Warren County, Illinois

County storm and disaster record · FIPS 17187 · population 16,835 · 542 sq mi

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 487 records for Warren County, Illinois from 1950 through June 30, 2026, on 362 days; the most frequent are severe thunderstorm wind events (165 records). The deadliest single record is the September 26, 1959 tornado: 1 death. FEMA has issued 9 declarations naming the county since 1993, 7 of them for natural hazards; the latest for a natural hazard was “Severe Storms and Flooding” on August 15, 2023.

The record, 1950 to 2026

Storm records filed for the county each year (2026 to June 30, 2026). Before 1996 NOAA recorded only tornadoes (from 1950), thunderstorm wind and hail (from 1955).

  • recorded, no damage figure
  • under $100,000
  • $100,000 or more
  • $1 million or more
  • $10 million or more, or a death
  • $100 million or more, or 10 deaths
  • a year's colour: its recorded damage or deaths
  • a year with a death
  • 1955: wind and hail recorded from 1955
  • 1996: all 48 event types from 1996
Storm records
487on 362 days, 1950 to June 30, 2026
Deaths recorded
11 injuries
Damage, 2025 dollars
$50Mas filed (scale steps before 1993)
Tornadoes
36strongest EF2
FEMA declarations
9latest 2023

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records through June 30, 2026 (file revision 20260918); damage converted to 2025 dollars with the BLS CPI-U. Search the record at NCEI. BLS consumer price index.

What hazards hit Warren County most?

The most frequent records are severe thunderstorm wind events: 165 since 1959. 48% of its severe thunderstorm wind events since 1959 fell in June and July. The rank column places the county among Illinois's counties by days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land over each hazard's complete period.

Warren County: records by hazard, 1950 to June 30, 2026
HazardRecordsDaysFirst, lastKilledInjuredDamageRank in state
Severe thunderstorm wind 165 110 1959-2026 0 0 $2.4M 72 of 102
Winter storms 121 120 1996-2026 0 0 $27K 29 of 102
Hail 75 57 1958-2024 0 0 $4.0M 72 of 102
Tornadoes 36 29 1959-2026 1 1 $6.0M 37 of 102
Floods 26 22 1997-2022 0 0 $1.6M 91 of 102
Extreme cold 18 18 1996-2019 0 0 $3.7M 42 of 102
Drought 17 17 2005-2013 0 0 $32M 40 of 102
Fog, smoke and funnel clouds 12 12 1999-2025 0 0 – 32 of 102
High wind and dust storms 9 9 1996-2016 0 0 $216K 81 of 102
Heat 5 5 1997-2013 0 0 – 92 of 102
Heavy rain 2 1 2004-2004 0 0 – 63 of 102
Lightning 1 1 2003-2003 0 0 $40K 74 of 102

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database (county and forecast-zone records attributed to the county; a zone record shows its own totals on each county it covers). Days: dates with at least one record of the hazard in the county. Ranks: days with a record per 1,000 square miles of land (Census Bureau 2024 Gazetteer), since 1950 for tornadoes, 1955 for hail and thunderstorm wind, 1996 for the rest.

How many tornadoes has Warren County had?

NOAA records 36 tornadoes in Warren County from 1959 to 2026, the strongest rated EF2, with 1 death and 1 injury recorded in the county. That is 37th of 102 Illinois counties by days with tornadoes per 1,000 square miles since 1950. A tornado that crossed a county line is counted in each county it touched, with the length of its path inside the county.

Counted as whole tornadoes rather than county records, the Storm Prediction Center's database holds 38 tornadoes whose track touched Warren County since 1950 (NOAA's county records number 36: they file a crossing tornado once per county segment, and the two databases differ on some tracks); along their whole tracks they killed 1 person.

The deadliest and strongest tornadoes that touched Warren County, whole tracks
DateTornadoRatingPathKilled
1959-09-26 15:17, as SPC files itMonmouthF24.9 mi1
1995-05-13 15:18, as SPC files itDallasF450 mi0

Map of the strongest tornado tracks in Illinois.

