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Texas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Jasper County, TX

32 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

32
FEMA declarations
21
Major disasters
61
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Jasper County. Its 32 FEMA declarations are 53% above the Texas county mean and exceed the count for 89% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 39%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 39%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
32
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
228
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 48241 · Jasper County 32 declarations · rank 315/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-UPPER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-HIGH

  • DECL-HEAVY 32
  • MAJOR-MID 66%
  • RANK-UPPER #315
  • PHOTO-FINISH Perry
  • NRI-LOW 61
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-HIGH +53%

Nearest declaration peer: Perry, MS (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Texas state profile

Jasper County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Jasper County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Jasper County carries 32 FEMA declaration records, ranked 315 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Jasper County ranks in the national declaration registry

Jasper County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Jasper County

32 Top 11% higher than 89% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Jasper County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Texas avg49/10061.1/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Jasper County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $5.4M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Low), while Hurricane carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Jasper County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 228 paid claims, totaling $7.5M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $33.0K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Jasper County's 32 federal records stand 53% above the Texas county mean of 20.9. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 61.1/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $15.5M in annualized losses), and a Very High social-vulnerability profile combined with Very Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Hurricane carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 9 years here, based on 42 historical events on record.

76 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

Jasper County, TX · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
23/30

32 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.5x national county average)

County Disaster Density Very High
19/25

32 declarations (1.5x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share High
16/25

21 of 32 declarations are major disasters (66%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Jasper County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Jasper County

Jasper County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 48, Tornado 48, Wildfire 25, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 32 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 32 8-hazard mean
Jasper County NRI risk profile FIPS 48241 · displayed-hazard mean 32/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

32

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

66%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

61

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Jasper County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Hurricane Relatively Moderate roughly once every 9 years
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 262 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 76 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 1.3 times per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 11 modeled event-days per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 1 time per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 2.1 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.1 times per year
Drought Relatively Low 26 modeled event-days per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 5 years
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 1.5 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,404 years
Coastal Flooding No Rating roughly once every 100 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 10
Flood 6
Fire 6
Severe Storm 5
Severe Ice Storm 2
Biological 2
Coastal Storm 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Jasper County's federal record, 31% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 21 65.6%

of all 32 declarations

Emergency - 10 31.3%

of all 32 declarations

Fire Management - 1 3.1%

of all 32 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 2
2021 3
2020 3
2017 1
2016 3
2015 1
2011 2
2008 4
2006 1
2005 3
2003 1
2001 1
1999 1
1998 1
1996 1
Show 3 earlier declaration years
1995 1
1989 2
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 32 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 32 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4798 HURRICANE BERYL DR Hurricane 2024-07-09
4781 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2024-05-17
4586 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-19
3554 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-14
4572 HURRICANE LAURA DR Hurricane 2020-12-09
3540 TROPICAL STORMS MARCO AND LAURA EM Hurricane 2020-08-24
4485 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3458 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4332 HURRICANE HARVEY DR Hurricane 2017-08-25
4272 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2016-06-11
4266 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2016-03-19
4245 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-11-25
4223 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-05-29
1999 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2011-07-01
2926 POWERLINE FIRE FM Fire 2011-06-18
1791 HURRICANE IKE DR Hurricane 2008-09-13
3294 HURRICANE IKE EM Hurricane 2008-09-10
3290 HURRICANE GUSTAV EM Hurricane 2008-08-29
3284 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2008-03-14
1624 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-11
Show 12 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1606 HURRICANE RITA DR Hurricane 2005-09-24
3261 HURRICANE RITA EM Hurricane 2005-09-21
3216 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
1439 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-11-05
1379 TX-TROPICAL STORM ALLISON-06-06-2001 DR Coastal Storm 2001-06-09
3142 EXTREME FIRE HAZARDS EM Fire 1999-09-01
1239 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DR Severe Storm 1998-08-26
3117 EXTREME FIRE HAZARD EM Fire 1996-02-23
1041 SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1994-10-18
836 TROPICAL STORM ALLISON DR Flood 1989-07-18
828 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1989-05-19
398 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-07-11

Storm Events in Texas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Jasper County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 14,072 0 15 $7.4B
Thunderstorm Wind 10,293 41 141 $369.9M
Drought 7,032 0 0 $86.0K
Flash Flood 4,728 338 24 $47.6B
Heat 4,079 119 405 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

228

Total Paid

$7.5M

Avg Per Claim

$33.0K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 61.1/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$15.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Hurricane Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Coastal Flooding No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Hurricane

Hurricane exposure in the model bundles the three ways a tropical system does harm, which arrive on different timescales and are insured differently: wind, storm surge on the coast, and rainfall flooding that can reach far inland well after landfall.

For Jasper County the two measures on this page point the same way: Hurricane is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively Moderate), and Hurricane declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Jasper County's closest FEMA peer: Trinity County, CA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Jasper County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Jasper County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Jasper County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Jasper County's NFIP claims file (228 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Jasper County?
The most common disaster type in Jasper County is Hurricane, with 10 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (6), Fire (6), Severe Storm (5).
How does Jasper County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Texas average?
FEMA lists 32 declaration records for Jasper County. That is 53% above the Texas county mean of 20.9. Its count is also 54% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Jasper County received?
Jasper County has received 21 major disaster declarations, representing 66% of all 32 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Jasper County filed?
Jasper County has 228 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $7.5M in payments, with an average of $33.0K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Jasper County?
No. In Jasper County, Hurricane has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $5.4M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Jasper County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Jasper County was 2008, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Jasper County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Jasper County, Texas has an overall risk score of 61.1 out of 100 (Relatively Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Very High and community resilience is Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $15.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Jasper County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Jasper County is Hurricane (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Wildfire (Relatively Low) and Lightning (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts hurricane here at roughly once every 9 years, drawn from 42 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Jasper County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Texas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events