PlainHazard

If you are in immediate danger, call 911.

The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

California · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Marin County, CA

26 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2023), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

26
FEMA declarations
22
Major disasters
96
NRI risk · Relatively High
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Marin County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 26 declarations, more than 75% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 9% below the California county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 4%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 4%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively High
FEMA National Risk Index rating
26
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
3,301
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

View my watchlist

FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 06041 · Marin County 26 declarations · rank 786/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-HEAVY · RANK-MID · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-HIGH · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 26
  • MAJOR-HEAVY 85%
  • RANK-MID #786
  • PHOTO-FINISH Hunterdon
  • NRI-HIGH 96
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -9%

Nearest declaration peer: Hunterdon, NJ (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · California state profile

Marin County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Marin County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Marin County carries 26 FEMA declaration records, ranked 786 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Marin County ranks in the national declaration registry

Marin County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Marin County

26 Top 25% higher than 75% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Marin County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100California avg89/10096.4/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the California county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Marin County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $116.0M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Low), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Marin County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 3,301 claims and $54.9M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $16.6K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

Start with the state benchmark: a California county averages 28.5 federal declaration records, while Marin County has 26. The gap is 9% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 96.4/100 (Relatively High). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively High (roughly $259.3M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Low and community resilience Very High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Landslide stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 12 times per year here.

71 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Marin County, CA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
19/30

26 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.3x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
11/25

26 declarations (0.9x state county average of 29)

Major Disaster Share Very High
21/25

22 of 26 declarations are major disasters (85%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Marin County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Marin County

Marin County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 70, Flood 92, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 48, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 8. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 35 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 35 8-hazard mean
Marin County NRI risk profile FIPS 06041 · displayed-hazard mean 35/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

26

High volume

Major Disaster share

85%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

96

Relatively High

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Marin County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Landslide Relatively High an average of 12 times per year
Earthquake Relatively High roughly once every 10 years
Coastal Flooding Very High an average of 1.6 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively High an average of 2.1 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Moderate roughly once every 391 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 4.5 modeled event-days per year
Tsunami Relatively Moderate roughly once every 3 years
Volcanic Activity Very Low roughly once every 10,000 years
Drought Relatively Low 29 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 3.3 times per year
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 20 years
Strong Wind Very Low roughly once every 32 years
Winter Weather Very Low roughly once every 3 years
Hail Very Low roughly once every 50 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 10
Flood 9
Biological 2
Hurricane 1
Freezing 1
Earthquake 1
Coastal Storm 1
Drought 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Marin County's record, 38% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 22 84.6%

of all 26 declarations

Emergency - 4 15.4%

of all 26 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2023 3
2020 2
2019 2
2017 2
2006 2
2005 1
1998 1
1997 1
1995 2
1991 1
1990 1
1986 1
1983 1
1982 1
1977 1
Show 4 earlier declaration years
1973 1
1970 1
1969 1
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 26 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 26 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4699 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2023-04-03
4683 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2023-01-14
3591 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES EM Flood 2023-01-09
4482 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-22
3428 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4434 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2019-05-17
4431 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2019-05-01
4308 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2017-04-01
4301 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2017-02-14
1646 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2006-06-05
1628 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, MUDSLIDES, AND LANDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2006-02-03
3248 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-13
1203 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-02-09
1155 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, MUD AND LANDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 1997-01-04
1046 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING LANDSLIDES, MUD FLOW DR Severe Storm 1995-03-12
1044 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, MUD FLOWS DR Severe Storm 1995-01-10
894 SEVERE FREEZE DR Freezing 1991-02-11
845 LOMA PRIETA EARTHQUAKE DR Earthquake 1989-10-18
758 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1986-02-21
677 COASTAL STORMS, FLOODS, SLIDES & TORNADOES DR Coastal Storm 1983-02-09
Show 6 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
651 SEVERE STORMS, FLOOD, MUDSLIDES & HIGH TIDE DR Flood 1982-01-07
3023 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-01-20
364 SEVERE STORMS, HIGH TIDES & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-02-08
283 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1970-02-16
253 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1969-01-26
183 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1964-12-24

Storm Events in California

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Marin County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
High Wind 4,070 13 27 $228.2M
Flood 3,132 26 25 $985.1M
Heavy Snow 1,814 6 0 $1.6M
Dense Fog 1,605 52 148 $2.8M
Drought 1,421 0 0 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

3,301

Total Paid

$54.9M

Avg Per Claim

$16.6K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively High

Score: 96.4/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively High

$259.3M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively High
Earthquake Relatively High
Coastal Flooding Very High
Riverine Flooding Relatively High
Wildfire Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Tsunami Relatively Moderate
Volcanic Activity Very Low
Drought Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Tornado Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Hail Very Low
Cold Wave No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Landslide

Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.

Worth noting for Marin County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Marin County's closest FEMA peer: Pierce County, WA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Marin County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Marin County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Marin County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Marin County's NFIP claims file (3,301 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Marin County?
The most common disaster type in Marin County is Severe Storm, with 10 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (9), Biological (2), Hurricane (1).
How does Marin County's FEMA declaration record compare with the California average?
The typical California county has 28.5 FEMA declaration records; Marin County has 26, or 9% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 25% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Marin County received?
Marin County has received 22 major disaster declarations, representing 85% of all 26 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Marin County filed?
Marin County has 3,301 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $54.9M in payments, with an average of $16.6K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Marin County?
No. In Marin County, Landslide has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $116.0M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Marin County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Marin County was 2023, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2023.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Marin County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Marin County, California has an overall risk score of 96.4 out of 100 (Relatively High). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Low and community resilience is Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively High, representing $259.3M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Marin County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Marin County as of the latest release is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Earthquake (Relatively High) and Coastal Flooding (Very High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts landslide here at an average of 12 times per year. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Marin County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · California profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events