FEMA Records
41
Very high volume
Louisiana · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index
Natchitoches Parish, LA
41 FEMA disaster declarations (1977-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.
- 41
- FEMA declarations
- 22
- Major disasters
- 56
- NRI risk · Relatively Low
- Hurricane
- Top hazard
The verdict
Natchitoches Parish has a nationally busy FEMA history: 41 declarations, more than 97% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 1% below the Louisiana county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 44%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.
- Riskiest 44%
- of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
- Relatively Low
- FEMA National Risk Index rating
- 41
- FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
- 541
- NFIP flood insurance claims filed
FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.
How does Natchitoches Parish compare?
Natchitoches Parish vs. all counties in this dataset
FEMA disaster declarations, all-time
41 Top 3% higher than 97% of 3,266 counties
Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.
Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03
Natchitoches Parish's FEMA Risk Index score
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Louisiana county average
Which hazard drives modeled loss here?
FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Natchitoches Parish is led by Riverine Flooding (about $6.7M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Very Low), while Strong Wind carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.
What does Natchitoches Parish's hazard record show?
Reading the federal records together
FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 541 claims and $9.9M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $18.2K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.
Start with the state benchmark: a Louisiana county averages 41.4 federal declaration records, while Natchitoches Parish has 41. The gap is 1% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.
FEMA National Risk Index
This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 56.4/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Very Low (roughly $13.5M in annualized losses), and a Very High social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Strong Wind stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 3.9 times per year here, based on 151 historical events on record.
Declaration frequency
Nationally, Natchitoches Parish's 41 FEMA records form a high-volume history; within Louisiana, however, the count is 1% below the county mean. 22 entries carry the Major Disaster classification. The largest incident group is Hurricane, appearing 21 times. The full 49-year record averages 0.8 declarations annually. A DR label alone does not say whether Individual Assistance, Public Assistance, or both followed.
75 /100
Historical Activity Index
Very High historical activity
Natchitoches Parish, LA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records
This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology
FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
30/30
41 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (2.0x national county average)
County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25
41 declarations (1.0x state county average of 41)
Major Disaster Share High
13/25
22 of 41 declarations are major disasters (54%)
Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20
10 different disaster types declared in Natchitoches Parish
Historical Declaration Activity
Activity Band
High
vs. Louisiana Avg
-1%
State avg: 41.4
vs. National Avg
+98%
National avg: 20.7
Avg Per Year
0.8
Over 49 years
FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Natchitoches Parish
How to read this radar
Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.
Major Disaster share
54%
Major-heavy
NRI risk score
56
Relatively Low
Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release
How often does each hazard strike Natchitoches Parish?
FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.
| Hazard | NRI Risk Rating | Recurrence |
|---|---|---|
| Strong Wind | Relatively High | an average of 3.9 times per year |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Moderate | 22 modeled event-days per year |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Moderate | an average of 1 time per year |
| Hail | Relatively Moderate | an average of 3.5 times per year |
| Hurricane | Relatively Low | roughly once every 16 years |
| Lightning | Relatively Moderate | an average of 70 times per year |
| Tornado | Relatively Low | an average of 1.1 times per year |
| Landslide | Relatively Low | roughly once every 2 years |
| Riverine Flooding | Relatively Low | an average of 1.4 times per year |
| Drought | Relatively Low | 34 modeled event-days per year |
| Earthquake | Very Low | roughly once every 835 years |
| Wildfire | Very Low | roughly once every 1,536 years |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Low | an average of 2.4 times per year |
| Cold Wave | Very Low | roughly once every 2 years |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release
Disaster Types
Hurricane 21
Flood 6
Severe Storm 4
Coastal Storm 2
Severe Ice Storm 2
Biological 2
Winter Storm 1
Other 1
Fire 1
Snowstorm 1
What Hurricane declarations mean here
Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Natchitoches Parish's federal record, 51% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.
One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.
Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.
Declaration Types
What DR / EM / FM mean
FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).
Major Disaster - 22 53.7%
of all 41 declarations
Emergency - 18 43.9%
of all 41 declarations
Fire Management - 1 2.4%
of all 41 declarations
FEMA Declarations Timeline
| Year | Declarations | |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1 | |
| 2024 | 1 | |
| 2021 | 8 | |
| 2020 | 6 | |
| 2018 | 1 | |
| 2017 | 1 | |
| 2016 | 1 | |
| 2015 | 1 | |
| 2012 | 2 | |
| 2010 | 1 | |
| 2008 | 3 | |
| 2007 | 1 | |
| 2005 | 4 | |
| 2003 | 2 | |
| 2000 | 1 | |
Show 5 earlier declaration years
| 1999 | 1 | |
| 1991 | 2 | |
| 1989 | 2 | |
| 1983 | 1 | |
| 1977 | 1 | |
Disaster Declarations
How the 41 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.
Download these 41 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.
| DR# | Title | Type | Incident | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3638 | SEVERE WINTER STORM | EM | Winter Storm | 2026-01-24 |
| 3614 | TROPICAL STORM FRANCINE | EM | Hurricane | 2024-09-10 |
| 3574 | TROPICAL STORM NICHOLAS | EM | Coastal Storm | 2021-09-13 |
| 4611 | HURRICANE IDA | DR | Hurricane | 2021-08-29 |
| 3568 | TROPICAL STORM IDA | EM | Hurricane | 2021-08-27 |
| 4590 | SEVERE WINTER STORMS | DR | Severe Ice Storm | 2021-03-09 |
| 3556 | SEVERE WINTER STORM | EM | Severe Ice Storm | 2021-02-18 |
| 3549 | TROPICAL STORM ZETA | EM | Hurricane | 2020-10-27 |
| 4570 | HURRICANE DELTA | DR | Hurricane | 2020-10-16 |
| 3547 | HURRICANE DELTA | EM | Hurricane | 2020-10-07 |
| 3543 | HURRICANE SALLY | EM | Hurricane | 2020-09-14 |
| 4559 | HURRICANE LAURA | DR | Hurricane | 2020-08-28 |
| 3538 | TROPICAL STORMS LAURA AND MARCO | EM | Hurricane | 2020-08-23 |
| 3527 | TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL | EM | Coastal Storm | 2020-06-07 |
| 4484 | COVID-19 PANDEMIC | DR | Biological | 2020-03-24 |
| 3459 | COVID-19 | EM | Biological | 2020-03-13 |
| 4345 | TROPICAL STORM HARVEY | DR | Hurricane | 2017-10-16 |
| 3382 | TROPICAL STORM HARVEY | EM | Hurricane | 2017-08-28 |
| 4263 | SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING | DR | Flood | 2016-03-13 |
| 4228 | SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING | DR | Flood | 2015-07-13 |
Show 21 earlier declaration records
| DR# | Title | Type | Incident | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4080 | HURRICANE ISAAC | DR | Hurricane | 2012-08-29 |
| 3347 | TROPICAL STORM ISAAC | EM | Hurricane | 2012-08-27 |
| 1863 | SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING | DR | Severe Storm | 2009-12-10 |
| 1792 | HURRICANE IKE | DR | Hurricane | 2008-09-13 |
| 1786 | HURRICANE GUSTAV | DR | Hurricane | 2008-09-02 |
| 3289 | HURRICANE GUSTAV | EM | Hurricane | 2008-08-29 |
| 1668 | SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING | DR | Severe Storm | 2006-11-02 |
| 1607 | HURRICANE RITA | DR | Hurricane | 2005-09-24 |
| 3260 | HURRICANE RITA | EM | Hurricane | 2005-09-21 |
| 1603 | HURRICANE KATRINA | DR | Hurricane | 2005-08-29 |
| 3212 | HURRICANE KATRINA | EM | Hurricane | 2005-08-27 |
| 3172 | LOSS OF SPACE SHUTTLE COLUMBIA | EM | Other | 2003-02-01 |
| 1437 | HURRICANE LILI | DR | Hurricane | 2002-10-03 |
| 2337 | LA-WESTERN LOUISIANA FIRE COMPLEX-9/8/00 | FM | Fire | 2000-09-11 |
| 1264 | SEVERE ICE STORM | DR | Severe Storm | 1999-01-21 |
| 904 | SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING | DR | Severe Storm | 1991-05-03 |
| 902 | SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING | DR | Flood | 1991-04-23 |
| 835 | TROPICAL STORM ALLISON | DR | Flood | 1989-07-17 |
| 829 | SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING | DR | Flood | 1989-05-20 |
| 675 | SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING | DR | Flood | 1983-01-11 |
| 3031 | DROUGHT & FREEZING | EM | Snowstorm | 1977-02-22 |
Storm Events in Louisiana
Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Natchitoches Parish.
| Storm Type | Events | Fatalities | Injuries | Property Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunderstorm Wind | 3,274 | 12 | 29 | $24.9M |
| Flash Flood | 1,516 | 20 | 17 | $3.9B |
| Hail | 1,224 | 0 | 0 | $49.3M |
| Excessive Heat | 1,183 | 3 | 0 | $0 |
| Heat | 1,106 | 5 | 0 | $0 |
Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025
NFIP Flood Insurance Claims
Total Claims
541
Total Paid
$9.9M
Avg Per Claim
$18.2K
Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data
FEMA National Risk Index
Overall Risk
Relatively Low
Score: 56.4/100
Expected Annual Loss
Very Low
$13.5M/year
Social Vulnerability
Very High
Community Resilience
Relatively Low
Hazard Risk Breakdown
Strong Wind Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Low
Landslide Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri
The model's sharpest exposure here: Strong Wind
Strong Wind covers damaging non-thunderstorm, non-tornadic wind, the kind produced by steep pressure gradients and downslope events. It is a broad, frequent, low-drama hazard: roofs, signage, power lines and high-profile vehicles, spread across a wide area rather than concentrated on a path.
Worth noting for Natchitoches Parish: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Strong Wind carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.
National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.
Data-matched county comparisons
Natchitoches Parish's closest FEMA peer: Shasta County, CA
Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Natchitoches Parish. Record similarity, not a safety rating.
Closest declaration profiles
Natchitoches Parish shows 41 FEMA declarations, led by Hurricane.
Similar Major-disaster share
Natchitoches Parish: 22 of 41 of its declarations are Major.
Similar modeled NRI score
Natchitoches Parish: NRI composite 56.4 (Relatively Low).
How these peers are chosen
Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.
Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Natchitoches Parish - capture-dated entries only.
Further reading for this county
Understanding disaster data
Natchitoches Parish's NFIP claims file (541 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.
More PlainHazard guides
- Most disaster-prone counties - U.S. counties ranked by FEMA declaration totals.
- Understanding disaster data - declarations vs storm events vs NRI scores.
- Preparing for natural disasters - household checklist (not county-specific advice).
Related
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most common disaster type in Natchitoches Parish?
The most common disaster type in Natchitoches Parish is Hurricane, with 21 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (6), Severe Storm (4), Coastal Storm (2).
How does Natchitoches Parish's FEMA declaration record compare with the Louisiana average?
The typical Louisiana county has 41.4 FEMA declaration records; Natchitoches Parish has 41, or 1% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 98% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Natchitoches Parish received?
Natchitoches Parish has received 22 major disaster declarations, representing 54% of all 41 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Natchitoches Parish filed?
Natchitoches Parish has 541 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $9.9M in payments, with an average of $18.2K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Natchitoches Parish?
No. In Natchitoches Parish, Strong Wind has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $6.7M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Natchitoches Parish?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Natchitoches Parish was 2021, with 8 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1977 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Natchitoches Parish?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Natchitoches Parish, Louisiana has an overall risk score of 56.4 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Very High; on community resilience, Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $13.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Natchitoches Parish?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Natchitoches Parish is Strong Wind (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Heat Wave (Relatively Moderate) and Ice Storm (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts strong wind here at an average of 3.9 times per year, drawn from 151 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology
Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.
Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.
Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.
This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.
What this means for Natchitoches Parish
Against a Louisiana county mean of 41 declarations, Natchitoches Parish, LA records 41, or 1% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as high activity.
- Major Disaster is the largest group (22 of 41) in a declaration history that remains below its state benchmark; frequency here is not a forecast. Louisiana overview
- Nationally the county exceeds 97% of recorded county totals, but its own Louisiana benchmark is higher. The ranking keeps those two contexts separate. Most-disaster rankings
- The large NFIP claims file and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records; the guide explains where they overlap and where they do not. Disaster-data guide
A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.
PlainHazard derives this profile from FEMA's Disaster Declarations Summaries and National Risk Index data. The declaration comparison covers 3,266 U.S. counties and county equivalents in this database, refreshed as of 2026-08-03. Read our methodology - how this data is sourced, computed, and verified.
All federal data sources used on this page
- FEMA OpenFEMA, Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 - all federally-declared disasters for this county. fema.gov/openfema/disaster-declarations
- FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) - per-county per-hazard risk ratings and expected annual loss. hazards.fema.gov/nri
- NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database - state-level storm/severe-weather event records, 2015-2025. ncdc.noaa.gov/stormevents
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial
Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →
Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.