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Michigan · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Wayne County, MI

17 FEMA disaster declarations (1973-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

17
FEMA declarations
12
Major disasters
99
NRI risk · Relatively High
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Wayne County. Its 17 FEMA declarations are 70% above the Michigan county mean and exceed the count for 32% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 1%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 1%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively High
FEMA National Risk Index rating
17
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
2,891
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 26163 · Wayne County 17 declarations · rank 2161/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-HIGH · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-HIGH

  • DECL-MID 17
  • MAJOR-MID 71%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,161
  • PHOTO-FINISH Curry
  • NRI-HIGH 99
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-HIGH +70%

Nearest declaration peer: Curry, OR (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Michigan state profile

Wayne County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Wayne County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Wayne County carries 17 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2161 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Wayne County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Wayne County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Wayne County

17 32nd percentile higher than 32% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Wayne County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Michigan avg50/10099/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Michigan county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Wayne County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $237.3M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Cold Wave carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Wayne County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 2,891 claims and $13.6M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $4.7K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Wayne County's 17 federal records stand 70% above the Michigan county mean of 10.0. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 99.0/100 (Relatively High). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively High (roughly $401.5M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Relatively High and community resilience Relatively Moderate, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Cold Wave stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Very High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 2.7 times per year here, based on 51 historical events on record.

66 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Wayne County, MI · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
12/30

17 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.8x national county average)

County Disaster Density Very High
21/25

17 declarations (1.7x state county average of 10)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

12 of 17 declarations are major disasters (71%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Wayne County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Wayne County

Wayne County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 48, Flood 92, Hurricane 8, Tornado 92, Wildfire 8, Drought 0, Heat Wave 70, Winter Storm 92. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 51 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 51 8-hazard mean
Wayne County NRI risk profile FIPS 26163 · displayed-hazard mean 51/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

17

Below median

Major Disaster share

71%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

99

Relatively High

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Wayne County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Cold Wave Very High an average of 2.7 times per year
Strong Wind Very High an average of 5.1 times per year
Tornado Very High roughly once every 4 years
Riverine Flooding Very High an average of 3.1 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively High 4.3 modeled event-days per year
Ice Storm Very High an average of 1.9 times per year
Lightning Very High an average of 37 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 10 times per year
Earthquake Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1,050 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 10 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 91 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 51,584 years
Coastal Flooding Relatively Low roughly once every 69 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 2.8 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 6
Flood 5
Biological 2
Snowstorm 2
Hurricane 1
Other 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Wayne County's record, 35% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 12 70.6%

of all 17 declarations

Emergency - 5 29.4%

of all 17 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 1
2021 1
2020 2
2014 1
2005 1
2004 1
2003 1
2001 1
1999 1
1998 1
1997 1
1980 1
1978 1
1976 1
1973 2

Disaster Declarations

How the 17 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 17 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4757 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2024-02-08
4607 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2021-07-15
4494 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-27
3455 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4195 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2014-09-25
3225 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-07
1527 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2004-06-30
3189 POWER OUTAGE EM Other 2003-09-23
1346 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2000-10-17
3137 MI - SEVERE WEATHER 1/2 /99 EM Snowstorm 1999-01-27
1237 SEVERE STORMS AND HIGH WINDS DR Severe Storm 1998-08-05
1181 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES,AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1997-07-11
631 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1980-09-08
3057 BLIZZARDS & SNOWSTORMS EM Snowstorm 1978-01-27
495 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, ICING & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1976-03-19
371 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1973-04-12
363 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1972-12-01

Storm Events in Michigan

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Wayne County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 3,010 10 18 $173.8M
Winter Storm 1,486 3 11 $41.8M
Winter Weather 1,254 21 38 $892.0K
Hail 962 0 0 $77.1M
High Wind 389 3 2 $668.9M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

2,891

Total Paid

$13.6M

Avg Per Claim

$4.7K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively High

Score: 99.0/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively High

$401.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Cold Wave Very High
Strong Wind Very High
Tornado Very High
Riverine Flooding Very High
Heat Wave Relatively High
Ice Storm Very High
Lightning Very High
Winter Weather Relatively High
Earthquake Relatively Moderate
Landslide Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Coastal Flooding Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Drought No Rating

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Cold Wave

Cold Wave measures exposure to extreme cold rather than to snow. Its harm is concentrated in health effects, burst infrastructure and energy demand spikes, and it falls hardest where the building stock and the grid were not built with sustained cold in mind.

Worth noting for Wayne County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Cold Wave carries the highest modeled rating (Very High), while the county's declaration history is led by Severe Storm. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Wayne County's closest FEMA peer: Collier County, FL

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Wayne County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Wayne County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Wayne County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Wayne County's NFIP claims file (2,891 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Wayne County?
The most common disaster type in Wayne County is Severe Storm, with 6 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (5), Biological (2), Snowstorm (2).
How does Wayne County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Michigan average?
FEMA lists 17 declaration records for Wayne County. That is 70% above the Michigan county mean of 10.0. Its count is also 18% below the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Wayne County received?
Wayne County has received 12 major disaster declarations, representing 71% of all 17 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Wayne County filed?
Wayne County has 2,891 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $13.6M in payments, with an average of $4.7K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Wayne County?
No. In Wayne County, Cold Wave has the highest National Risk Index rating (Very High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $237.3M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Wayne County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Wayne County was 1973, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1973 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Wayne County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Wayne County, Michigan has an overall risk score of 99.0 out of 100 (Relatively High). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively High and community resilience is Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively High, representing $401.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Wayne County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Wayne County is Cold Wave (risk rating: Very High). Other significant hazards include Strong Wind (Very High) and Tornado (Very High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts cold wave here at an average of 2.7 times per year, drawn from 51 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Wayne County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Michigan profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events