Every tornado record filed for Warren County (36)
Every tornado recorded in Warren County, newest first
DatePlaceCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2026-06-17 Monmouth, Warren County EF1 1.29 mi x 100 yd 0 0 $200K
2025-06-03 Monmouth, Warren County EF1 7.78 mi x 50 yd 0 0 –
2025-04-20 Swan Creek, Warren County EF0 3.99 mi x 25 yd 0 0 –
2024-03-14 Greenbush, Warren County EF1 0.95 mi x 150 yd 0 0 –
2022-05-13 Monmouth, Warren County EFU 0.11 mi x 10 yd 0 0 –
2022-05-13 Monmouth, Warren County EFU 0.12 mi x 10 yd 0 0 –
2021-08-25 Berwick, Warren County EFU 0.11 mi x 30 yd 0 0 –
2016-05-09 Greenbush, Warren County EF0 0.09 mi x 25 yd 0 0 –
2016-03-15 Walnut Grove, Warren County EF1 6.4 mi x 400 yd 0 0 $246K
2015-12-23 Swan Creek, Warren County EF1 2.6 mi x 50 yd 0 0 –
2015-07-16 Nemo, Warren County EF2 5.95 mi x 700 yd 0 1 $1.9M
2015-07-16 Kirkwood, Warren County EF2 1.72 mi x 300 yd 0 0 $187K
2015-07-16 Smithshire, Warren County EF1 1.41 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $2K
2009-05-08 Little York, Warren County EF0 0.52 mi x 25 yd 0 0 –
2003-05-10 Youngstown, Warren County F1 7.8 mi x 200 yd 0 0 $481K
2001-07-17 Roseville, Warren County F0 0.1 mi x 10 yd 0 0 –
1999-04-22 Monmouth, Warren County F0 0.1 mi x 10 yd 0 0 –
1999-04-08 Roseville, Warren County F0 15 mi x 10 yd 0 0 –
1999-04-05 Swan Creek, Warren County F2 3 mi x 100 yd 0 0 $5K
1998-06-29 Roseville, Warren County F0 1 mi x 2 yd 0 0 $4K
1998-06-18 Smithshire, Warren County F0 0.1 mi x 1 yd 0 0 –
1998-04-07 Gerlaw, Warren County F0 0.1 mi x 1 yd 0 0 $362
1998-04-07 Monmouth, Warren County F1 0.1 mi x 1 yd 0 0 $5K
1998-04-07 Monmouth, Warren County F1 0.5 mi x 1 yd 0 0 $14K
1998-04-07 Monmouth, Warren County F0 0.1 mi x 1 yd 0 0 –
1998-04-07 Monmouth, Warren County F0 0.1 mi x 1 yd 0 0 –
1997-05-18 Smithshire, Warren County F0 0 0 –
1997-04-30 Roseville, Warren County F0 17 mi x 10 yd 0 0 –
1996-05-09 Monmouth, Warren County F0 0.2 mi x 25 yd 0 0 –
1995-05-27 Little York, Warren County F0 0.1 mi x 50 yd 0 0 $10K
1982-05-18 Warren County F0 0 0 –
1975-06-13 Warren County F0 0 0 $3K step
1972-07-17 Warren County F1 27.2 mi x 33 yd 0 0 $25K step
1968-07-17 Warren County F1 3.8 mi x 127 yd 0 0 $250 step
1963-04-18 Warren County F2 0 0 $25K step
1959-09-26 Warren County F2 4.9 mi x 300 yd 1 0 $250K step

A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, tornado records by county (path length in the county, maximum width); ratings as published: F scale before February 1, 2007, EF scale after. Whole-track figures: NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database (1950-2025). SPC severe weather database.

When was the last damaging storm in Warren County?

The most recent record with damage, injuries or deaths is the June 17, 2026 tornado ($200,000 in damage in 2025 dollars).

