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Nebraska · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Morrill County, NE

17 FEMA disaster declarations (2001-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

17
FEMA declarations
13
Major disasters
28
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Morrill County. Its 17 FEMA declarations are 1% above the Nebraska county mean and exceed the count for 32% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 28%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 28%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
17
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
10
severe storm declarations, the most common hazard here

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 31123 · Morrill County 17 declarations · rank 2138/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-MID 17
  • MAJOR-MID 76%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,138
  • PHOTO-FINISH Curry
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +1%

Nearest declaration peer: Curry, OR (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Nebraska state profile

Morrill County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Morrill County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Morrill County carries 17 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2138 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Morrill County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Morrill County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Morrill County

17 32nd percentile higher than 32% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Morrill County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Nebraska avg26/10027.8/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Nebraska county average

What does Morrill County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county's FEMA National Risk Index composite lands at 27.8/100 (Very Low), a modest reading against the rest of the country. Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $8.0M in annualized losses), tempered or compounded by a Relatively Moderate social-vulnerability score and Relatively Low community-resilience score. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Drought stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 83 modeled event-days per year here, based on 2,100 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

No paid-claim row for this county appears in the NFIP county table used by PlainHazard. That absence is not evidence that flooding never occurred: the register observes claims under federal flood-insurance policies, not uninsured losses, emergency reports, or every flood outside the program. The FEMA declaration history below is therefore the available federal-action record on this page.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Morrill County's 17 federal records stand 1% above the Nebraska county mean of 16.8. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

57 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Morrill County, NE · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
12/30

17 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.8x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
13/25

17 declarations (1.0x state county average of 17)

Major Disaster Share Very High
19/25

13 of 17 declarations are major disasters (76%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in Morrill County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Morrill County

Morrill County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 25, Drought 70, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 19 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 19 8-hazard mean
Morrill County NRI risk profile FIPS 31123 · displayed-hazard mean 19/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

17

Below median

Major Disaster share

76%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

28

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Morrill County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Drought Relatively High 83 modeled event-days per year
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 5.5 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 637 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 45 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 34 years
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 14 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 4.8 times per year
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 2,451 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 1.5 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Heat Wave Very Low 0.4 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 10
Fire 2
Biological 2
Flood 2
Hurricane 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Morrill County's record, 59% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 13 76.5%

of all 17 declarations

Emergency - 3 17.6%

of all 17 declarations

Fire Management - 1 5.9%

of all 17 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 2
2024 1
2020 2
2019 1
2017 1
2015 1
2011 1
2010 2
2009 1
2008 2
2007 1
2005 1
2001 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 17 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 17 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4920 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2026-06-30
5623 MORRILL-COTTONWOOD FIRE FM Fire 2026-03-13
4786 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Severe Storm 2024-05-24
4521 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-04
3483 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4420 SEVERE WINTER STORM, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-03-21
4325 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS DR Severe Storm 2017-08-01
4225 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-06-25
3323 FLOODING EM Flood 2011-06-18
1924 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2010-07-15
1878 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND SNOWSTORM DR Severe Storm 2010-02-25
1853 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2009-07-31
1770 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-06-20
1765 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-05-30
1674 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2007-01-07
3245 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUEES EM Hurricane 2005-09-13
1373 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, FLOODING AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2001-05-16

Storm Events in Nebraska

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Morrill County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 6,079 0 2 $237.7M
Thunderstorm Wind 4,757 3 19 $228.1M
Drought 1,658 0 0 $0
High Wind 1,647 1 1 $22.1M
Winter Storm 1,155 0 2 $335.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 27.8/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$8.0M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Drought Relatively High
Hail Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Tornado Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Drought

Drought is the slowest of the modeled hazards and the least visible: it does its damage to agriculture, water supply and soil over seasons rather than hours, so it rarely produces the kind of single-day damage that drives a disaster declaration. FEMA scores it in event-days per year rather than discrete events for exactly that reason.

Worth noting for Morrill County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Drought carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Morrill County's closest FEMA peer: Wright County, MN

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Morrill County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Morrill County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Morrill County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 17 FEMA declarations, Morrill County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Morrill County?
The most common disaster type in Morrill County is Severe Storm, with 10 declarations. Other disaster types include Fire (2), Biological (2), Flood (2).
How does Morrill County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Nebraska average?
FEMA lists 17 declaration records for Morrill County. That is 1% above the Nebraska county mean of 16.8. Its count is also 18% below the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Morrill County received?
Morrill County has received 13 major disaster declarations, representing 76% of all 17 disaster declarations.
What was the worst year for disasters in Morrill County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Morrill County was 2008, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 2001 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Morrill County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Morrill County, Nebraska has an overall risk score of 27.8 out of 100 (Very Low). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively Moderate, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $8.0M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Morrill County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Morrill County is Drought (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Hail (Relatively Moderate) and Wildfire (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts drought here at 83 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 2,100 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Morrill County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Nebraska profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events