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Tennessee · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Overton County, TN

21 FEMA disaster declarations (1969-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

21
FEMA declarations
16
Major disasters
22
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Overton County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 21 declarations, more than 52% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 2% below the Tennessee county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 22%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 22%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
21
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
11
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 47133 · Overton County 21 declarations · rank 1449/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 21
  • MAJOR-MID 76%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,449
  • PHOTO-FINISH Montgomery
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -2%

Nearest declaration peer: Montgomery, IN (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Tennessee state profile

Overton County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Overton County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Overton County carries 21 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1449 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Overton County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Overton County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Overton County

21 Top 48% higher than 52% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Overton County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Tennessee avg53/10022.2/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Tennessee county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Overton County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $3.0M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Lightning carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Overton County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county's FEMA National Risk Index composite lands at 22.2/100 (Very Low), a modest reading against the rest of the country. Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $7.3M in annualized losses), tempered or compounded by a Relatively Moderate social-vulnerability score and Very Low community-resilience score. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Lightning stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 57 times per year here, based on 52,645 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 11 claims and $159.4K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Tennessee county averages 21.4 federal declaration records, while Overton County has 21. The gap is 2% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

66 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Overton County, TN · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
15/30

21 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

21 declarations (1.0x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share Very High
19/25

16 of 21 declarations are major disasters (76%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Overton County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Overton County

Overton County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 14 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 14 8-hazard mean
Overton County NRI risk profile FIPS 47133 · displayed-hazard mean 14/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

21

Above median

Major Disaster share

76%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

22

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Overton County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Lightning Relatively High an average of 57 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 9.8 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 352 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 1.3 times per year
Landslide Very Low an average of 1 time per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 4 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 5.3 times per year
Drought Relatively Low 10 modeled event-days per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 2.9 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 31 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 1,512 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low an average of 1.1 times per year
Heat Wave Very Low 0.9 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 7
Flood 4
Winter Storm 2
Tornado 2
Severe Ice Storm 2
Biological 2
Hurricane 1
Snowstorm 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Overton County's record, 33% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 16 76.2%

of all 21 declarations

Emergency - 5 23.8%

of all 21 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 2
2025 1
2021 2
2020 2
2019 1
2015 1
2012 1
2010 1
2009 1
2005 1
2002 1
1998 1
1994 1
1993 1
1975 1
Show 3 earlier declaration years
1974 1
1973 1
1969 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 21 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 21 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4898 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Winter Storm 2026-02-06
3635 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
3625 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-02
4601 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Tornado 2021-05-08
4594 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-04-21
4514 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-02
3473 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4427 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2019-04-17
4211 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Ice Storm 2015-04-02
4060 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND DR Severe Storm 2012-03-16
1937 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2010-09-15
1856 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-08-21
3217 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-05
1408 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-04-05
1197 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-01-13
1010 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM,FLASH FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1994-02-28
3095 SEVERE SNOWFALL, WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-14
459 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1975-03-22
424 TORNADOES DR Tornado 1974-04-04
395 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-06-28
Show 1 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
263 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1969-07-11

Storm Events in Tennessee

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Overton County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,558 22 58 $107.0M
Hail 1,690 0 0 $545.5K
Heat 1,343 9 15 $0
Flash Flood 1,264 55 3 $334.4M
Winter Weather 1,088 5 0 $261.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

11

Total Paid

$159.4K

Avg Per Claim

$14.5K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 22.2/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$7.3M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Lightning Relatively High
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Lightning

Lightning is modeled as a high-frequency, low-per-event hazard: strike counts are large, but each strike affects a very small area. Its aggregate cost accumulates through structure fires, electrical and electronic damage, and it is one of the few hazards whose risk is essentially continuous through the season rather than episodic.

For Overton County the two measures on this page point the same way: Lightning is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively High), and Severe Storm declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Overton County's closest FEMA peer: Contra Costa County, CA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Overton County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Overton County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Overton County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 21 FEMA declarations, Overton County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Overton County?
The most common disaster type in Overton County is Severe Storm, with 7 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (4), Winter Storm (2), Tornado (2).
How does Overton County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Tennessee average?
The typical Tennessee county has 21.4 FEMA declaration records; Overton County has 21, or 2% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 1% higher. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Overton County received?
Overton County has received 16 major disaster declarations, representing 76% of all 21 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Overton County filed?
Overton County has 11 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $159.4K in payments, with an average of $14.5K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Overton County?
No. In Overton County, Lightning has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $3.0M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Overton County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Overton County was 2020, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1969 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Overton County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Overton County, Tennessee has an overall risk score of 22.2 out of 100 (Very Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Moderate; on community resilience, Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $7.3M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Overton County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Overton County is Lightning (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Winter Weather (Relatively Low) and Earthquake (Very Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts lightning here at an average of 57 times per year, drawn from 52,645 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Overton County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Tennessee profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events