A short-lived EF-1 tornado developed in Monmouth Illinois and tracked southeast through town for 1.3 miles, with estimated maximum winds of 100 mph. Along the tornado path, structural damage was observed in the heart of Monmouth, with a few buildings seeing roofing damage, many windows blown out, and part of their brick walls damaged. Some houses also saw loss of shingles. Otherwise, a lot of damage was observed to trees along a clear convergent path, with numerous snapped, uprooted, and a lot of trees with downed large branches throughout. Some of these large tree sections were downed on houses as well.
National Weather Service event narrative, NOAA Storm Events Database (search the full record, event 1337524)
The 12 most recent records kept for Warren County
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2026-06-17 Thunderstorm WindNemo, Warren County 78 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-06-17 Thunderstorm WindLittle York, Warren County 78 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-06-17 Thunderstorm WindMonmouth Municipal Airport, Warren County 78 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-06-17 Thunderstorm WindKirkwood, Warren County 70 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-06-17 Thunderstorm WindOrmonde, Warren County 87 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-06-17 TornadoMonmouth, Warren County EF1 1.29 mi x 100 yd 0 0 $200K
2026-04-17 Thunderstorm WindEleanor, Warren County 52 kt wind 0 0 –
2026-03-15 BlizzardWarren County · forecast zone Warren 0 0 –
2025-11-28 Winter StormWarren County · forecast zone Warren 0 0 –
2025-08-18 Thunderstorm WindGreenbush, Warren County 52 kt wind 0 0 –
2025-08-06 Funnel CloudMonmouth, Warren County 0 0 –
2025-07-11 Thunderstorm WindMonmouth, Warren County 50 kt wind 0 0 –

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database; every record of 2025-2026 is listed, earlier ones when they caused deaths, injuries or $250,000 of damage (2025 dollars), and every tornado.

The deadliest and costliest records

Records with deaths or injuries in Warren County, most deaths first
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
1959-09-26 TornadoWarren County F2 4.9 mi x 300 yd 1 0 $250K step
2015-07-16 TornadoNemo, Warren County An EF-2 tornado with winds estimated at 125 mph tracked about 6 miles from east of Monmouth through the town of Cameron before lifting. A maximum path width of 700 yards was estimated in Cameron. The tornado began at 713 pm CDT 1 mile southeast of Monmouth and lifted at 734 pm 2.2 miles east of Cameron. The most ... EF2 5.95 mi x 700 yd 0 1 $1.9M

A damage figure marked "step" is a record from before 1993: NOAA then filed damage by category, and the figure is the category as entered, in the dollars of that year, not an estimate of the loss.

The costliest records in Warren County since 1993, damage in 2025 dollars
DateRecordCharacterKilledInjuredDamage
2005-07-01 DroughtWarren County · forecast zone Warren 0 0 $22M
2005-08-01 DroughtWarren County · forecast zone Warren 0 0 $10M
2005-05-03 Frost/FreezeWarren County · forecast zone Warren 0 0 $3.7M
2003-05-08 HailMonmouth, Warren County 1.75 in hail 0 0 $3.2M
2015-07-16 TornadoNemo, Warren County EF2 5.95 mi x 700 yd 0 1 $1.9M
2003-05-04 Flash FloodMonmouth, Warren County 0 0 $1.6M
2000-09-11 Thunderstorm WindMonmouth, Warren County 0 0 $857K
2003-05-10 HailCountywide, Warren County 1.75 in hail 0 0 $802K

Before 1993 NOAA filed damage by category, not amount, so the list above starts in 1993. The highest category filed here before then (entered as $250K, in the dollars of the day) holds: September 26, 1959 (tornado, Warren County, 1 killed).

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database: deaths and injuries direct and indirect; damage is property plus crops as estimated by the National Weather Service, converted to 2025 dollars.

Is it getting more frequent?

Records per decade for Warren County's most frequent hazards. Counts rose everywhere after 1996, when NOAA began recording every event type, so compare decades within a hazard's complete period only (the shaded cells come before it).

