FEMA Records
25
High volume
Rhode Island · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index
25 FEMA disaster declarations (1978-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Hurricane.
The verdict
Two federal records point in the busier direction for Providence County. Its 25 FEMA declarations are 9% above the Rhode Island county mean and exceed the count for 71% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 6%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.
FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.
Providence County vs. all counties in this dataset
FEMA disaster declarations, all-time
25 Top 29% higher than 71% of 3,266 counties
Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.
Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03
FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Providence County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $93.3M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Heat Wave carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.
FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 1,625 claims and $48.9M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $30.1K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.
The declaration register points in the busier direction. Providence County's 25 federal records stand 9% above the Rhode Island county mean of 23.0. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.
This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 93.7/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Moderate (roughly $129.5M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Moderate and community resilience Relatively High, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Heat Wave stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 6 modeled event-days per year here, based on 99 historical events on record.
The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 25 entries for Providence County, including 13 Major Disaster records, 9% above the Rhode Island county mean. Across the 46-year span, that works out to 0.5 declarations a year. Hurricane leads the file with 7 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.
Historical Activity Index
High historical activity
Providence County, RI · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records
This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology
25 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.2x national county average)
25 declarations (1.1x state county average of 23)
13 of 25 declarations are major disasters (52%)
6 different disaster types declared in Providence County
Activity Band
High
vs. Rhode Island Avg
+9%
State avg: 23.0
vs. National Avg
+21%
National avg: 20.7
Avg Per Year
0.5
Over 46 years
Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.
FEMA Records
25
High volume
Major Disaster share
52%
Major-heavy
NRI risk score
94
Relatively Moderate
Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release
FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.
| Hazard | NRI Risk Rating | Recurrence |
|---|---|---|
| Heat Wave | Relatively High | 6 modeled event-days per year |
| Riverine Flooding | Relatively High | an average of 3 times per year |
| Hurricane | Relatively Moderate | roughly once every 6 years |
| Cold Wave | Relatively High | an average of 1.3 times per year |
| Earthquake | Relatively Low | roughly once every 760 years |
| Lightning | Relatively High | an average of 22 times per year |
| Ice Storm | Relatively High | an average of 2.4 times per year |
| Tornado | Relatively Moderate | roughly once every 10 years |
| Hail | Relatively Moderate | an average of 2 times per year |
| Landslide | Relatively Low | roughly once every 3 years |
| Coastal Flooding | Relatively Low | an average of 3.8 times per year |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate | an average of 1.2 times per year |
| Winter Weather | Relatively Low | an average of 14 times per year |
| Drought | Relatively Low | 2.1 modeled event-days per year |
| Wildfire | Very Low | roughly once every 23,778 years |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release
Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Providence County's federal record, 28% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.
One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.
Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.
FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).
of all 25 declarations
of all 25 declarations
| Year | Declarations | |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3 | |
| 2022 | 1 | |
| 2021 | 1 | |
| 2020 | 2 | |
| 2015 | 1 | |
| 2013 | 2 | |
| 2011 | 2 | |
| 2010 | 2 | |
| 2005 | 2 | |
| 2003 | 1 | |
| 1997 | 1 | |
| 1996 | 1 | |
| 1993 | 1 | |
| 1992 | 1 | |
| 1991 | 1 | |
| 1986 | 1 | |
| 1978 | 2 | |
How the 25 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.
Download these 25 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.
| DR# | Title | Type | Incident | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4765 | SEVERE STORM AND FLOODING | DR | Severe Storm | 2024-03-20 |
| 4766 | SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING | DR | Severe Storm | 2024-03-20 |
| 4753 | SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES | DR | Severe Storm | 2024-01-07 |
| 4653 | SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM | DR | Snowstorm | 2022-05-12 |
| 3563 | HURRICANE HENRI | EM | Hurricane | 2021-08-21 |
| 4505 | COVID-19 PANDEMIC | DR | Biological | 2020-03-30 |
| 3440 | COVID-19 | EM | Biological | 2020-03-13 |
| 4212 | SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM | DR | Severe Storm | 2015-04-03 |
| 4107 | SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM | DR | Severe Storm | 2013-03-22 |
| 3355 | HURRICANE SANDY | EM | Hurricane | 2012-10-29 |
| 4027 | TROPICAL STORM IRENE | DR | Hurricane | 2011-09-03 |
| 3334 | HURRICANE IRENE | EM | Hurricane | 2011-08-27 |
| 3311 | SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING | EM | Severe Storm | 2010-03-30 |
| 1894 | SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING | DR | Severe Storm | 2010-03-29 |
| 3255 | HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION | EM | Hurricane | 2005-09-19 |
| 3203 | RECORD SNOW | EM | Snowstorm | 2005-02-17 |
| 3182 | SNOW | EM | Snowstorm | 2003-03-27 |
| 3123 | MAJOR WATER MAIN BREAK | EM | Other | 1996-11-19 |
| 1091 | BLIZZARD OF 96 (SEVERE SNOW STORM) | DR | Snowstorm | 1996-01-24 |
| 3102 | BLIZZARDS, HIGH WINDS & RECORD SNOWFALL | EM | Snowstorm | 1993-03-16 |
| DR# | Title | Type | Incident | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3094 | WATER CONTAMINATION | EM | Toxic Substances | 1992-09-16 |
| 913 | HURRICANE BOB | DR | Hurricane | 1991-08-26 |
| 748 | HURRICANE GLORIA | DR | Hurricane | 1985-10-15 |
| 548 | SNOW & ICE | DR | Snowstorm | 1978-02-16 |
| 3058 | BLIZZARD & SNOWSTORMS | EM | Snowstorm | 1978-02-07 |
Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Providence County.
| Storm Type | Events | Fatalities | Injuries | Property Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunderstorm Wind | 175 | 0 | 2 | $987.6K |
| Strong Wind | 144 | 1 | 2 | $489.8K |
| High Wind | 124 | 1 | 1 | $427.6K |
| Heavy Snow | 99 | 0 | 1 | $105.0K |
| Flood | 72 | 0 | 0 | $74.3K |
Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025
Total Claims
1,625
Total Paid
$48.9M
Avg Per Claim
$30.1K
Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data
Overall Risk
Relatively Moderate
Score: 93.7/100
Expected Annual Loss
Relatively Moderate
$129.5M/year
Social Vulnerability
Relatively Moderate
Community Resilience
Relatively High
Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri
Heat Wave is measured in event-days per year rather than discrete events, and it is the hazard whose harm is most consistently undercounted: its toll is health and mortality, concentrated among people without cooling, rather than visible damage to property.
Worth noting for Providence County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Heat Wave carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.
National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.
Data-matched county comparisons
Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Providence County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.
Providence County shows 25 FEMA declarations, led by Hurricane.
Providence County: 13 of 25 of its declarations are Major.
Providence County: NRI composite 93.7 (Relatively Moderate).
Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.
Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Providence County - capture-dated entries only.
Understanding disaster data
Providence County's NFIP claims file (1,625 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.
Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.
Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.
Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.
This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.
What this means for Providence County
Providence County, RI has 25 federal declaration records, 9% more than the Rhode Island county mean of 23; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.
An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.
PlainHazard derives this profile from FEMA's Disaster Declarations Summaries and National Risk Index data. The declaration comparison covers 3,266 U.S. counties and county equivalents in this database, refreshed as of 2026-08-03. Read our methodology - how this data is sourced, computed, and verified.
Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →
Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.