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New Mexico · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Roosevelt County, NM

7 FEMA disaster declarations (1977-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Biological.

7
FEMA declarations
2
Major disasters
84
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Biological
Top hazard

The verdict

Start with the local benchmark for Roosevelt County: 7 FEMA declaration records are 44% below the New Mexico county mean, even though the count is higher than 4% of counties in the national registry. On FEMA's distinct National Risk Index model, which combines expected loss with vulnerability and resilience, the county ranks in the riskiest 16%.

Riskiest 16%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
7
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
30
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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How does Roosevelt County compare?

Roosevelt County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

7 4th percentile higher than 4% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Roosevelt County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the New Mexico county average

0/100100/100New Mexico avg59/10084.1/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the New Mexico county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Roosevelt County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $20.3M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Wildfire carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Roosevelt County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 84.1/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Low (roughly $45.0M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively Moderate and community resilience Very Low, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Wildfire stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 59 years here.

Declaration frequency

The state comparison is the clearest context for Roosevelt County's moderate federal record. Its 7 declarations sit 44% below the New Mexico county mean, with 2 Major Disaster entries among them. 2 records concern Biological, the file's most frequent incident type. Spread across 43 years, the registry rate is 0.2 per year. FEMA reports authorized programs separately from the DR, EM, and FM codes.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 30 claims and $322.4K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a New Mexico county averages 12.5 federal declaration records, while Roosevelt County has 7. The gap is 44% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

32 /100

Historical Activity Index

Moderate historical activity

Roosevelt County, NM · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Low
5/30

7 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.3x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
7/25

7 declarations (0.6x state county average of 12)

Major Disaster Share Moderate
7/25

2 of 7 declarations are major disasters (29%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in Roosevelt County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

Moderate

vs. New Mexico Avg

-44%

State avg: 12.5

vs. National Avg

-66%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.2

Over 43 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Roosevelt County

Roosevelt County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 48, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 70, Drought 70, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 38 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 38 8-hazard mean
Roosevelt County NRI risk profile FIPS 35041 · displayed-hazard mean 38/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

7

Low volume

Major Disaster share

29%

Mixed major share

NRI risk score

84

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Roosevelt County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Wildfire Relatively High roughly once every 59 years
Drought Relatively High 110 modeled event-days per year
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 2.6 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 1.1 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 7.4 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 1.2 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 1.6 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 50 times per year
Volcanic Activity Very Low roughly once every 10,000 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 3,115 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 4 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Biological 2
Fire 2
Hurricane 1
Severe Storm 1
Drought 1

What Biological declarations mean here

Biological is the most frequent declaration type on Roosevelt County's record, 29% of its declarations. In practice this category is dominated by the COVID-19 declarations of 2020, which were issued across every US state and territory rather than in response to any local hazard event.

This has a direct consequence for how Roosevelt County's number should be read. Because those declarations reached essentially every county in the country, they raise every county's total by a similar amount and tell you nothing about local hazard exposure. A county whose record is led by Biological declarations is, in most cases, a county with a genuinely quiet weather-hazard history, the pandemic records are simply the largest thing in an otherwise short list.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Emergency - 4 57.1%

of all 7 declarations

Major Disaster - 2 28.6%

of all 7 declarations

Fire Management - 1 14.3%

of all 7 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 2
2011 1
2005 1
2000 1
1998 1
1977 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 7 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 7 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4529 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-05
3460 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
2897 TIRE FIRE FM Fire 2011-04-17
3229 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-07
3154 SEVERE FIRE THREATS EM Fire 2000-05-10
1202 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 1998-01-29
3034 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-03-02

Storm Events in New Mexico

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Roosevelt County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Drought 3,382 0 0 $0
High Wind 2,351 0 3 $18.9M
Hail 1,669 1 24 $17.2M
Heavy Snow 986 6 72 $2.5M
Thunderstorm Wind 952 1 13 $25.1M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

30

Total Paid

$322.4K

Avg Per Claim

$10.7K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 84.1/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$45.0M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Wildfire Relatively High
Drought Relatively High
Hail Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Volcanic Activity Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Landslide Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Wildfire

Wildfire risk in the model reflects fuel, terrain, weather and how much development sits in the wildland-urban interface. It is one of the few hazards where the exposure is materially changed by land management and building choices, not only by where the county happens to be.

Worth noting for Roosevelt County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Wildfire carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively High), while the county's declaration history is led by Biological. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Roosevelt County's closest FEMA peer: Erie County, PA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Roosevelt County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Roosevelt County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

FEMA's National Risk Index flags Wildfire as the top modeled exposure here (Relatively High); the guide explains how that model differs from declaration counts.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Roosevelt County?
The most common disaster type in Roosevelt County is Biological, with 2 declarations. Other disaster types include Fire (2), Hurricane (1), Severe Storm (1).
How does Roosevelt County's FEMA declaration record compare with the New Mexico average?
The typical New Mexico county has 12.5 FEMA declaration records; Roosevelt County has 7, or 44% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 66% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Roosevelt County received?
Roosevelt County has received 2 major disaster declarations, representing 29% of all 7 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Roosevelt County filed?
Roosevelt County has 30 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $322.4K in payments, with an average of $10.7K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Roosevelt County?
No. In Roosevelt County, Wildfire has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $20.3M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Roosevelt County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Roosevelt County was 2020, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1977 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Roosevelt County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Roosevelt County, New Mexico has an overall risk score of 84.1 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Moderate and community resilience is Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $45.0M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Roosevelt County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Roosevelt County as of the latest release is Wildfire (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Drought (Relatively High) and Hail (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts wildfire here at roughly once every 59 years. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Roosevelt County

Against a New Mexico county mean of 12 declarations, Roosevelt County, NM records 7, or 44% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as moderate activity.

  • Emergency is the largest group (4 of 7) in a declaration history that remains below its state benchmark; frequency here is not a forecast. New Mexico overview
  • Nationally the county exceeds 4% of recorded county totals, but its own New Mexico benchmark is higher. The ranking keeps those two contexts separate. Most-disaster rankings
  • A short NFIP claims file cannot establish low flood exposure; the data guide explains the limits of each federal measure. Disaster-data guide

A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.