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Texas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Newton County, TX

30 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

30
FEMA declarations
19
Major disasters
27
NRI risk · Very Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Newton County. Its 30 FEMA declarations are 43% above the Texas county mean and exceed the count for 86% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 27%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 27%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
30
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
552
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 48351 · Newton County 30 declarations · rank 396/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-MID · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 30
  • MAJOR-MID 63%
  • RANK-MID #396
  • PHOTO-FINISH Jefferson
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +43%

Nearest declaration peer: Jefferson, OK (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Texas state profile

Newton County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Newton County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Newton County carries 30 FEMA declaration records, ranked 396 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Newton County ranks in the national declaration registry

Newton County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Newton County

30 Top 14% higher than 86% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Newton County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Texas avg49/10027.2/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Newton County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $2.1M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Very Low), while Hurricane carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Newton County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 552 claims and $28.0M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $50.7K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Newton County's 30 federal records stand 43% above the Texas county mean of 20.9. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county's FEMA National Risk Index composite lands at 27.2/100 (Very Low), a modest reading against the rest of the country. Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $5.5M in annualized losses), tempered or compounded by a Very High social-vulnerability score and Very Low community-resilience score. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Hurricane carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 9 years here, based on 44 historical events on record.

74 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Newton County, TX · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
22/30

30 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.4x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
18/25

30 declarations (1.4x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share High
16/25

19 of 30 declarations are major disasters (63%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Newton County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Newton County

Newton County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 48, Tornado 25, Wildfire 25, Drought 8, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 24 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 24 8-hazard mean
Newton County NRI risk profile FIPS 48351 · displayed-hazard mean 24/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

30

High volume

Major Disaster share

63%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

27

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Newton County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Hurricane Relatively Moderate roughly once every 9 years
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 307 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 77 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 11 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Coastal Flooding Very Low roughly once every 83 years
Drought Very Low 26 modeled event-days per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,227 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 5 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 1.6 times per year
Hail Very Low an average of 2 times per year
Cold Wave Very Low an average of 1 time per year
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 1.2 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 10
Fire 7
Flood 4
Severe Storm 4
Severe Ice Storm 2
Biological 2
Coastal Storm 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Newton County's federal record, 33% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 19 63.3%

of all 30 declarations

Emergency - 10 33.3%

of all 30 declarations

Fire Management - 1 3.3%

of all 30 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 2
2021 3
2020 3
2017 1
2016 2
2015 1
2011 2
2008 4
2006 1
2005 3
2001 1
2000 1
1999 1
1998 1
1996 1
Show 2 earlier declaration years
1989 2
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 30 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 30 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4798 HURRICANE BERYL DR Hurricane 2024-07-09
4781 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2024-05-17
4586 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-19
3554 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-14
4572 HURRICANE LAURA DR Hurricane 2020-12-09
3540 TROPICAL STORMS MARCO AND LAURA EM Hurricane 2020-08-24
4485 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3458 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4332 HURRICANE HARVEY DR Hurricane 2017-08-25
4266 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2016-03-19
4245 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-11-25
4223 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-05-29
4029 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2011-09-09
1999 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2011-07-01
1791 HURRICANE IKE DR Hurricane 2008-09-13
3294 HURRICANE IKE EM Hurricane 2008-09-10
3290 HURRICANE GUSTAV EM Hurricane 2008-08-29
3284 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2008-03-14
1624 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-11
1606 HURRICANE RITA DR Hurricane 2005-09-24
Show 10 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
3261 HURRICANE RITA EM Hurricane 2005-09-21
3216 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
1379 TX-TROPICAL STORM ALLISON-06-06-2001 DR Coastal Storm 2001-06-09
2328 TX - MOORE BRANCH FIRE - 09/03/00 FM Fire 2000-09-03
3142 EXTREME FIRE HAZARDS EM Fire 1999-09-01
1239 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DR Severe Storm 1998-08-26
3117 EXTREME FIRE HAZARD EM Fire 1996-02-23
836 TROPICAL STORM ALLISON DR Flood 1989-07-18
828 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1989-05-19
398 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-07-11

Storm Events in Texas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Newton County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 14,072 0 15 $7.4B
Thunderstorm Wind 10,293 41 141 $369.9M
Drought 7,032 0 0 $86.0K
Flash Flood 4,728 338 24 $47.6B
Heat 4,079 119 405 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

552

Total Paid

$28.0M

Avg Per Claim

$50.7K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 27.2/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$5.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Hurricane Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Coastal Flooding Very Low
Drought Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Hail Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Hurricane

Hurricane exposure in the model bundles the three ways a tropical system does harm, which arrive on different timescales and are insured differently: wind, storm surge on the coast, and rainfall flooding that can reach far inland well after landfall.

For Newton County the two measures on this page point the same way: Hurricane is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively Moderate), and Hurricane declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Newton County's closest FEMA peer: St. Clair County, AL

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Newton County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Newton County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Newton County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Newton County's NFIP claims file (552 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Newton County?
The most common disaster type in Newton County is Hurricane, with 10 declarations. Other disaster types include Fire (7), Flood (4), Severe Storm (4).
How does Newton County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Texas average?
FEMA lists 30 declaration records for Newton County. That is 43% above the Texas county mean of 20.9. Its count is also 45% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Newton County received?
Newton County has received 19 major disaster declarations, representing 63% of all 30 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Newton County filed?
Newton County has 552 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $28.0M in payments, with an average of $50.7K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Newton County?
No. In Newton County, Hurricane has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $2.1M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Newton County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Newton County was 2008, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Newton County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Newton County, Texas has an overall risk score of 27.2 out of 100 (Very Low). Social vulnerability here rates Very High, while community resilience comes in at Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $5.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Newton County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Newton County is Hurricane (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Wildfire (Relatively Low) and Lightning (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts hurricane here at roughly once every 9 years, drawn from 44 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Newton County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Texas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events