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Arkansas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Searcy County, AR

26 FEMA disaster declarations (1969-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

26
FEMA declarations
19
Major disasters
28
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Searcy County. Its 26 FEMA declarations are 7% above the Arkansas county mean and exceed the count for 75% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 28%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 28%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
26
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
11
severe storm declarations, the most common hazard here

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 05129 · Searcy County 26 declarations · rank 798/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-MID · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 26
  • MAJOR-MID 73%
  • RANK-MID #798
  • PHOTO-FINISH Hunterdon
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +7%

Nearest declaration peer: Hunterdon, NJ (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Arkansas state profile

Searcy County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Searcy County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Searcy County carries 26 FEMA declaration records, ranked 798 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Searcy County ranks in the national declaration registry

Searcy County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Searcy County

26 Top 25% higher than 75% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Searcy County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Arkansas avg56/10027.7/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Arkansas county average

What does Searcy County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

This county's FEMA National Risk Index composite lands at 27.7/100 (Very Low), a modest reading against the rest of the country. Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $6.4M in annualized losses), tempered or compounded by a Very High social-vulnerability score and Relatively Low community-resilience score. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Ice Storm stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 1.9 times per year here, based on 131 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

No paid-claim row for this county appears in the NFIP county table used by PlainHazard. That absence is not evidence that flooding never occurred: the register observes claims under federal flood-insurance policies, not uninsured losses, emergency reports, or every flood outside the program. The FEMA declaration history below is therefore the available federal-action record on this page.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Searcy County's 26 federal records stand 7% above the Arkansas county mean of 24.2. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

68 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Searcy County, AR · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
19/30

26 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.3x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
13/25

26 declarations (1.1x state county average of 24)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

19 of 26 declarations are major disasters (73%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Searcy County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Searcy County

Searcy County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 25, Drought 0, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 22 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 22 8-hazard mean
Searcy County NRI risk profile FIPS 05129 · displayed-hazard mean 22/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

26

High volume

Major Disaster share

73%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

28

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Searcy County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Ice Storm Very High an average of 1.9 times per year
Landslide Relatively Low an average of 1.9 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 265 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 340 years
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 59 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 9 times per year
Heat Wave Very Low 8.2 modeled event-days per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 2.3 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 3.3 times per year
Riverine Flooding Very Low an average of 1.2 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 167 years
Hail Very Low an average of 5.1 times per year
Drought No Rating 11 modeled event-days per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 11
Flood 4
Severe Ice Storm 4
Winter Storm 2
Hurricane 2
Biological 2
Drought 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Searcy County's record, 42% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 19 73.1%

of all 26 declarations

Emergency - 7 26.9%

of all 26 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 2
2023 1
2020 3
2019 1
2017 1
2016 1
2015 1
2014 1
2013 1
2011 1
2009 3
2008 1
2005 1
2004 1
Show 6 earlier declaration years
2003 1
2001 1
1997 1
1983 1
1977 1
1969 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 26 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 26 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3636 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4873 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2025-05-21
3627 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-05
4700 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Winter Storm 2023-04-04
3541 HURRICANE LAURA EM Hurricane 2020-08-27
4518 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-03
3461 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4441 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-06-08
4318 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2017-06-15
4254 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2016-02-05
4226 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-06-26
4160 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2014-01-06
4124 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2013-06-25
1975 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND ASSOCIATED FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-02
1845 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2009-06-16
1819 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 2009-02-06
3301 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2009-01-28
1751 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-03-26
3215 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
1516 SEVER STORMS, FLOODING AND LANDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2004-05-07
Show 6 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1450 SEVERE ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2003-01-06
1354 SEVERE WINTER ICE STORM DR Severe Ice Storm 2000-12-29
1176 FLOODING, SEVERE STORMS DR Flood 1997-04-14
673 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1982-12-13
3019 DROUGHT EM Drought 1976-12-03
254 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1969-02-15

Storm Events in Arkansas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Searcy County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 3,657 10 23 $60.9M
Hail 2,230 0 0 $7.7M
Flash Flood 1,517 12 3 $15.9M
Heat 1,222 2 325 $0
Flood 1,152 9 0 $40.2M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 27.7/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$6.4M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Ice Storm Very High
Landslide Relatively Low
Wildfire Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Hail Very Low
Drought No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Ice Storm

Ice storms load power lines and tree limbs with accumulating freezing rain until they fail. The characteristic cost is infrastructure and multi-day power loss across a wide area rather than structural damage to buildings, which is why their consequences often outlast the weather that caused them.

Worth noting for Searcy County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Ice Storm carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Searcy County's closest FEMA peer: Greene County, VA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Searcy County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Searcy County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Searcy County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 26 FEMA declarations, Searcy County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Searcy County?
The most common disaster type in Searcy County is Severe Storm, with 11 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (4), Severe Ice Storm (4), Winter Storm (2).
How does Searcy County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Arkansas average?
FEMA lists 26 declaration records for Searcy County. That is 7% above the Arkansas county mean of 24.2. Its count is also 25% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Searcy County received?
Searcy County has received 19 major disaster declarations, representing 73% of all 26 disaster declarations.
What was the worst year for disasters in Searcy County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Searcy County was 2009, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1969 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Searcy County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Searcy County, Arkansas has an overall risk score of 27.7 out of 100 (Very Low). Social vulnerability here rates Very High, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $6.4M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Searcy County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Searcy County is Ice Storm (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Landslide (Relatively Low) and Wildfire (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts ice storm here at an average of 1.9 times per year, drawn from 131 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Searcy County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Arkansas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events