PlainHazard

If you are in immediate danger, call 911.

The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Utah · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Garfield County, UT

7 FEMA disaster declarations (1977-2021), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Biological.

7
FEMA declarations
3
Major disasters
38
NRI risk · Very Low
Biological
Top hazard

The verdict

Start with the local benchmark for Garfield County: 7 FEMA declaration records are 17% below the Utah county mean, even though the count is higher than 4% of counties in the national registry. On FEMA's distinct National Risk Index model, which combines expected loss with vulnerability and resilience, the county ranks safer than 38%.

Safer than 38%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
7
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
1
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

View my watchlist

FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 49017 · Garfield County 7 declarations · rank 3127/3,266

DECL-LIGHT · MAJOR-LIGHT · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-MODERATE · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-LIGHT 7
  • MAJOR-LIGHT 43%
  • RANK-LOWER #3,127
  • PHOTO-FINISH Clinton
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-MODERATE Moderate
  • TYPE-LEAD Biological
  • VS-ST-BELOW -17%

Nearest declaration peer: Clinton, IL (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Utah state profile

Garfield County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Garfield County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Garfield County carries 7 FEMA declaration records, ranked 3127 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Garfield County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Garfield County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Garfield County

7 4th percentile higher than 4% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Garfield County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Utah avg36/10037.6/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Utah county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Garfield County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $5.6M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively High), while Landslide carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Garfield County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 37.6/100 for this county (Very Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $10.4M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Relatively Moderate) and community resilience (Relatively Moderate) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Landslide carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 6.4 times per year here.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 1 claim and $7.2K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Utah county averages 8.5 federal declaration records, while Garfield County has 7. The gap is 17% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

39 /100

Historical Activity Index

Moderate historical activity

Garfield County, UT · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Low
5/30

7 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.3x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
10/25

7 declarations (0.8x state county average of 8)

Major Disaster Share Moderate
11/25

3 of 7 declarations are major disasters (43%)

Hazard Diversity High
13/20

5 different disaster types declared in Garfield County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Garfield County

Garfield County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 25, Hurricane 0, Tornado 8, Wildfire 25, Drought 25, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 28 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 28 8-hazard mean
Garfield County NRI risk profile FIPS 49017 · displayed-hazard mean 28/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

7

Low volume

Major Disaster share

43%

Mixed major share

NRI risk score

38

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Garfield County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Landslide Relatively Moderate an average of 6.4 times per year
Lightning Relatively High an average of 45 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively High an average of 18 times per year
Avalanche Relatively Moderate roughly once every 15 years
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 1.4 modeled event-days per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 975 years
Volcanic Activity Very Low roughly once every 3,333 years
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 75 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 3.6 times per year
Drought Relatively Low 106 modeled event-days per year
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 67 years
Strong Wind Very Low roughly once every 12 years
Cold Wave Very Low roughly once every 85 years
Tornado Very Low roughly once every 16 years
Hail Very Low roughly once every 15 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Biological 2
Flood 2
Fire 1
Coastal Storm 1
Drought 1

What Biological declarations mean here

Biological is the most frequent declaration type on Garfield County's record, 29% of its declarations. In practice this category is dominated by the COVID-19 declarations of 2020, which were issued across every US state and territory rather than in response to any local hazard event.

This has a direct consequence for how Garfield County's number should be read. Because those declarations reached essentially every county in the country, they raise every county's total by a similar amount and tell you nothing about local hazard exposure. A county whose record is led by Biological declarations is, in most cases, a county with a genuinely quiet weather-hazard history, the pandemic records are simply the largest thing in an otherwise short list.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 3 42.9%

of all 7 declarations

Emergency - 3 42.9%

of all 7 declarations

Fire Management - 1 14.3%

of all 7 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2021 1
2020 2
2011 1
2005 1
1983 1
1977 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 7 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 7 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
5388 MAMMOTH FIRE FM Fire 2021-06-05
4525 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-04
3478 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
1955 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Flood 2011-02-11
3223 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Coastal Storm 2005-09-05
680 SEVERE STORMS, LANDSLIDES & FLOODING DR Flood 1983-04-30
3024 DROUGHT EM Drought 1977-01-20

Storm Events in Utah

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Garfield County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 1,382 3 7 $2.2M
Flash Flood 536 29 17 $101.2M
High Wind 496 4 60 $12.7M
Heavy Snow 488 1 2 $2.4M
Winter Storm 344 1 36 $435.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

1

Total Paid

$7.2K

Avg Per Claim

$7.2K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 37.6/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$10.4M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Landslide Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively High
Winter Weather Relatively High
Avalanche Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Volcanic Activity Very Low
Earthquake Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Strong Wind Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low
Tornado Very Low
Hail Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Landslide

Landslide risk is a function of slope, soil and water, so it is usually a SECOND-ORDER hazard: it is triggered by the rainfall, snowmelt, wildfire burn scars or seismic shaking that came first. That is why a county can carry high landslide exposure whose realized damage is recorded under a flood or storm declaration instead.

Worth noting for Garfield County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Landslide carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Biological. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Garfield County's closest FEMA peer: Churchill County, NV

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Garfield County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Garfield County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Garfield County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

FEMA's National Risk Index flags Landslide as the top modeled exposure here (Relatively Moderate); the guide explains how that model differs from declaration counts.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Garfield County?
The most common disaster type in Garfield County is Biological, with 2 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (2), Fire (1), Coastal Storm (1).
How does Garfield County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Utah average?
The typical Utah county has 8.5 FEMA declaration records; Garfield County has 7, or 17% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 66% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Garfield County received?
Garfield County has received 3 major disaster declarations, representing 43% of all 7 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Garfield County filed?
Garfield County has 1 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $7.2K in payments, with an average of $7.2K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Garfield County?
No. In Garfield County, