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Virginia · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Scott County, VA

20 FEMA disaster declarations (1977-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

20
FEMA declarations
12
Major disasters
42
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Scott County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 20 declarations, more than 46% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 2% below the Virginia county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 42%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 42%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
20
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
36
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 51169 · Scott County 20 declarations · rank 1621/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 20
  • MAJOR-MID 60%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,621
  • PHOTO-FINISH Monona
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -2%

Nearest declaration peer: Monona, IA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Virginia state profile

Scott County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Scott County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Scott County carries 20 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1621 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Scott County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Scott County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Scott County

20 46th percentile higher than 46% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Scott County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Virginia avg33/10042/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Virginia county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Scott County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $6.8M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Scott County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 42.0/100 for this county (Very Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $8.4M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Very High) and community resilience (Very Low) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Landslide carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.8 times per year here.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 36 claims and $394.7K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Virginia county averages 20.4 federal declaration records, while Scott County has 20. The gap is 2% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

61 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Scott County, VA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
14/30

20 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

20 declarations (1.0x state county average of 20)

Major Disaster Share High
15/25

12 of 20 declarations are major disasters (60%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Scott County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Scott County

Scott County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 8, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 17 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 17 8-hazard mean
Scott County NRI risk profile FIPS 51169 · displayed-hazard mean 17/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

20

Above median

Major Disaster share

60%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

42

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Scott County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Landslide Relatively Moderate an average of 1.8 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 505 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 389 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 3.8 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 11 times per year
Drought Relatively Low 12 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 51 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 96 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 1.4 times per year
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 11 years
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 15 years
Hail Very Low an average of 2.9 times per year
Heat Wave Very Low 0.1 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 6
Snowstorm 4
Hurricane 3
Tropical Storm 2
Biological 2
Winter Storm 1
Fire 1
Flood 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Scott County's record, 30% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 12 60.0%

of all 20 declarations

Emergency - 7 35.0%

of all 20 declarations

Fire Management - 1 5.0%

of all 20 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 2
2024 1
2020 2
2018 1
2013 1
2010 1
2005 1
2003 1
2002 3
2001 1
2000 1
1996 1
1994 1
1993 1
Show 1 earlier declaration years
1977 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 20 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 20 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3631 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-23
4863 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2025-04-04
4831 TROPICAL STORM HELENE DR Tropical Storm 2024-10-01
3621 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HELENE EM Tropical Storm 2024-09-29
4512 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-02
3448 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3403 HURRICANE FLORENCE EM Hurricane 2018-09-11
3359 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-29
1874 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Snowstorm 2010-02-16
3240 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-12
1458 SEVERE WINTER STORM, RECORD/NEAR RECORD SNOWFALL, HEAVY RAIN,FLOODIND, AND MUDSLIDE DR Severe Storm 2003-03-27
1411 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-05-05
1406 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-04-02
2390 VA - FAR SOUTHWEST FIRE COMPLEX - 11/16/2001 FM Fire 2001-11-16
1386 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2001-07-12
1318 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2000-02-28
1086 BLIZZARD OF 96 (SEVERE SNOW STORM) DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
1014 SEVERE ICE STORMS, FLOODING DR Snowstorm 1994-03-10
3112 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-25
530 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1977-04-07

Storm Events in Virginia

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Scott County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 8,940 13 31 $123.1M
Flood 2,300 4 0 $85.1M
Winter Weather 2,049 6 32 $902.0K
Flash Flood 1,942 13 4 $244.2M
Heavy Rain 1,566 0 0 $2.5M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

36

Total Paid

$394.7K

Avg Per Claim

$11.0K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 42.0/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$8.4M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Avalanche Very Low
Earthquake Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Tornado Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Hail Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Landslide

Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.

Worth noting for Scott County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Scott County's closest FEMA peer: Brooks County, GA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Scott County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Scott County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Scott County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 20 FEMA declarations, Scott County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Scott County?
The most common disaster type in Scott County is Severe Storm, with 6 declarations. Other disaster types include Snowstorm (4), Hurricane (3), Tropical Storm (2).
How does Scott County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Virginia average?
The typical Virginia county has 20.4 FEMA declaration records; Scott County has 20, or 2% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 3% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Scott County received?
Scott County has received 12 major disaster declarations, representing 60% of all 20 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Scott County filed?
Scott County has 36 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $394.7K in payments, with an average of $11.0K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Scott County?
No. In Scott County, Landslide has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $6.8M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Scott County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Scott County was 2002, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1977 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Scott County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Scott County, Virginia has an overall risk score of 42.0 out of 100 (Very Low). Social vulnerability here rates Very High, while community resilience comes in at Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $8.4M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Scott County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Scott County is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Riverine Flooding (Relatively Low) and Avalanche (Very Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts landslide here at an average of 1.8 times per year. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Scott County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Virginia profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events