PlainHazard

If you are in immediate danger, call 911.

The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Oklahoma · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Muskogee County, OK

34 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

34
FEMA declarations
24
Major disasters
82
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Muskogee County. Its 34 FEMA declarations are 5% above the Oklahoma county mean and exceed the count for 92% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 18%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 18%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
34
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
260
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

View my watchlist

FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 40101 · Muskogee County 34 declarations · rank 249/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-UPPER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-MID · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 34
  • MAJOR-MID 71%
  • RANK-UPPER #249
  • PHOTO-FINISH Sumter
  • NRI-MID 82
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +5%

Nearest declaration peer: Sumter, FL (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Oklahoma state profile

Muskogee County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Muskogee County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Muskogee County carries 34 FEMA declaration records, ranked 249 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Muskogee County ranks in the national declaration registry

Muskogee County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Muskogee County

34 Top 8% higher than 92% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Muskogee County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Oklahoma avg56/10082/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Oklahoma county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Muskogee County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $13.0M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Ice Storm carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Muskogee County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 260 paid claims, totaling $15.8M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $60.8K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Muskogee County's 34 federal records stand 5% above the Oklahoma county mean of 32.2. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 82.0/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Low (roughly $34.0M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively High and community resilience Relatively Moderate, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Ice Storm stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.5 times per year here, based on 98 historical events on record.

74 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Muskogee County, OK · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
25/30

34 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.6x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
13/25

34 declarations (1.1x state county average of 32)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

24 of 34 declarations are major disasters (71%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Muskogee County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Muskogee County

Muskogee County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 48, Hurricane 8, Tornado 70, Wildfire 48, Drought 48, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 48 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 48 8-hazard mean
Muskogee County NRI risk profile FIPS 40101 · displayed-hazard mean 48/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

34

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

71%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

82

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Muskogee County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Ice Storm Very High an average of 1.5 times per year
Hail Relatively High an average of 8.7 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 26 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Relatively High roughly once every 1 years
Drought Relatively Moderate 19 modeled event-days per year
Wildfire Relatively Moderate roughly once every 163 years
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 7.7 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 6.5 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 661 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 57 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 2.7 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 1.2 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 66 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 6 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 18
Severe Ice Storm 7
Flood 3
Biological 2
Fire 2
Tornado 1
Hurricane 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Muskogee County's record, 53% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 24 70.6%

of all 34 declarations

Emergency - 9 26.5%

of all 34 declarations

Fire Management - 1 2.9%

of all 34 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 1
2023 1
2022 1
2021 2
2020 2
2019 2
2017 2
2016 1
2015 1
2011 2
2010 3
2009 1
2008 3
2007 3
2006 2
Show 5 earlier declaration years
2005 1
2003 1
2001 3
1987 1
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 34 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 34 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4791 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2024-06-14
4721 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2023-07-19
4657 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2022-06-29
4587 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-24
3555 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-17
4530 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-05
3462 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4438 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2019-06-01
3411 FLOODING EM Flood 2019-05-25
4324 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Tornado 2017-07-25
4315 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2017-05-26
4256 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2016-02-10
4222 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-05-26
1988 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-27
3316 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2011-02-02
1883 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2010-03-05
1876 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2010-02-25
3308 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2010-01-30
1823 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2009-02-17
1754 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2008-05-09
Show 14 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1752 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-05-05
3280 SEVERE WINTER STORMS EM Severe Ice Storm 2007-12-10
1712 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2007-07-07
1678 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2007-02-01
3272 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING EM Severe Ice Storm 2007-01-14
1623 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-10
2599 WAINWRIGHT FIRE COMPLEX FM Fire 2006-01-01
3219 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1465 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2003-05-10
1384 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2001-06-29
1355 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2001-01-05
3158 SEVERE WINTER AND ICE STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2000-12-28
778 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1986-10-14
392 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, & TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 1973-06-13

Storm Events in Oklahoma

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Muskogee County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 5,894 0 1 $19.8M
Thunderstorm Wind 5,592 6 36 $199.5M
Drought 2,935 0 0 $0
Heat 2,134 7 428 $0
Excessive Heat 1,771 2 401 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

260

Total Paid

$15.8M

Avg Per Claim

$60.8K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 82.0/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$34.0M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Ice Storm Very High
Hail Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively High
Drought Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively High
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Very Low
Landslide Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Ice Storm

Ice storms load power lines and tree limbs with accumulating freezing rain until they fail. The characteristic cost is infrastructure and multi-day power loss across a wide area rather than structural damage to buildings, which is why their consequences often outlast the weather that caused them.

Worth noting for Muskogee County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Ice Storm carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Muskogee County's closest FEMA peer: Brazoria County, TX

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Muskogee County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Muskogee County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Muskogee County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Muskogee County's NFIP claims file (260 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Muskogee County?
The most common disaster type in Muskogee County is Severe Storm, with 18 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Ice Storm (7), Flood (3), Biological (2).
How does Muskogee County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Oklahoma average?
FEMA lists 34 declaration records for Muskogee County. That is 5% above the Oklahoma county mean of 32.2. Its count is also 64% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Muskogee County received?
Muskogee County has received 24 major disaster declarations, representing 71% of all 34 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Muskogee County filed?
Muskogee County has 260 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $15.8M in payments, with an average of $60.8K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Muskogee County?
No. In Muskogee County, Ice Storm has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $13.0M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Muskogee County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Muskogee County was 2001, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Muskogee County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Muskogee County, Oklahoma has an overall risk score of 82.0 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively High, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $34.0M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Muskogee County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Muskogee County as of the latest release is Ice Storm (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Hail (Relatively High) and Heat Wave (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts ice storm here at an average of 1.5 times per year, drawn from 98 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Muskogee County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Oklahoma profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events