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The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Missouri · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Texas County, MO

27 FEMA disaster declarations (1976-2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

27
FEMA declarations
20
Major disasters
62
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Texas County. Its 27 FEMA declarations are 10% above the Missouri county mean and exceed the count for 78% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 38%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 38%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
27
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
15
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Texas County compare?

Texas County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

27 Top 22% higher than 78% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Texas County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Missouri county average

0/100100/100Missouri avg51/10062.4/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Missouri county average

What does Texas County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 62.4/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $16.5M in annualized losses), and a Relatively High social-vulnerability profile combined with Very Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Cold Wave stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 2.3 times per year here, based on 44 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 27 entries for Texas County, including 20 Major Disaster records, 10% above the Missouri county mean. Across the 49-year span, that works out to 0.6 declarations a year. Severe Storm leads the file with 14 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 15 claims and $309.7K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Texas County's 27 federal records stand 10% above the Missouri county mean of 24.6. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

71 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Texas County, MO · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
20/30

27 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.3x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
14/25

27 declarations (1.1x state county average of 25)

Major Disaster Share Very High
19/25

20 of 27 declarations are major disasters (74%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Texas County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Missouri Avg

+10%

State avg: 24.6

vs. National Avg

+30%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.6

Over 49 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Texas County

Texas County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 25, Drought 25, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 31 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 31 8-hazard mean
Texas County NRI risk profile FIPS 29215 · displayed-hazard mean 31/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

27

High volume

Major Disaster share

74%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

62

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Texas County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Cold Wave Relatively High an average of 2.3 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 12 modeled event-days per year
Ice Storm Relatively High an average of 1.1 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 227 years
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 12 times per year
Landslide Relatively Low an average of 1.8 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 484 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 3.5 times per year
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 55 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 3.1 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 52 years
Drought Relatively Low 1.9 modeled event-days per year
Hail Very Low an average of 4.7 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 14
Flood 4
Severe Ice Storm 4
Biological 2
Hurricane 1
Tornado 1
Drought 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Texas County's record, 52% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 20 74.1%

of all 27 declarations

Emergency - 7 25.9%

of all 27 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2025 2
2024 1
2020 2
2019 1
2017 1
2016 2
2015 1
2013 2
2011 2
2009 3
2008 3
2007 1
2005 1
2002 1
1994 1
Show 3 earlier declaration years
1993 1
1979 1
1976 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 27 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 27 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4872 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2025-05-21
4855 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2025-01-01
4803 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2024-07-23
4490 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-26
3482 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4451 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2019-07-09
4317 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2017-06-02
4250 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2016-01-21
3374 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING EM Flood 2016-01-02
4238 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-08-07
4144 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2013-09-06
4130 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2013-07-18
1980 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-09
3317 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Storm 2011-02-03
1847 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-06-19
3303 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2009-01-30
1809 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND A TORNADO DR Severe Storm 2008-11-13
1749 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-03-19
1748 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Ice Storm 2008-03-12
3281 SEVERE WINTER STORMS EM Severe Ice Storm 2007-12-12
Show 7 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1676 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Ice Storm 2007-01-15
3232 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1412 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-05-06
1006 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1993-12-01
995 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1993-07-09
579 TORNADOES, TORRENTIAL RAIN & FLOODING DR Tornado 1979-04-21
3017 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-09-24

Storm Events in Missouri

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Texas County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,391 30 52 $63.4M
Hail 4,411 0 1 $86.1M
Flash Flood 2,399 47 14 $406.6M
Flood 1,810 25 7 $304.6M
Drought 1,033 0 350 $53.6M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

15

Total Paid

$309.7K

Avg Per Claim

$20.6K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 62.4/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$16.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Cold Wave Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively High
Earthquake Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Wildfire Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Drought Relatively Low
Hail Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Cold Wave

Cold Wave measures exposure to extreme cold rather than to snow. Its harm is concentrated in health effects, burst infrastructure and energy demand spikes, and it falls hardest where the building stock and the grid were not built with sustained cold in mind.

Worth noting for Texas County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Cold Wave carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Texas County's closest FEMA peer: Bucks County, PA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Texas County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Texas County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 27 FEMA declarations, Texas County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Texas County?
The most common disaster type in Texas County is Severe Storm, with 14 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (4), Severe Ice Storm (4), Biological (2).
How does Texas County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Missouri average?
FEMA lists 27 declaration records for Texas County. That is 10% above the Missouri county mean of 24.6. Its count is also 30% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Texas County received?
Texas County has received 20 major disaster declarations, representing 74% of all 27 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Texas County filed?
Texas County has 15 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $309.7K in payments, with an average of $20.6K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Texas County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Texas County was 2008, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1976 to 2025.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Texas County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Texas County, Missouri has an overall risk score of 62.4 out of 100 (Relatively Low). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively High, while community resilience comes in at Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $16.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Texas County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Texas County as of the latest release is Cold Wave (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Heat Wave (Relatively Moderate) and Ice Storm (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts cold wave here at an average of 2.3 times per year, drawn from 44 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Texas County

Texas County, MO has 27 federal declaration records, 10% more than the Missouri county mean of 25; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 20 of 27 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. Missouri overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the Missouri mean and the totals for 78% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • A short NFIP claims file cannot establish low flood exposure; the data guide explains the limits of each federal measure. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.