PlainHazard

If you are in immediate danger, call 911.

The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Texas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

San Jacinto County, TX

32 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

32
FEMA declarations
23
Major disasters
59
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for San Jacinto County. Its 32 FEMA declarations are 53% above the Texas county mean and exceed the count for 89% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 41%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 41%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
32
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
491
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

View my watchlist

How does San Jacinto County compare?

San Jacinto County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

32 Top 11% higher than 89% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

San Jacinto County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

0/100100/100Texas avg49/10058.9/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for San Jacinto County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $6.4M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Low), while Tornado carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does San Jacinto County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 491 paid claims, totaling $10.2M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $20.7K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. San Jacinto County's 32 federal records stand 53% above the Texas county mean of 20.9. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 58.9/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Very Low (roughly $14.1M in annualized losses), and a Very High social-vulnerability profile combined with Very Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Tornado carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 2 years here, based on 19 historical events on record.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 32 entries for San Jacinto County, including 23 Major Disaster records, 53% above the Texas county mean. Across the 52-year span, that works out to 0.6 declarations a year. Hurricane leads the file with 10 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

78 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

San Jacinto County, TX · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
23/30

32 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.5x national county average)

County Disaster Density Very High
19/25

32 declarations (1.5x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

23 of 32 declarations are major disasters (72%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in San Jacinto County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Texas Avg

+53%

State avg: 20.9

vs. National Avg

+54%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.6

Over 52 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - San Jacinto County

San Jacinto County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 25, Tornado 48, Wildfire 25, Drought 0, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 23 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 23 8-hazard mean
San Jacinto County NRI risk profile FIPS 48407 · displayed-hazard mean 23/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

32

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

72%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

59

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike San Jacinto County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 8 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 71 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 555 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.3 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 12 modeled event-days per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 1.5 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 10 years
Hail Very Low an average of 2.4 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,560 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 1.5 times per year
Drought No Rating 20 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 10
Flood 9
Severe Storm 5
Fire 3
Severe Ice Storm 2
Biological 2
Coastal Storm 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on San Jacinto County's federal record, 31% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 23 71.9%

of all 32 declarations

Emergency - 8 25.0%

of all 32 declarations

Fire Management - 1 3.1%

of all 32 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2025 1
2024 2
2021 2
2020 4
2017 1
2016 2
2015 1
2008 3
2006 1
2005 3
2003 1
2001 1
1999 2
1998 1
1995 1
Show 5 earlier declaration years
1992 1
1990 1
1989 2
1983 1
1973 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 32 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 32 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
5573 PAULINE ROAD FIRE FM Fire 2025-03-20
4798 HURRICANE BERYL DR Hurricane 2024-07-09
4781 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2024-05-17
4586 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-19
3554 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-14
3540 TROPICAL STORMS MARCO AND LAURA EM Hurricane 2020-08-24
4485 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3458 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4466 TROPICAL STORM IMELDA DR Flood 2019-10-04
4332 HURRICANE HARVEY DR Hurricane 2017-08-25
4272 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2016-06-11
4269 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2016-04-25
4223 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-05-29
1791 HURRICANE IKE DR Hurricane 2008-09-13
3294 HURRICANE IKE EM Hurricane 2008-09-10
3290 HURRICANE GUSTAV EM Hurricane 2008-08-29
1624 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-11
1606 HURRICANE RITA DR Hurricane 2005-09-24
3261 HURRICANE RITA EM Hurricane 2005-09-21
3216 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
Show 12 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1439 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-11-05
1379 TX-TROPICAL STORM ALLISON-06-06-2001 DR Coastal Storm 2001-06-09
3142 EXTREME FIRE HAZARDS EM Fire 1999-09-01
1257 TX-FLOODING 10/18/98 DR Flood 1998-10-21
1239 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DR Severe Storm 1998-08-26
1041 SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1994-10-18
930 SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DR Flood 1991-12-26
863 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1990-05-02
836 TROPICAL STORM ALLISON DR Flood 1989-07-18
828 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1989-05-19
689 HURRICANE ALICIA DR Hurricane 1983-08-19
398 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-07-11

Storm Events in Texas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to San Jacinto County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 14,072 0 15 $7.4B
Thunderstorm Wind 10,293 41 141 $369.9M
Drought 7,032 0 0 $86.0K
Flash Flood 4,728 338 24 $47.6B
Heat 4,079 119 405 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

491

Total Paid

$10.2M

Avg Per Claim

$20.7K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 58.9/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$14.1M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Tornado Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Hail Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Drought No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Tornado

Tornado exposure is the most spatially concentrated in the model: total destruction along a narrow corridor with intact property either side. County-level averages therefore understate severity badly for anyone actually in the path, and overstate it for everyone else.

Worth noting for San Jacinto County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Tornado carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

San Jacinto County's closest FEMA peer: Cullman County, AL

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for San Jacinto County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for San Jacinto County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

San Jacinto County's NFIP claims file (491 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in San Jacinto County?
The most common disaster type in San Jacinto County is Hurricane, with 10 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (9), Severe Storm (5), Fire (3).
How does San Jacinto County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Texas average?
FEMA lists 32 declaration records for San Jacinto County. That is 53% above the Texas county mean of 20.9. Its count is also 54% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has San Jacinto County received?
San Jacinto County has received 23 major disaster declarations, representing 72% of all 32 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has San Jacinto County filed?
San Jacinto County has 491 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $10.2M in payments, with an average of $20.7K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in San Jacinto County?
No. In San Jacinto County, Tornado has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $6.4M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in San Jacinto County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in San Jacinto County was 2020, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2025.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for San Jacinto County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, San Jacinto County, Texas has an overall risk score of 58.9 out of 100 (Relatively Low). Social vulnerability here rates Very High, while community resilience comes in at Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $14.1M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to San Jacinto County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in San Jacinto County is Tornado (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Hurricane (Relatively Low) and Lightning (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts tornado here at roughly once every 2 years, drawn from 19 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for San Jacinto County

San Jacinto County, TX has 32 federal declaration records, 53% more than the Texas county mean of 21; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 23 of 32 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. Texas overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the Texas mean and the totals for 89% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.