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Nebraska · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Lancaster County, NE

16 FEMA disaster declarations (1967-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

16
FEMA declarations
14
Major disasters
91
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Lancaster County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 16 declarations, more than 27% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 5% below the Nebraska county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 9%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 9%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
16
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
313
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 31109 · Lancaster County 16 declarations · rank 2297/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-HEAVY · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-MID · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 16
  • MAJOR-HEAVY 88%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,297
  • PHOTO-FINISH Greene
  • NRI-MID 91
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -5%

Nearest declaration peer: Greene, GA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Nebraska state profile

Lancaster County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Lancaster County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Lancaster County carries 16 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2297 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Lancaster County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Lancaster County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Lancaster County

16 27th percentile higher than 27% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Lancaster County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Nebraska avg26/10090.7/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Nebraska county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Lancaster County is led by Tornado (about $42.2M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Very High), while Strong Wind carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Lancaster County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 313 paid claims, totaling $3.0M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $9.6K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Nebraska county averages 16.8 federal declaration records, while Lancaster County has 16. The gap is 5% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 90.7/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $115.4M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Very Low and community resilience Very High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Strong Wind stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 4.5 times per year here, based on 171 historical events on record.

59 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Lancaster County, NE · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
12/30

16 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.8x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

16 declarations (1.0x state county average of 17)

Major Disaster Share Very High
22/25

14 of 16 declarations are major disasters (88%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in Lancaster County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Lancaster County

Lancaster County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 48, Hurricane 0, Tornado 70, Wildfire 48, Drought 48, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 42 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 42 8-hazard mean
Lancaster County NRI risk profile FIPS 31109 · displayed-hazard mean 42/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

16

Below median

Major Disaster share

88%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

91

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Lancaster County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Strong Wind Very High an average of 4.5 times per year
Hail Relatively High an average of 7.8 times per year
Tornado Relatively High roughly once every 1 years
Winter Weather Very High an average of 14 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Moderate roughly once every 659 years
Lightning Relatively High an average of 46 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively High roughly once every 1 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 1.4 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 3.8 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 8.3 modeled event-days per year
Drought Relatively Moderate 17 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 7 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,815 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 7
Flood 5
Biological 2
Winter Storm 1
Hurricane 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Lancaster County's record, 44% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 14 87.5%

of all 16 declarations

Emergency - 2 12.5%

of all 16 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 2
2020 2
2019 1
2015 1
2010 2
2008 1
2005 1
2004 1
1998 1
1993 1
1974 1
1967 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 16 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 16 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4896 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2025-10-22
4868 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Winter Storm 2025-05-21
4838 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2024-10-21
4521 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-04
3483 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4420 SEVERE WINTER STORM, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-03-21
4225 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-06-25
1902 SEVERE STORMS, ICE JAMS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2010-04-21
1878 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND SNOWSTORM DR Severe Storm 2010-02-25
1770 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-06-20
3245 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUEES EM Hurricane 2005-09-13
1517 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-05-25
1190 SEVERE SNOW STORMS, RAIN, AND STRONG WINDS DR Severe Storm 1997-11-01
998 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1993-07-19
406 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-10-20
228 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1967-07-18

Storm Events in Nebraska

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Lancaster County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 6,079 0 2 $237.7M
Thunderstorm Wind 4,757 3 19 $228.1M
Drought 1,658 0 0 $0
High Wind 1,647 1 1 $22.1M
Winter Storm 1,155 0 2 $335.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

313

Total Paid

$3.0M

Avg Per Claim

$9.6K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 90.7/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$115.4M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Strong Wind Very High
Hail Relatively High
Tornado Relatively High
Winter Weather Very High
Wildfire Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively High
Ice Storm Relatively High
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Moderate
Landslide Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Hurricane No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Strong Wind

Strong Wind covers damaging non-thunderstorm, non-tornadic wind, the kind produced by steep pressure gradients and downslope events. It is a broad, frequent, low-drama hazard: roofs, signage, power lines and high-profile vehicles, spread across a wide area rather than concentrated on a path.

For Lancaster County the two measures on this page point the same way: Strong Wind is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Very High), and Severe Storm declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Lancaster County's closest FEMA peer: Boulder County, CO

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Lancaster County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Lancaster County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Lancaster County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Lancaster County's NFIP claims file (313 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Lancaster County?
The most common disaster type in Lancaster County is Severe Storm, with 7 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (5), Biological (2), Winter Storm (1).
How does Lancaster County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Nebraska average?
The typical Nebraska county has 16.8 FEMA declaration records; Lancaster County has 16, or 5% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 23% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Lancaster County received?
Lancaster County has received 14 major disaster declarations, representing 88% of all 16 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Lancaster County filed?
Lancaster County has 313 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $3.0M in payments, with an average of $9.6K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Lancaster County?
No. In Lancaster County, Strong Wind has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Tornado leads Expected Annual Loss at about $42.2M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Lancaster County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Lancaster County was 2010, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1967 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Lancaster County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Lancaster County, Nebraska has an overall risk score of 90.7 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). On social vulnerability the county rates Very Low; on community resilience, Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $115.4M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Lancaster County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Lancaster County is Strong Wind (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Hail (Relatively High) and Tornado (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts strong wind here at an average of 4.5 times per year, drawn from 171 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Lancaster County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Nebraska profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events