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Missouri · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Phelps County, MO

25 FEMA disaster declarations (1976-2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

25
FEMA declarations
18
Major disasters
54
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Phelps County. Its 25 FEMA declarations are 1% above the Missouri county mean and exceed the count for 71% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 46%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 46%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
25
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
305
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Phelps County compare?

Phelps County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

25 Top 29% higher than 71% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Phelps County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Missouri county average

0/100100/100Missouri avg51/10053.7/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Missouri county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Phelps County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $7.4M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Heat Wave carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Phelps County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 305 paid claims, totaling $11.6M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $37.9K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Phelps County's 25 federal records stand 1% above the Missouri county mean of 24.6. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 53.7/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $18.7M in annualized losses), and a Relatively Low social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively High community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Heat Wave carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 12 modeled event-days per year here, based on 154 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 25 entries for Phelps County, including 18 Major Disaster records, 1% above the Missouri county mean. Across the 49-year span, that works out to 0.5 declarations a year. Severe Storm leads the file with 13 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

64 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Phelps County, MO · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
18/30

25 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.2x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
13/25

25 declarations (1.0x state county average of 25)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

18 of 25 declarations are major disasters (72%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Phelps County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Missouri Avg

+1%

State avg: 24.6

vs. National Avg

+21%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.5

Over 49 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Phelps County

Phelps County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 8, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 27 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 27 8-hazard mean
Phelps County NRI risk profile FIPS 29161 · displayed-hazard mean 27/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

25

High volume

Major Disaster share

72%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

54

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Phelps County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 12 modeled event-days per year
Ice Storm Relatively High an average of 1 time per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 322 years
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 2.4 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 12 times per year
Landslide Relatively Low an average of 1 time per year
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 54 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 3.4 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 662 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 2.7 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 4.6 times per year
Drought Very Low 3.4 modeled event-days per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 65 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 13
Flood 5
Severe Ice Storm 3
Biological 2
Hurricane 1
Drought 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Phelps County's record, 52% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 18 72.0%

of all 25 declarations

Emergency - 7 28.0%

of all 25 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2025 2
2020 2
2017 1
2016 2
2015 1
2013 1
2011 2
2009 2
2008 3
2007 1
2006 1
2005 1
2003 1
2002 1
1994 1
Show 3 earlier declaration years
1993 1
1983 1
1976 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 25 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 25 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4867 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND WILDFIRES DR Severe Storm 2025-05-21
4855 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2025-01-01
4490 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-26
3482 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4317 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2017-06-02
4250 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2016-01-21
3374 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING EM Flood 2016-01-02
4238 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-08-07
4144 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2013-09-06
1980 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-09
3317 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2011-02-03
1847 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-06-19
3303 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2009-01-30
1749 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-03-19
1742 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-02-05
3281 SEVERE WINTER STORMS EM Severe Ice Storm 2007-12-12
1676 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Ice Storm 2007-01-15
1631 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2006-03-16
3232 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1463 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2003-05-06
Show 5 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1412 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-05-06
1023 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1994-04-21
995 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1993-07-09
672 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1982-12-10
3017 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-09-24

Storm Events in Missouri

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Phelps County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,391 30 52 $63.4M
Hail 4,411 0 1 $86.1M
Flash Flood 2,399 47 14 $406.6M
Flood 1,810 25 7 $304.6M
Drought 1,033 0 350 $53.6M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

305

Total Paid

$11.6M

Avg Per Claim

$37.9K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 53.7/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$18.7M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Low

Community Resilience

Relatively High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively High
Earthquake Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Very Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Drought Very Low
Hurricane Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Heat Wave

Heat Wave is measured in event-days per year rather than discrete events, and it is the hazard whose harm is most consistently undercounted: its toll is health and mortality, concentrated among people without cooling, rather than visible damage to property.

Worth noting for Phelps County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Heat Wave carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Phelps County's closest FEMA peer: Clarke County, MS

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Phelps County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Phelps County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Phelps County's NFIP claims file (305 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Phelps County?
The most common disaster type in Phelps County is Severe Storm, with 13 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (5), Severe Ice Storm (3), Biological (2).
How does Phelps County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Missouri average?
FEMA lists 25 declaration records for Phelps County. That is 1% above the Missouri county mean of 24.6. Its count is also 21% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Phelps County received?
Phelps County has received 18 major disaster declarations, representing 72% of all 25 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Phelps County filed?
Phelps County has 305 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $11.6M in payments, with an average of $37.9K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Phelps County?
No. In Phelps County, Heat Wave has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $7.4M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Phelps County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Phelps County was 2008, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1976 to 2025.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Phelps County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Phelps County, Missouri has an overall risk score of 53.7 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Low; on community resilience, Relatively High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $18.7M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Phelps County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Phelps County as of the latest release is Heat Wave (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Ice Storm (Relatively High) and Earthquake (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts heat wave here at 12 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 154 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Phelps County

Phelps County, MO has 25 federal declaration records, 1% more than the Missouri county mean of 25; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 18 of 25 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. Missouri overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the Missouri mean and the totals for 71% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.