County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Garfield County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Garfield County carries 12 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2779 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Garfield County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Garfield County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Garfield County

12 14th percentile higher than 14% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Garfield County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Colorado avg41/10064.5/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Colorado county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Garfield County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $21.5M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Garfield County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 64.5/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $29.6M in annualized losses), and a Very Low social-vulnerability profile combined with Very Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Landslide stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 3.9 times per year here.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 30 claims and $93.7K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Garfield County's 12 federal records stand 18% above the Colorado county mean of 10.2. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

43 /100

Historical Activity Index

Moderate historical activity

Garfield County, CO · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
9/30

12 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.6x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
15/25

12 declarations (1.2x state county average of 10)

Major Disaster Share Low
6/25

3 of 12 declarations are major disasters (25%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in Garfield County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Garfield County

Garfield County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 48, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 48, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 8. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 21 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 21 8-hazard mean
Garfield County NRI risk profile FIPS 08045 · displayed-hazard mean 21/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

12

Low volume

Major Disaster share

25%

Mixed major share

NRI risk score

65

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Garfield County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Landslide Relatively High an average of 3.9 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Moderate roughly once every 490 years
Avalanche Relatively High an average of 1.3 times per year
Lightning Relatively High an average of 56 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 1.7 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 914 years
Volcanic Activity Very Low roughly once every 10,000 years
Drought Relatively Low 67 modeled event-days per year
Heat Wave Very Low 0 modeled event-days per year
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 67 years
Cold Wave Very Low roughly once every 21 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 35 times per year
Strong Wind Very Low roughly once every 4 years
Hail Very Low roughly once every 8 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 12 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Fire 7
Biological 2
Coastal Storm 1
Flood 1
Drought 1

What Fire declarations mean here

Fire is the most frequent declaration type on Garfield County's record, 58% of its declarations. Wildfire is the one hazard here with its own dedicated federal instrument: the Fire Management Assistance Grant, which appears in this data as an FM record. An FMAG can be authorised while a fire is still burning, on a timescale of hours, because its purpose is to reimburse the cost of fighting a fire that threatens to become a major disaster.

That distinction matters when comparing counties. An FM declaration is not a presidential major disaster declaration and does not carry the same assistance programmes, so a fire-heavy county's total is not directly comparable with a hurricane-heavy county's total unless the declaration types are separated, which is why they are listed separately on this page.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Fire Management - 6 50.0%

of all 12 declarations

Major Disaster - 3 25.0%

of all 12 declarations

Emergency - 3 25.0%

of all 12 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 4
2007 1
2006 1
2005 1
2002 3
1984 1
1977 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 12 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 12 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
5334 GRIZZLY CREEK FIRE FM Fire 2020-08-19
5335 PINE GULCH FIRE FM Fire 2020-08-19
4498 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-28
3436 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
2698 NEWCASTLE FIRE FM Fire 2007-06-19
2672 RED APPLE FIRE FM Fire 2006-09-01
3224 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Coastal Storm 2005-09-05
2457 CO - PANORAMA FIRE - 07/31/02 FM Fire 2002-07-31
1421 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2002-06-19
2419 COAL SEAM FIRE FM Fire 2002-06-08
719 SEVERE STORMS, MUDSLIDES, LANDSLIDES & FLOODING DR Flood 1984-07-27
3025 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-01-29

Storm Events in Colorado

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Garfield County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 4,913 0 100 $2.9B
Winter Weather 2,620 3 23 $22.5K
High Wind 1,992 5 6 $20.9M
Thunderstorm Wind 1,741 2 11 $5.4M
Winter Storm 1,497 0 0 $848.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

30

Total Paid

$93.7K

Avg Per Claim

$3.1K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 64.5/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$29.6M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively High
Wildfire Relatively Moderate
Avalanche Relatively High
Lightning Relatively High
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Volcanic Activity Very Low
Drought Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Hail Very Low
Tornado Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Landslide

Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.

Worth noting for Garfield County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Fire. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Garfield County's closest FEMA peer: Jones County, NC

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Garfield County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Garfield County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Garfield County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 12 FEMA declarations, Garfield County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Garfield County?
The most common disaster type in Garfield County is Fire, with 7 declarations. Other disaster types include Biological (2), Coastal Storm (1), Flood (1).
How does Garfield County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Colorado average?
FEMA lists 12 declaration records for Garfield County. That is 18% above the Colorado county mean of 10.2. Its count is also 42% below the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Garfield County received?
Garfield County has received 3 major disaster declarations, representing 25% of all 12 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Garfield County filed?
Garfield County has 30 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $93.7K in payments, with an average of $3.1K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Garfield County?
No. In Garfield County, Landslide has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $21.5M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Garfield County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Garfield County was 2020, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1977 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Garfield County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Garfield County, Colorado has an overall risk score of 64.5 out of 100 (Relatively Low). Social vulnerability here rates Very Low, while community resilience comes in at Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $29.6M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Garfield County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Garfield County as of the latest release is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Wildfire (Relatively Moderate) and Avalanche (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts landslide here at an average of 3.9 times per year. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Garfield County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Colorado profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events