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Kentucky · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Bell County, KY

29 FEMA disaster declarations (1967-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

29
FEMA declarations
21
Major disasters
68
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Bell County. Its 29 FEMA declarations are 3% above the Kentucky county mean and exceed the count for 85% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 32%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 32%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
29
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
566
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 21013 · Bell County 29 declarations · rank 472/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-MID · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 29
  • MAJOR-MID 72%
  • RANK-MID #472
  • PHOTO-FINISH Bath
  • NRI-LOW 68
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +3%

Nearest declaration peer: Bath, KY (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Kentucky state profile

Bell County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Bell County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Bell County carries 29 FEMA declaration records, ranked 472 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Bell County ranks in the national declaration registry

Bell County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Bell County

29 Top 15% higher than 85% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Bell County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Kentucky avg44/10068/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Kentucky county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Bell County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $15.0M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Bell County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 566 claims and $7.4M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $13.0K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Bell County's 29 federal records stand 3% above the Kentucky county mean of 28.1. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 68.0/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $18.8M in annualized losses), and a Very High social-vulnerability profile combined with Very Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Landslide carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.3 times per year here.

72 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Bell County, KY · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
21/30

29 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.4x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
13/25

29 declarations (1.0x state county average of 28)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

21 of 29 declarations are major disasters (72%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Bell County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Bell County

Bell County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 48, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 25, Drought 8, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 24 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 24 8-hazard mean
Bell County NRI risk profile FIPS 21013 · displayed-hazard mean 24/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

29

High volume

Major Disaster share

72%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

68

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Bell County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Landslide Relatively Moderate an average of 1.3 times per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 2.3 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 178 years
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 16 times per year
Avalanche Relatively Low roughly once every 100 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 421 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 3.1 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 5.3 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 2.5 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 10 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 54 years
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 7 years
Lightning Very Low an average of 54 times per year
Drought Very Low 11 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 10
Flood 9
Snowstorm 3
Biological 2
Fire 2
Winter Storm 1
Tropical Storm 1
Hurricane 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Bell County's record, 34% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 21 72.4%

of all 29 declarations

Emergency - 6 20.7%

of all 29 declarations

Fire Management - 2 6.9%

of all 29 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 4
2023 1
2021 1
2020 3
2019 1
2018 1
2015 1
2011 1
2005 1
2004 1
2002 2
2001 1
1998 1
1996 1
Show 8 earlier declaration years
1994 1
1993 1
1989 1
1984 1
1977 1
1975 1
1970 1
1967 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 29 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 29 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3633 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
3626 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-03
4860 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2025-02-24
3624 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES EM Severe Storm 2025-02-16
4848 REMNANTS OF HURRICANE HELENE DR Tropical Storm 2024-11-26
4711 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2023-05-09
4595 SEVERE, STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2021-04-23
4540 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2020-04-24
4497 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-28
3469 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4428 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2019-04-17
4358 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2018-04-12
4218 SEVERE WINTER STORM, SNOWSTORM, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2015-05-12
4008 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-07-25
3231 HURRICANE KATRINA EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1523 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2004-06-10
1407 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-04-04
2385 KY - SOUTHEASTERN FIRE COMPLEX - 11/02/01 FM Fire 2001-11-02
2349 KY - SOUTHEASTERN DISTRICT FIRE COMPLEX - 11/03/00 FM Fire 2000-11-04
1216 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES,AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1998-04-29
Show 9 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1089 BLIZZARD OF 96 DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
1018 SEVERE WEATHER, FREEZING RAIN, SLEET, SNW DR Snowstorm 1994-03-16
3104 SEVERE SNOWFALL & WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-16
834 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1989-06-30
705 HIGH WINDS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1984-05-15
529 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1977-04-06
461 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1975-03-29
282 HEAVY SNOWMELT, RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1970-02-02
226 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1967-03-27

Storm Events in Kentucky

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Bell County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,702 9 56 $55.2M
Flash Flood 1,757 65 16 $42.6M
Flood 1,646 31 6 $37.1M
Hail 1,534 1 0 $4.7M
Winter Weather 1,079 14 54 $655.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

566

Total Paid

$7.4M

Avg Per Claim

$13.0K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 68.0/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$18.8M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Very Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Avalanche Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Hail Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Lightning Very Low
Drought Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Landslide

Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.

Worth noting for Bell County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Bell County's closest FEMA peer: Montgomery County, PA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Bell County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Bell County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Bell County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Bell County's NFIP claims file (566 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Bell County?
The most common disaster type in Bell County is Severe Storm, with 10 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (9), Snowstorm (3), Biological (2).
How does Bell County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Kentucky average?
FEMA lists 29 declaration records for Bell County. That is 3% above the Kentucky county mean of 28.1. Its count is also 40% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Bell County received?
Bell County has received 21 major disaster declarations, representing 72% of all 29 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Bell County filed?
Bell County has 566 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $7.4M in payments, with an average of $13.0K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Bell County?
No. In Bell County, Landslide has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $15.0M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Bell County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Bell County was 2025, with 4 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1967 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Bell County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Bell County, Kentucky has an overall risk score of 68.0 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Very High; on community resilience, Very Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $18.8M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Bell County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Bell County as of the latest release is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Riverine Flooding (Relatively Moderate) and Wildfire (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts landslide here at an average of 1.3 times per year. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Bell County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Kentucky profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events