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Illinois · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Henderson County, IL

16 FEMA disaster declarations (1965-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Flood.

16
FEMA declarations
12
Major disasters
18
NRI risk · Very Low
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Henderson County. Its 16 FEMA declarations are 24% above the Illinois county mean and exceed the count for 27% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 18%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 18%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
16
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
412
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Henderson County compare?

Henderson County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

16 27th percentile higher than 27% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Henderson County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Illinois county average

0/100100/100Illinois avg55/10017.5/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Illinois county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Henderson County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $2.1M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Drought carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Henderson County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 412 paid claims, totaling $11.5M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $28.0K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Henderson County's 16 federal records stand 24% above the Illinois county mean of 12.9. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

Declaration frequency

The FEMA register is busy by both local and national comparisons. It contains 16 entries for Henderson County, including 12 Major Disaster records, 24% above the Illinois county mean. Across the 55-year span, that works out to 0.3 declarations a year. Flood leads the file with 8 entries. Declaration type records the federal action taken, not every assistance program approved.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county's FEMA National Risk Index composite lands at 17.5/100 (Very Low), a modest reading against the rest of the country. Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $4.9M in annualized losses), tempered or compounded by a Relatively High social-vulnerability score and Relatively Low community-resilience score. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Drought carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 8.5 modeled event-days per year here, based on 224 historical events on record.

62 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Henderson County, IL · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
12/30

16 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.8x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
16/25

16 declarations (1.2x state county average of 13)

Major Disaster Share Very High
19/25

12 of 16 declarations are major disasters (75%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Henderson County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

High

vs. Illinois Avg

+24%

State avg: 12.9

vs. National Avg

-23%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.3

Over 55 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Henderson County

Henderson County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 48, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 19 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 19 8-hazard mean
Henderson County NRI risk profile FIPS 17071 · displayed-hazard mean 19/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

16

Below median

Major Disaster share

75%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

18

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Henderson County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Drought Relatively Moderate 8.5 modeled event-days per year
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 3.9 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 5.4 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 8 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 9 modeled event-days per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 46 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 722 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low an average of 1.9 times per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 4.7 times per year
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 13 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 100 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 4,881 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 8
Snowstorm 3
Biological 2
Severe Storm 1
Hurricane 1
Tornado 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Henderson County's record, 50% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 12 75.0%

of all 16 declarations

Emergency - 4 25.0%

of all 16 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 2
2019 1
2013 1
2011 1
2008 1
2005 1
2001 2
1999 1
1993 1
1974 1
1973 1
1969 2
1965 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 16 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 16 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4489 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-26
3435 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4461 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-09-19
4116 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2013-05-10
1960 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND SNOWSTORM DR Snowstorm 2011-03-17
1771 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2008-06-24
3230 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-07
1368 FLOODING DR Flood 2001-05-09
3161 ILLINOIS WINTER SNOW STORMS EM Snowstorm 2001-01-17
3134 IL-WINTER STORM 1/1/99 EM Snowstorm 1999-01-08
997 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1993-07-09
438 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1974-06-10
373 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-04-26
276 HEAVY RAINS & FLOODING DR Flood 1969-08-30
262 FLOODING DR Flood 1969-06-06
194 TORNADOES, SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Tornado 1965-04-25

Storm Events in Illinois

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Henderson County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 7,218 9 67 $46.0M
Hail 3,195 0 0 $27.1M
Winter Weather 1,363 14 49 $1.8M
Flood 1,221 14 11 $84.3M
Flash Flood 1,133 11 3 $1.1B

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

412

Total Paid

$11.5M

Avg Per Claim

$28.0K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 17.5/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$4.9M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Drought Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Landslide Very Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Wildfire Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Drought

Drought is the slowest of the modeled hazards and the least visible: it does its damage to agriculture, water supply and soil over seasons rather than hours, so it rarely produces the kind of single-day damage that drives a disaster declaration. FEMA scores it in event-days per year rather than discrete events for exactly that reason.

Worth noting for Henderson County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Drought carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Henderson County's closest FEMA peer: Oglala Lakota County, SD

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Henderson County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Henderson County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Henderson County's NFIP claims file (412 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Henderson County?
The most common disaster type in Henderson County is Flood, with 8 declarations. Other disaster types include Snowstorm (3), Biological (2), Severe Storm (1).
How does Henderson County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Illinois average?
FEMA lists 16 declaration records for Henderson County. That is 24% above the Illinois county mean of 12.9. Its count is also 23% below the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Henderson County received?
Henderson County has received 12 major disaster declarations, representing 75% of all 16 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Henderson County filed?
Henderson County has 412 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $11.5M in payments, with an average of $28.0K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Henderson County?
No. In Henderson County, Drought has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $2.1M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Henderson County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Henderson County was 1969, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1965 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Henderson County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Henderson County, Illinois has an overall risk score of 17.5 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively High and community resilience is Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $4.9M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Henderson County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Henderson County as of the latest release is Drought (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Hail (Relatively Moderate) and Strong Wind (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts drought here at 8.5 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 224 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Henderson County

Henderson County, IL has 16 federal declaration records, 24% more than the Illinois county mean of 13; its history sits in PlainHazard's high activity band.

  • Within this above-state-average declaration file, major disaster leads with 12 of 16 records; the category describes past federal action, not the next likely hazard. Illinois overview
  • The state benchmark and national rank point the same way: this count tops the Illinois mean and the totals for 27% of 3,266 U.S. counties. Most-disaster rankings
  • Use the data guide to separate this mid-volume insurance-claims file from declaration counts and modeled NRI risk. Disaster-data guide

An above-average declaration count records past federal responses; it does not predict the next event. Current warnings come from the National Weather Service and local emergency officials.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.