Warren County: records per decade (the 2020s to June 30, 2026)
Hazard1950s1960s1970s1980s1990s2000s2010s2020-26
Severe thunderstorm wind268916464335
Winter storms––––19563511
Hail11244242910
Tornadoes122114367
Floods––––51272
Extreme cold––––41040

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records per calendar decade; zone records from the CZ_TYPE field (Z).

What time of year?

48% of its severe thunderstorm wind events since 1959 fell in June and July. The two busiest months are in violet.

The values, month by month

Jan 47 · Feb 33 · Mar 33 · Apr 60 · May 55 · Jun 83 · Jul 47 · Aug 30 · Sep 23 · Oct 11 · Nov 14 · Dec 51 (records).

Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records by the month they began.

Federal disaster declarations for Warren County

FEMA's register lists 9 declarations that include Warren County: 6 major disasters, 3 emergencies and 0 fire management assistance declarations. Most were for severe storm (2) and biological (2).

Declarations including Warren County, newest first
DeclaredNumberTypeTitle
2023-08-15DR-4728Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
2020-03-26DR-4489BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
2020-03-13EM-3435BiologicalCovid-19
2013-05-10DR-4116FloodSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
2011-03-17DR-1960SnowstormSevere Winter Storm and Snowstorm
2007-09-25DR-1729Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
2005-09-07EM-3230HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation
1999-01-08EM-3134SnowstormIl-Winter Storm 1/1/99
1993-07-09DR-997FloodSevere Storms & Flooding

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (v2), declarations through October 2, 2026; one declaration is counted once however many areas it names. OpenFEMA dataset page.

How many floods has Warren County had?

NOAA's Storm Events Database holds 26 flood or flash flood records for Warren County from 1997 to 2022, on 22 days, with 0 deaths. By flood insurance claims since 1978 (OpenFEMA, as of September 8, 2026), Warren County ranks 1976th of 2,942 U.S. counties.

The National Flood Insurance Program has paid $193,000 on 26 claims filed in Warren County; the most in one year was 5 in 1982. Claims count insured losses only: uninsured flood damage is not in this file.

The values, year by year

1982: 5 · 1983: 2 · 1985: 2 · 1986: 2 · 1993: 2 · 2003: 1 · 2008: 5 · 2010: 1 · 2011: 1 · 2013: 2 · 2015: 1 · 2019: 1 · 2020: 1; the other years: 0.

Source: FEMA OpenFEMA NFIP Redacted Claims, as of September 8, 2026; claims by year of loss, payments in the dollars of the year paid. OpenFEMA dataset page.

FEMA's modeled risk for Warren County

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Warren County Very Low overall, with an expected annual loss of $7.0 million. These are FEMA's model estimates of future loss from 18 hazards, not a count of what happened; they can differ from the record above.

National Risk Index ratings for Warren County (December 2025 release), by FEMA's rating, then score
HazardRisk ratingExpected annual lossModeled frequency
DroughtRelatively Moderate$1.2M8.9 modeled event-days a year
Heat WaveRelatively Low$864K8.8 modeled event-days a year
HailRelatively Low$526K4 a year (modeled)
Ice StormRelatively Low$123Kabout once a year (modeled)
Cold WaveRelatively Low$1.2M4.6 a year (modeled)
Strong WindRelatively Low$564K5.8 a year (modeled)
LightningRelatively Low$164K46 a year (modeled)
Winter WeatherRelatively Low$39K13 a year (modeled)

Source: FEMA National Risk Index, county table, December 2025 release. FEMA's National Risk Index map.

Counties that share a border with Warren County

  1. McDonough County 786
  2. Fulton County 758
  3. Mercer County 538
  4. Knox County 521
  5. Warren County 487
  6. Henderson County 410

Source: U.S. Census Bureau county adjacency file; NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, records since 1950. The Census Bureau's adjacency file.

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