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Utah · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Wayne County, UT

4 FEMA disaster declarations (1977-2020), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Biological.

4
FEMA declarations
1
Major disasters
2
NRI risk · Very Low
Biological
Top hazard

The verdict

The declaration register is comparatively quiet for Wayne County. Its 4 federal records sit 53% below the Utah county mean and above the count for 1% of counties nationally. That historical total does not set the National Risk Index: FEMA's separate loss-and-vulnerability model ranks the county safer than 2%.

Safer than 2%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
4
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
2
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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How does Wayne County compare?

Wayne County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time

4 1st percentile higher than 1% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-03

Wayne County's FEMA Risk Index score

FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Utah county average

0/100100/100Utah avg36/1001.9/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Utah county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Wayne County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $903.2K Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Wayne County's hazard record show?

Declaration frequency

Wayne County's federal file is quiet on both comparisons: 4 declarations, 53% below the Utah county mean. Of those, 1 use the Major Disaster code. The register covers 43 years and averages 0.1 entries a year. Biological is the most frequent incident label at 2. A small federal count does not include undeclared local events and is not evidence of zero hazard exposure.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits at the very bottom of FEMA's National Risk Index nationally, a composite score of 1.9/100 (rated Very Low). Projected losses are minimal, Expected Annual Loss reads Very Low (roughly $1.8M in annualized losses), and the county's exposure is shaped by a Relatively Moderate social-vulnerability profile and Relatively Low community resilience. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Landslide carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 2 times per year here.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 2 claims and $0 paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Utah county averages 8.5 federal declaration records, while Wayne County has 4. The gap is 53% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

23 /100

Historical Activity Index

Low historical activity

Wayne County, UT · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Low
3/30

4 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.2x national county average)

County Disaster Density Low
6/25

4 declarations (0.5x state county average of 8)

Major Disaster Share Low
6/25

1 of 4 declarations are major disasters (25%)

Hazard Diversity Moderate
8/20

3 different disaster types declared in Wayne County

Historical Declaration Activity

Activity Band

Low

vs. Utah Avg

-53%

State avg: 8.5

vs. National Avg

-81%

National avg: 20.7

Avg Per Year

0.1

Over 43 years

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Wayne County

Wayne County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 16 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 16 8-hazard mean
Wayne County NRI risk profile FIPS 49055 · displayed-hazard mean 16/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

4

Low volume

Major Disaster share

25%

Mixed major share

NRI risk score

2

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Wayne County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Landslide Relatively Moderate an average of 2 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 12 times per year
Avalanche Very Low roughly once every 30 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 1,800 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 119 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 1.9 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 41 times per year
Drought Relatively Low 117 modeled event-days per year
Volcanic Activity Very Low roughly once every 3,333 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low an average of 4.9 times per year
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 67 years
Cold Wave Very Low roughly once every 51 years
Strong Wind Very Low roughly once every 11 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 24 years
Hail Very Low roughly once every 15 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Biological 2
Coastal Storm 1
Drought 1

What Biological declarations mean here

Biological is the most frequent declaration type on Wayne County's record, 50% of its declarations. In practice this category is dominated by the COVID-19 declarations of 2020, which were issued across every US state and territory rather than in response to any local hazard event.

This has a direct consequence for how Wayne County's number should be read. Because those declarations reached essentially every county in the country, they raise every county's total by a similar amount and tell you nothing about local hazard exposure. A county whose record is led by Biological declarations is, in most cases, a county with a genuinely quiet weather-hazard history, the pandemic records are simply the largest thing in an otherwise short list.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Emergency - 3 75.0%

of all 4 declarations

Major Disaster - 1 25.0%

of all 4 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2020 2
2005 1
1977 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 4 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 4 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4525 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-04
3478 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
3223 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Coastal Storm 2005-09-05
3024 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-01-20

Storm Events in Utah

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Wayne County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 1,382 3 7 $2.2M
Flash Flood 536 29 17 $101.2M
High Wind 496 4 60 $12.7M
Heavy Snow 488 1 2 $2.4M
Winter Storm 344 1 36 $435.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

2

Total Paid

$0

Avg Per Claim

$0

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 1.9/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$1.8M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Avalanche Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Volcanic Activity Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Hail Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Landslide

Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.

Worth noting for Wayne County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Biological. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Wayne County's closest FEMA peer: Nye County, NV

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Wayne County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Wayne County - capture-dated entries only.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

FEMA's National Risk Index flags Landslide as the top modeled exposure here (Relatively Moderate); the guide explains how that model differs from declaration counts.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Wayne County?
The most common disaster type in Wayne County is Biological, with 2 declarations. Other disaster types include Coastal Storm (1), Drought (1).
How does Wayne County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Utah average?
The typical Utah county has 8.5 FEMA declaration records; Wayne County has 4, or 53% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 81% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Wayne County received?
Wayne County has received 1 major disaster declaration, representing 25% of all 4 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Wayne County filed?
Wayne County has 2 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $0 in payments, with an average of $0 per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Wayne County?
No. In Wayne County, Landslide has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $903.2K. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Wayne County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Wayne County was 2020, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1977 to 2020.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Wayne County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Wayne County, Utah has an overall risk score of 1.9 out of 100 (Very Low). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively Moderate, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $1.8M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Wayne County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Wayne County is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Winter Weather (Relatively Moderate) and Avalanche (Very Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts landslide here at an average of 2 times per year. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

What this means for Wayne County

Against a Utah county mean of 8 declarations, Wayne County, UT records 4, or 53% fewer. PlainHazard classifies that historical total as low activity.

  • Emergency is the largest group (3 of 4) in a declaration history that remains below its state benchmark; frequency here is not a forecast. Utah overview
  • Nationally the county exceeds 1% of recorded county totals, but its own Utah benchmark is higher. The ranking keeps those two contexts separate. Most-disaster rankings
  • A short NFIP claims file cannot establish low flood exposure; the data guide explains the limits of each federal measure. Disaster-data guide

A below-average federal record is not a safety guarantee. Use National Weather Service alerts and local emergency-management notices for present conditions, not this historical comparison.

All federal data sources used on this page
Data sourced from official public datasets. See our methodology for details. Retrieved and formatted by PlainHazard Editorial

Verify with FEMA → · Verify with FEMA NRI → · Verify with NOAA →

Every figure on PlainHazard is rendered directly from FEMA federal disaster data, no number is typed in by an editor. See our editorial standards & corrections policy, the methodology behind these numbers, or national statistics report, the data & editorial changelog, or report a data error.