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Hawaii · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Maui County, HI

30 FEMA disaster declarations (1968-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Fire.

30
FEMA declarations
17
Major disasters
93
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Fire
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Maui County. Its 30 FEMA declarations are 46% above the Hawaii county mean and exceed the count for 86% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 7%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 7%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
30
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
816
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 15009 · Maui County 30 declarations · rank 395/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-MID · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-MID · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 30
  • MAJOR-MID 57%
  • RANK-MID #395
  • PHOTO-FINISH Jefferson
  • NRI-MID 93
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Fire
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +46%

Nearest declaration peer: Jefferson, OK (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Hawaii state profile

Maui County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Maui County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Maui County carries 30 FEMA declaration records, ranked 395 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Maui County ranks in the national declaration registry

Maui County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Maui County

30 Top 14% higher than 86% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Maui County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Hawaii avg75/10093.1/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Hawaii county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Maui County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $59.4M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Volcanic Activity carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Maui County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 816 claims and $25.9M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $31.7K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Maui County's 30 federal records stand 46% above the Hawaii county mean of 20.6. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 93.1/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $132.2M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Moderate and community resilience Very High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Volcanic Activity stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 1,000 years here, based on 1 historical events on record.

74 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Maui County, HI · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
22/30

30 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.4x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
18/25

30 declarations (1.5x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share High
14/25

17 of 30 declarations are major disasters (57%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Maui County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Maui County

Maui County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 48, Flood 70, Hurricane 25, Tornado 8, Wildfire 48, Drought 8, Heat Wave 0, Winter Storm 8. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 27 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 27 8-hazard mean
Maui County NRI risk profile FIPS 15009 · displayed-hazard mean 27/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

30

High volume

Major Disaster share

57%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

93

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Maui County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Volcanic Activity Relatively High roughly once every 1,000 years
Earthquake Relatively Moderate roughly once every 27 years
Wildfire Relatively Moderate roughly once every 234 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively High an average of 4.3 times per year
Lightning Relatively High an average of 56 times per year
Tsunami Relatively High roughly once every 2 years
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 19 years
Landslide Very Low an average of 1.7 times per year
Coastal Flooding Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Drought Very Low 45 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 40 years
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 631 years
Hail Very Low roughly once every 191 years
Winter Weather Very Low roughly once every 19 years
Strong Wind Very Low roughly once every 422 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Fire 10
Flood 5
Severe Storm 5
Hurricane 5
Biological 2
Mud/Landslide 1
Tsunami 1
Earthquake 1

What Fire declarations mean here

Fire is the most frequent declaration type on Maui County's record, 33% of its declarations. Wildfire is the one hazard here with its own dedicated federal instrument: the Fire Management Assistance Grant, which appears in this data as an FM record. An FMAG can be authorised while a fire is still burning, on a timescale of hours, because its purpose is to reimburse the cost of fighting a fire that threatens to become a major disaster.

That distinction matters when comparing counties. An FM declaration is not a presidential major disaster declaration and does not carry the same assistance programmes, so a fire-heavy county's total is not directly comparable with a hurricane-heavy county's total unless the declaration types are separated, which is why they are listed separately on this page.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 17 56.7%

of all 30 declarations

Fire Management - 9 30.0%

of all 30 declarations

Emergency - 4 13.3%

of all 30 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 1
2023 4
2022 1
2021 1
2020 4
2018 3
2017 1
2014 1
2012 1
2011 1
2010 1
2009 1
2008 1
2007 2
Show 6 earlier declaration years
2006 1
2001 1
1992 1
1982 1
1980 1
1968 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 30 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 30 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4909 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2026-04-07
5613 HOLOMUA FIRE FM Fire 2025-09-23
4724 WILDFIRES AND HIGH WINDS DR Fire 2023-08-10
5475 LAHAINA FIRE FM Fire 2023-08-09
5477 PULEHU FIRE FM Fire 2023-08-09
5476 UPCOUNTRY FIRE FM Fire 2023-08-09
4639 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2022-02-15
4604 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES DR Flood 2021-05-13
3529 HURRICANE DOUGLAS EM Hurricane 2020-07-25
4510 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-01
3431 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
5294 KAHANA RIDGE FIRE FM Fire 2019-10-23
4395 HURRICANE LANE DR Hurricane 2018-09-27
3404 TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA EM Hurricane 2018-09-12
3399 HURRICANE LANE EM Hurricane 2018-08-22
4282 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Mud/Landslide 2016-10-06
4194 TROPICAL STORM ISELLE DR Severe Storm 2014-09-12
4062 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2012-04-18
1967 TSUNAMI WAVES DR Tsunami 2011-04-08
2844 MAALAEA FIRE FM Fire 2010-06-09
Show 10 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
2834 KAUNAKAKAI FIRE FM Fire 2009-08-31
1743 SEVERE STORMS, HIGH SURF, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2008-02-06
2701 OLOWALU FIRE FM Fire 2007-06-28
1664 EARTHQUAKE DR Earthquake 2006-10-17
2673 MA'ALAEA FIRE FM Fire 2006-09-02
1348 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2000-11-09
961 HURRICANE INIKI DR Hurricane 1992-09-12
656 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1982-04-22
613 SEVERE STORMS, HIGH SURF & FLOODING DR Flood 1980-02-06
251 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1968-09-13

Storm Events in Hawaii

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Maui County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
High Surf 3,536 20 28 $672.0K
Heavy Rain 1,044 4 2 $0
Drought 899 0 0 $0
Flash Flood 223 6 4 $125.1M
Strong Wind 127 0 11 $555.8K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

816

Total Paid

$25.9M

Avg Per Claim

$31.7K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 93.1/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$132.2M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Volcanic Activity Relatively High
Earthquake Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively High
Lightning Relatively High
Tsunami Relatively High
Hurricane Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Coastal Flooding Relatively Low
Drought Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Hail Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Cold Wave No Rating
Heat Wave No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Volcanic Activity

Volcanic Activity is the rarest hazard in the model and the most locally determined. Its modeled exposure follows proximity to specific known systems rather than any regional pattern.

Worth noting for Maui County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Volcanic Activity carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Fire. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Maui County's closest FEMA peer: Bristol County, MA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Maui County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Maui County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Maui County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Maui County's NFIP claims file (816 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Maui County?
The most common disaster type in Maui County is Fire, with 10 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (5), Severe Storm (5), Hurricane (5).
How does Maui County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Hawaii average?
FEMA lists 30 declaration records for Maui County. That is 46% above the Hawaii county mean of 20.6. Its count is also 45% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Maui County received?
Maui County has received 17 major disaster declarations, representing 57% of all 30 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Maui County filed?
Maui County has 816 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $25.9M in payments, with an average of $31.7K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Maui County?
No. In Maui County, Volcanic Activity has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $59.4M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Maui County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Maui County was 2020, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1968 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Maui County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Maui County, Hawaii has an overall risk score of 93.1 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively Moderate, while community resilience comes in at Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $132.2M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Maui County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Maui County as of the latest release is Volcanic Activity (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Earthquake (Relatively Moderate) and Wildfire (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts volcanic activity here at roughly once every 1,000 years, drawn from 1 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Maui County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Hawaii profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events