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Kansas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Rawlins County, KS

10 FEMA disaster declarations (2005-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

10
FEMA declarations
7
Major disasters
5
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Rawlins County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 10 declarations, more than 10% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 44% below the Kansas county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 5%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 5%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
10
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
6
severe storm declarations, the most common hazard here

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 20153 · Rawlins County 10 declarations · rank 2943/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 10
  • MAJOR-MID 70%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,943
  • PHOTO-FINISH Cheyenne
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -44%

Nearest declaration peer: Cheyenne, NE (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Kansas state profile

Rawlins County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Rawlins County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Rawlins County carries 10 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2943 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Rawlins County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Rawlins County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Rawlins County

10 10th percentile higher than 10% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Rawlins County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Kansas avg30/1004.8/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Kansas county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Rawlins County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $1.3M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Drought carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Rawlins County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits at the very bottom of FEMA's National Risk Index nationally, a composite score of 4.8/100 (rated Very Low). Projected losses are minimal, Expected Annual Loss reads Very Low (roughly $4.2M in annualized losses), and the county's exposure is shaped by a Very Low social-vulnerability profile and Relatively Low community resilience. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Drought carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 94 modeled event-days per year here, based on 2,366 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

No paid-claim row for this county appears in the NFIP county table used by PlainHazard. That absence is not evidence that flooding never occurred: the register observes claims under federal flood-insurance policies, not uninsured losses, emergency reports, or every flood outside the program. The FEMA declaration history below is therefore the available federal-action record on this page.

Start with the state benchmark: a Kansas county averages 18.0 federal declaration records, while Rawlins County has 10. The gap is 44% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

42 /100

Historical Activity Index

Moderate historical activity

Rawlins County, KS · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Low
7/30

10 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.5x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
7/25

10 declarations (0.6x state county average of 18)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

7 of 10 declarations are major disasters (70%)

Hazard Diversity High
10/20

4 different disaster types declared in Rawlins County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Rawlins County

Rawlins County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 16 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 16 8-hazard mean
Rawlins County NRI risk profile FIPS 20153 · displayed-hazard mean 16/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

10

Low volume

Major Disaster share

70%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

5

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Rawlins County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Drought Relatively Moderate 94 modeled event-days per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 8.5 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 14 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 2,935 years
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 5 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Lightning Very Low an average of 44 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 3 years
Strong Wind Very Low an average of 4.7 times per year
Cold Wave Very Low an average of 5.3 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 4,149 years
Heat Wave Very Low 2.2 modeled event-days per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low roughly once every 1 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 6
Biological 2
Snowstorm 1
Hurricane 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Rawlins County's record, 60% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 7 70.0%

of all 10 declarations

Emergency - 3 30.0%

of all 10 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2024 1
2020 2
2017 1
2010 1
2008 1
2007 1
2006 1
2005 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 10 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 10 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4897 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2025-12-19
4747 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2023-10-26
4504 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-29
3481 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4319 SEVERE WINTER STORM, SNOWSTORM, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Snowstorm 2017-06-16
1885 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND SNOWSTORM DR Severe Storm 2010-03-09
3282 SEVERE WINTER STORMS EM Severe Storm 2007-12-12
1675 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2007-01-07
1626 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2006-01-26
3236 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-10

Storm Events in Kansas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Rawlins County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 8,265 0 9 $24.2M
Thunderstorm Wind 7,987 3 34 $30.6M
High Wind 1,553 1 7 $10.2M
Drought 1,272 0 0 $0
Flash Flood 1,037 6 9 $35.9M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 4.8/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$4.2M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very Low

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Drought Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Lightning Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Drought

Drought is the slowest of the modeled hazards and the least visible: it does its damage to agriculture, water supply and soil over seasons rather than hours, so it rarely produces the kind of single-day damage that drives a disaster declaration. FEMA scores it in event-days per year rather than discrete events for exactly that reason.

Worth noting for Rawlins County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Drought carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Rawlins County's closest FEMA peer: Mille Lacs County, MN

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Rawlins County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Rawlins County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Rawlins County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 10 FEMA declarations, Rawlins County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Rawlins County?
The most common disaster type in Rawlins County is Severe Storm, with 6 declarations. Other disaster types include Biological (2), Snowstorm (1), Hurricane (1).
How does Rawlins County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Kansas average?
The typical Kansas county has 18.0 FEMA declaration records; Rawlins County has 10, or 44% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 52% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Rawlins County received?
Rawlins County has received 7 major disaster declarations, representing 70% of all 10 disaster declarations.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Rawlins County?
No. In Rawlins County, Drought has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $1.3M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Rawlins County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Rawlins County was 2020, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 2005 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Rawlins County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Rawlins County, Kansas has an overall risk score of 4.8 out of 100 (Very Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Very Low; on community resilience, Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $4.2M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Rawlins County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Rawlins County as of the latest release is Drought (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Hail (Relatively Low) and Winter Weather (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts drought here at 94 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 2,366 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Rawlins County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Kansas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events