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Tennessee · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Lawrence County, TN

25 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

25
FEMA declarations
20
Major disasters
70
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Lawrence County. Its 25 FEMA declarations are 17% above the Tennessee county mean and exceed the count for 71% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 30%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 30%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
25
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
35
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 47099 · Lawrence County 25 declarations · rank 882/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-HEAVY · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 25
  • MAJOR-HEAVY 80%
  • RANK-LOWER #882
  • PHOTO-FINISH Jefferson
  • NRI-LOW 70
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +17%

Nearest declaration peer: Jefferson, AR (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Tennessee state profile

Lawrence County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Lawrence County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Lawrence County carries 25 FEMA declaration records, ranked 882 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Lawrence County ranks in the national declaration registry

Lawrence County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Lawrence County

25 Top 29% higher than 71% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Lawrence County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Tennessee avg53/10069.7/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Tennessee county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Lawrence County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $6.4M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Tornado carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Lawrence County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 69.7/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $22.3M in annualized losses), and a Relatively High social-vulnerability profile combined with Very Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Tornado stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 2 years here, based on 37 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 35 claims and $715.1K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Lawrence County's 25 federal records stand 17% above the Tennessee county mean of 21.4. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

73 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Lawrence County, TN · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
18/30

25 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.2x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
15/25

25 declarations (1.2x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share Very High
20/25

20 of 25 declarations are major disasters (80%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Lawrence County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Lawrence County

Lawrence County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 70, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 29 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 29 8-hazard mean
Lawrence County NRI risk profile FIPS 47099 · displayed-hazard mean 29/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

25

High volume

Major Disaster share

80%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

70

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Lawrence County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Tornado Relatively High roughly once every 2 years
Lightning Relatively High an average of 62 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 282 years
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 1.2 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 5.8 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 3.3 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 4.6 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 5.4 modeled event-days per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 35 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Drought Relatively Low 16 modeled event-days per year
Hail Very Low an average of 4 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 6,275 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 14
Flood 3
Winter Storm 2
Biological 2
Severe Ice Storm 1
Hurricane 1
Tornado 1
Snowstorm 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Lawrence County's record, 56% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 20 80.0%

of all 25 declarations

Emergency - 5 20.0%

of all 25 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 2
2025 1
2023 1
2020 3
2019 1
2015 1
2014 1
2011 1
2010 1
2005 1
2003 1
2002 1
1999 3
1998 2
1995 1
Show 4 earlier declaration years
1994 1
1993 1
1991 1
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 25 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 25 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4898 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Winter Storm 2026-02-06
3635 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
3625 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-02
4712 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADO DR Severe Storm 2023-05-17
4550 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2020-07-09
4514 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-02
3473 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4427 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2019-04-17
4211 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Ice Storm 2015-04-02
4189 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2014-08-13
1974 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND ASSOCIATED FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-01
1909 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2010-05-04
3217 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1464 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-05-08
1408 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-04-05
1275 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1999-05-12
1262 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND HIGH WINDS DR Severe Storm 1999-01-19
1260 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 1999-01-15
1235 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-07-23
1215 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-04-20
Show 5 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1057 TORNADOES DR Tornado 1995-06-14
1010 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM,FLASH FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1994-02-28
3095 SEVERE SNOWFALL, WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-14
910 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1991-06-21
366 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-03-21

Storm Events in Tennessee

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Lawrence County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,558 22 58 $107.0M
Hail 1,690 0 0 $545.5K
Heat 1,343 9 15 $0
Flash Flood 1,264 55 3 $334.4M
Winter Weather 1,088 5 0 $261.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

35

Total Paid

$715.1K

Avg Per Claim

$20.4K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 69.7/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$22.3M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Tornado Relatively High
Lightning Relatively High
Earthquake Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Drought Relatively Low
Hail Very Low
Wildfire Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Tornado

Tornado exposure is the most spatially concentrated in the model: total destruction along a narrow corridor with intact property either side. County-level averages therefore understate severity badly for anyone actually in the path, and overstate it for everyone else.

For Lawrence County the two measures on this page point the same way: Tornado is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively High), and Severe Storm declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Lawrence County's closest FEMA peer: Traverse County, MN

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Lawrence County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Lawrence County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Lawrence County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 25 FEMA declarations, Lawrence County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Lawrence County?
The most common disaster type in Lawrence County is Severe Storm, with 14 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (3), Winter Storm (2), Biological (2).
How does Lawrence County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Tennessee average?
FEMA lists 25 declaration records for Lawrence County. That is 17% above the Tennessee county mean of 21.4. Its count is also 21% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Lawrence County received?
Lawrence County has received 20 major disaster declarations, representing 80% of all 25 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Lawrence County filed?
Lawrence County has 35 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $715.1K in payments, with an average of $20.4K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Lawrence County?
No. In Lawrence County, Tornado has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $6.4M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Lawrence County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Lawrence County was 1999, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Lawrence County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Lawrence County, Tennessee has an overall risk score of 69.7 out of 100 (Relatively Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively High and community resilience is Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $22.3M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Lawrence County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Lawrence County is Tornado (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Lightning (Relatively High) and Earthquake (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts tornado here at roughly once every 2 years, drawn from 37 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Lawrence County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Tennessee profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events