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Texas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

San Augustine County, TX

26 FEMA disaster declarations (1989-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

26
FEMA declarations
17
Major disasters
18
NRI risk · Very Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for San Augustine County. Its 26 FEMA declarations are 24% above the Texas county mean and exceed the count for 75% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 18%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 18%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
26
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
6
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does San Augustine County compare?

San Augustine County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

26 Top 25% higher than 75% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

San Augustine County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

0/100100/100Texas avg49/10017.6/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for San Augustine County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $1.2M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Strong Wind carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does San Augustine County's hazard record show?

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 26 entries for San Augustine County, including 17 Major Disaster records, 24% above the Texas county mean. Across the 35-year span, that works out to 0.7 declarations a year. Hurricane leads the file with 8 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county's FEMA National Risk Index composite lands at 17.6/100 (Very Low), a modest reading against the rest of the country. Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $3.9M in annualized losses), tempered or compounded by a Very High social-vulnerability score and Very Low community-resilience score. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Strong Wind carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 3.3 times per year here, based on 120 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 6 claims and $82.3K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. San Augustine County's 26 federal records stand 24% above the Texas county mean of 20.9. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

71 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

San Augustine County, TX · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
19/30

26 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.3x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
16/25

26 declarations (1.2x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share High
16/25

17 of 26 declarations are major disasters (65%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in San Augustine County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Texas Avg

+24%

State avg: 20.9

vs. National Avg

+25%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.7

Over 35 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - San Augustine County

San Augustine County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 25, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 0, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 16 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 16 8-hazard mean
San Augustine County NRI risk profile FIPS 48405 · displayed-hazard mean 16/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

26

High volume

Major Disaster share

65%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

18

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike San Augustine County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 3.3 times per year
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 12 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 21 modeled event-days per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 711 years
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 68 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 5 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 2.2 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,222 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Hail Very Low an average of 3.1 times per year
Drought No Rating 29 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 8
Fire 5
Flood 3
Severe Ice Storm 3
Severe Storm 3
Biological 2
Other 1
Coastal Storm 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on San Augustine County's federal record, 31% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 17 65.4%

of all 26 declarations

Emergency - 9 34.6%

of all 26 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 2
2021 2
2020 3
2017 1
2016 1
2015 1
2011 2
2008 2
2006 1
2005 3
2003 1
2001 2
1999 1
1998 1
1996 1
Show 2 earlier declaration years
1995 1
1989 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 26 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 26 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4798 HURRICANE BERYL DR Hurricane 2024-07-09
4781 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2024-05-17
4586 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-19
3554 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-14
3540 TROPICAL STORMS MARCO AND LAURA EM Hurricane 2020-08-24
4485 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3458 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4332 HURRICANE HARVEY DR Hurricane 2017-08-25
4266 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2016-03-19
4223 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-05-29
4029 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2011-09-09
1999 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2011-07-01
1791 HURRICANE IKE DR Hurricane 2008-09-13
3294 HURRICANE IKE EM Hurricane 2008-09-10
1624 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-11
1606 HURRICANE RITA DR Hurricane 2005-09-24
3261 HURRICANE RITA EM Hurricane 2005-09-21
3216 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
3171 LOSS OF THE SPACE SHUTTLE COLUMBIA EM Other 2003-02-01
1379 TX-TROPICAL STORM ALLISON-06-06-2001 DR Coastal Storm 2001-06-09
Show 6 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1356 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2001-01-08
3142 EXTREME FIRE HAZARDS EM Fire 1999-09-01
1239 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DR Severe Storm 1998-08-26
3117 EXTREME FIRE HAZARD EM Fire 1996-02-23
1041 SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1994-10-18
828 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1989-05-19

Storm Events in Texas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to San Augustine County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 14,072 0 15 $7.4B
Thunderstorm Wind 10,293 41 141 $369.9M
Drought 7,032 0 0 $86.0K
Flash Flood 4,728 338 24 $47.6B
Heat 4,079 119 405 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

6

Total Paid

$82.3K

Avg Per Claim

$13.7K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 17.6/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$3.9M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Hail Very Low
Drought No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Strong Wind

Strong Wind covers damaging non-thunderstorm, non-tornadic wind, the kind produced by steep pressure gradients and downslope events. It is a broad, frequent, low-drama hazard: roofs, signage, power lines and high-profile vehicles, spread across a wide area rather than concentrated on a path.

Worth noting for San Augustine County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Strong Wind carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

San Augustine County's closest FEMA peer: Crawford County, AR

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for San Augustine County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for San Augustine County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 26 FEMA declarations, San Augustine County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in San Augustine County?
The most common disaster type in San Augustine County is Hurricane, with 8 declarations. Other disaster types include Fire (5), Flood (3), Severe Ice Storm (3).
How does San Augustine County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Texas average?
FEMA lists 26 declaration records for San Augustine County. That is 24% above the Texas county mean of 20.9. Its count is also 25% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has San Augustine County received?
San Augustine County has received 17 major disaster declarations, representing 65% of all 26 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has San Augustine County filed?
San Augustine County has 6 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $82.3K in payments, with an average of $13.7K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in San Augustine County?
No. In San Augustine County, Strong Wind has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $1.2M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in San Augustine County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in San Augustine County was 2005, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1989 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for San Augustine County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, San Augustine County, Texas has an overall risk score of 17.6 out of 100 (Very Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Very High; on community resilience, Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $3.9M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to San Augustine County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in San Augustine County as of the latest release is Strong Wind (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Hurricane (Relatively Low) and Heat Wave (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts strong wind here at an average of 3.3 times per year, drawn from 120 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for San Augustine County

San Augustine County, TX has 26 federal declaration records, 24% more than the Texas county mean of 21; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 17 of 26 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. Texas overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the Texas mean and the totals for 75% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • A short NFIP claims file cannot establish low flood exposure; the data guide explains the limits of each federal measure. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.