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Virginia · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Lee County, VA

20 FEMA disaster declarations (1977-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

20
FEMA declarations
13
Major disasters
57
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Lee County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 20 declarations, more than 46% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 2% below the Virginia county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 43%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 43%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
20
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
50
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 51105 · Lee County 20 declarations · rank 1618/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-HEAVY 20
  • MAJOR-MID 65%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,618
  • PHOTO-FINISH Monona
  • NRI-LOW 57
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-BELOW -2%

Nearest declaration peer: Monona, IA (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Virginia state profile

Lee County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Lee County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Lee County carries 20 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1618 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Lee County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Lee County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Lee County

20 46th percentile higher than 46% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Lee County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Virginia avg33/10057.3/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Virginia county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Lee County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $8.6M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Lee County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 50 paid claims, totaling $733.2K. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $14.7K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

Start with the state benchmark: a Virginia county averages 20.4 federal declaration records, while Lee County has 20. The gap is 2% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 57.3/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Very Low (roughly $11.4M in annualized losses), and a Very High social-vulnerability profile combined with Very Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Landslide carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.5 times per year here.

62 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Lee County, VA · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
14/30

20 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
12/25

20 declarations (1.0x state county average of 20)

Major Disaster Share High
16/25

13 of 20 declarations are major disasters (65%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Lee County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Lee County

Lee County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 25, Drought 25, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 21 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 21 8-hazard mean
Lee County NRI risk profile FIPS 51105 · displayed-hazard mean 21/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

20

Above median

Major Disaster share

65%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

57

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Lee County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Landslide Relatively Moderate an average of 1.5 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 186 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Avalanche Relatively Low roughly once every 100 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 1.4 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 12 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 372 years
Drought Relatively Low 12 modeled event-days per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 4.7 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 2.9 times per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 53 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 111 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 11 years
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 7 years
Heat Wave Very Low 0.1 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 6
Snowstorm 4
Hurricane 3
Biological 2
Flood 2
Winter Storm 1
Tropical Storm 1
Drought 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Lee County's record, 30% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 13 65.0%

of all 20 declarations

Emergency - 7 35.0%

of all 20 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 2
2020 2
2018 1
2013 1
2010 1
2005 1
2004 1
2003 1
2002 1
2001 1
2000 1
1996 1
1994 1
1993 1
Show 2 earlier declaration years
1978 1
1977 2

Disaster Declarations

How the 20 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 20 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3631 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-23
4863 SEVERE WINTER STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2025-04-04
4831 TROPICAL STORM HELENE DR Tropical Storm 2024-10-01
4512 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-02
3448 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3403 HURRICANE FLORENCE EM Hurricane 2018-09-11
3359 HURRICANE SANDY EM Hurricane 2012-10-29
1874 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Snowstorm 2010-02-16
3240 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-12
1525 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-06-15
1458 SEVERE WINTER STORM, RECORD/NEAR RECORD SNOWFALL, HEAVY RAIN,FLOODIND, AND MUDSLIDE DR Severe Storm 2003-03-27
1406 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-04-02
1386 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2001-07-12
1318 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Storm 2000-02-28
1086 BLIZZARD OF 96 (SEVERE SNOW STORM) DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
1014 SEVERE ICE STORMS, FLOODING DR Snowstorm 1994-03-10
3112 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-25
543 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1977-11-12
530 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1977-04-07
3018 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-10-15

Storm Events in Virginia

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Lee County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 8,940 13 31 $123.1M
Flood 2,300 4 0 $85.1M
Winter Weather 2,049 6 32 $902.0K
Flash Flood 1,942 13 4 $244.2M
Heavy Rain 1,566 0 0 $2.5M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

50

Total Paid

$733.2K

Avg Per Claim

$14.7K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 57.3/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$11.4M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Avalanche Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Earthquake Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Landslide

Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.

Worth noting for Lee County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Lee County's closest FEMA peer: Washington County, TX

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Lee County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Lee County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Lee County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Lee County's NFIP claims file (50 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Lee County?
The most common disaster type in Lee County is Severe Storm, with 6 declarations. Other disaster types include Snowstorm (4), Hurricane (3), Biological (2).
How does Lee County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Virginia average?
The typical Virginia county has 20.4 FEMA declaration records; Lee County has 20, or 2% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 3% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Lee County received?
Lee County has received 13 major disaster declarations, representing 65% of all 20 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Lee County filed?
Lee County has 50 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $733.2K in payments, with an average of $14.7K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Lee County?
No. In Lee County, Landslide has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $8.6M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Lee County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Lee County was 1977, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1977 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Lee County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Lee County, Virginia has an overall risk score of 57.3 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Very High; on community resilience, Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $11.4M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Lee County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Lee County is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Wildfire (Relatively Low) and Riverine Flooding (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts landslide here at an average of 1.5 times per year. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Lee County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Virginia profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events