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Oklahoma · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Mayes County, OK

31 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

31
FEMA declarations
23
Major disasters
78
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Mayes County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 31 declarations, more than 88% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 4% below the Oklahoma county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 22%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 22%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
31
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
122
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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How does Mayes County compare?

Mayes County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

31 Top 12% higher than 88% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Mayes County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Oklahoma county average

0/100100/100Oklahoma avg56/10077.6/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Oklahoma county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Mayes County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $11.5M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Ice Storm carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Mayes County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 122 paid claims, totaling $3.3M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $27.0K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Oklahoma county averages 32.2 federal declaration records, while Mayes County has 31. The gap is 4% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 77.6/100 (Relatively Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Low (roughly $26.2M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Very High and community resilience Relatively Low, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Ice Storm stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.4 times per year here, based on 97 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

Nationally, Mayes County's 31 FEMA records form a high-volume history; within Oklahoma, however, the count is 4% below the county mean. 23 entries carry the Major Disaster classification. The largest incident group is Severe Storm, appearing 15 times. The full 51-year record averages 0.6 declarations annually. A DR label alone does not say whether Individual Assistance, Public Assistance, or both followed.

71 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Mayes County, OK · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
22/30

31 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.5x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

31 declarations (1.0x state county average of 32)

Major Disaster Share Very High
19/25

23 of 31 declarations are major disasters (74%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Mayes County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Oklahoma Avg

-4%

State avg: 32.2

vs. National Avg

+50%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.6

Over 51 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Mayes County

Mayes County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 48, Hurricane 8, Tornado 48, Wildfire 25, Drought 48, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 41 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 41 8-hazard mean
Mayes County NRI risk profile FIPS 40097 · displayed-hazard mean 41/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

31

High volume

Major Disaster share

74%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

78

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Mayes County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Ice Storm Very High an average of 1.4 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively High an average of 7.5 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 23 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Lightning Relatively High an average of 55 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 205 years
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 9.3 times per year
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 6 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 1.7 times per year
Drought Relatively Moderate 21 modeled event-days per year
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 1.7 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 9.2 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 750 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 127 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 15
Severe Ice Storm 7
Flood 3
Biological 2
Fire 2
Hurricane 1
Tornado 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Mayes County's record, 48% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 23 74.2%

of all 31 declarations

Emergency - 7 22.6%

of all 31 declarations

Fire Management - 1 3.2%

of all 31 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 1
2023 1
2021 2
2020 2
2019 1
2017 1
2016 1
2015 1
2011 2
2010 3
2008 4
2007 3
2006 2
2005 1
2001 1
Show 5 earlier declaration years
1993 1
1987 1
1975 1
1974 1
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 31 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 31 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4791 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2024-06-14
4721 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2023-07-19
4587 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-24
3555 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-17
4530 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-05
3462 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4438 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2019-06-01
4315 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2017-05-26
4256 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2016-02-10
4222 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-05-26
1985 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Severe Storm 2011-05-13
3316 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2011-02-02
1883 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2010-03-05
1876 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2010-02-25
3308 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2010-01-30
1754 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2008-05-09
1752 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-05-05
1735 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2007-12-18
3280 SEVERE WINTER STORMS EM Severe Ice Storm 2007-12-10
1712 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2007-07-07
Show 11 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1678 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2007-02-01
3272 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING EM Severe Ice Storm 2007-01-14
1623 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-10
2587 FLAT ROCK FIRE COMPLEX FM Fire 2005-11-29
3219 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1355 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2001-01-05
987 SEVERE STORMS & TORNADOES DR Tornado 1993-04-26
778 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1986-10-14
474 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING & TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 1975-07-09
441 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-06-10
392 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, & TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 1973-06-13

Storm Events in Oklahoma

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Mayes County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 5,894 0 1 $19.8M
Thunderstorm Wind 5,592 6 36 $199.5M
Drought 2,935 0 0 $0
Heat 2,134 7 428 $0
Excessive Heat 1,771 2 401 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

122

Total Paid

$3.3M

Avg Per Claim

$27.0K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 77.6/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$26.2M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Ice Storm Very High
Strong Wind Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively High
Wildfire Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Hurricane Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Ice Storm

Ice storms load power lines and tree limbs with accumulating freezing rain until they fail. The characteristic cost is infrastructure and multi-day power loss across a wide area rather than structural damage to buildings, which is why their consequences often outlast the weather that caused them.

Worth noting for Mayes County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Ice Storm carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Mayes County's closest FEMA peer: Jefferson County, TX

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Mayes County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Mayes County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Mayes County's NFIP claims file (122 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Mayes County?
The most common disaster type in Mayes County is Severe Storm, with 15 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Ice Storm (7), Flood (3), Biological (2).
How does Mayes County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Oklahoma average?
The typical Oklahoma county has 32.2 FEMA declaration records; Mayes County has 31, or 4% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 50% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Mayes County received?
Mayes County has received 23 major disaster declarations, representing 74% of all 31 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Mayes County filed?
Mayes County has 122 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $3.3M in payments, with an average of $27.0K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Mayes County?
No. In Mayes County, Ice Storm has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $11.5M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Mayes County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Mayes County was 2008, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Mayes County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Mayes County, Oklahoma has an overall risk score of 77.6 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Very High; on community resilience, Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $26.2M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Mayes County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Mayes County is Ice Storm (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Strong Wind (Relatively High) and Heat Wave (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts ice storm here at an average of 1.4 times per year, drawn from 97 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Mayes County

Against a Oklahoma county mean of 32 declarations, Mayes County, OK records 31, or 4% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as high activity.

  • Major Disaster is the largest group (23 of 31) in a declaration history that remains below its state benchmark; frequency here is not a forecast. Oklahoma overview
  • Nationally the county exceeds 88% of recorded county totals, but its own Oklahoma benchmark is higher. The ranking keeps those two contexts separate. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.