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Iowa · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Polk County, IA

20 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Flood.

20
FEMA declarations
18
Major disasters
92
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Polk County. Its 20 FEMA declarations are 4% above the Iowa county mean and exceed the count for 46% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 8%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 8%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
20
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
1,550
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 19153 · Polk County 20 declarations · rank 1695/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-HEAVY · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-MID · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 20
  • MAJOR-HEAVY 90%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,695
  • PHOTO-FINISH Monona
  • NRI-MID 92
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Flood
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +4%

Nearest declaration peer: Monona, IA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Iowa state profile

Polk County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Polk County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Polk County carries 20 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1695 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Polk County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Polk County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Polk County

20 46th percentile higher than 46% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Polk County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Iowa avg40/10092/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Iowa county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Polk County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $60.6M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Strong Wind carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Polk County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 1,550 claims and $37.1M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $23.9K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Polk County's 20 federal records stand 4% above the Iowa county mean of 19.3. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 92.0/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $137.6M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Very Low and community resilience Very High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Strong Wind stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 6 times per year here, based on 229 historical events on record.

65 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Polk County, IA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
14/30

20 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
13/25

20 declarations (1.0x state county average of 19)

Major Disaster Share Very High
23/25

18 of 20 declarations are major disasters (90%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Polk County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Polk County

Polk County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 48, Hurricane 8, Tornado 70, Wildfire 8, Drought 70, Heat Wave 70, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 46 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 46 8-hazard mean
Polk County NRI risk profile FIPS 19153 · displayed-hazard mean 46/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

20

Above median

Major Disaster share

90%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

92

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Polk County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Strong Wind Very High an average of 6 times per year
Tornado Relatively High roughly once every 2 years
Hail Relatively High an average of 6.1 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively High 7.3 modeled event-days per year
Drought Relatively High 6.5 modeled event-days per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 5.1 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively High roughly once every 1 years
Cold Wave Relatively High an average of 6 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 14 times per year
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 44 times per year
Landslide Relatively Low roughly once every 8 years
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 1,647 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 3,822 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 101 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 8
Severe Storm 7
Biological 2
Tornado 1
Hurricane 1
Snowstorm 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Polk County's record, 40% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 18 90.0%

of all 20 declarations

Emergency - 2 10.0%

of all 20 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 2
2020 3
2019 1
2018 1
2010 1
2008 1
2007 1
2005 1
2004 1
1998 2
1993 1
1990 1
1974 1
1969 2
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 20 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 20 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4784 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2024-05-24
4779 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Tornado 2024-05-14
4557 SEVERE STORMS DR Severe Storm 2020-08-17
4483 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-23
3480 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4421 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-03-23
4386 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2018-08-20
1930 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2010-07-29
1763 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-05-27
1688 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2007-03-14
3239 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1518 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-05-25
1230 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Flood 1998-07-02
1191 SEVERE SNOWSTORMS DR Snowstorm 1997-11-20
996 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1993-07-09
868 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1990-05-26
443 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-06-24
269 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1969-08-14
259 FLOODING DR Flood 1969-04-25
193 FLOODING DR Flood 1965-04-22

Storm Events in Iowa

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Polk County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 4,928 6 227 $40.5M
Hail 3,736 0 0 $4.3M
Heavy Rain 2,394 0 0 $292.0K
Drought 1,556 0 0 $0
Winter Storm 1,543 3 4 $2.8M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

1,550

Total Paid

$37.1M

Avg Per Claim

$23.9K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 92.0/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Moderate

$137.6M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Strong Wind Very High
Tornado Relatively High
Hail Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively High
Drought Relatively High
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively High
Cold Wave Relatively High
Winter Weather Relatively High
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Landslide Relatively Low
Earthquake Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Hurricane Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Strong Wind

Strong Wind covers damaging non-thunderstorm, non-tornadic wind, the kind produced by steep pressure gradients and downslope events. It is a broad, frequent, low-drama hazard: roofs, signage, power lines and high-profile vehicles, spread across a wide area rather than concentrated on a path.

Worth noting for Polk County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Strong Wind carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Polk County's closest FEMA peer: York County, NE

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Polk County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Polk County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Polk County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Polk County's NFIP claims file (1,550 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Polk County?
The most common disaster type in Polk County is Flood, with 8 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (7), Biological (2), Tornado (1).
How does Polk County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Iowa average?
FEMA lists 20 declaration records for Polk County. That is 4% above the Iowa county mean of 19.3. Its count is also 3% below the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Polk County received?
Polk County has received 18 major disaster declarations, representing 90% of all 20 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Polk County filed?
Polk County has 1,550 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $37.1M in payments, with an average of $23.9K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Polk County?
No. In Polk County, Strong Wind has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $60.6M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Polk County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Polk County was 2020, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Polk County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Polk County, Iowa has an overall risk score of 92.0 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). Social vulnerability here rates Very Low, while community resilience comes in at Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Moderate, representing $137.6M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Polk County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Polk County is Strong Wind (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Tornado (Relatively High) and Hail (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts strong wind here at an average of 6 times per year, drawn from 229 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Polk County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Iowa profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events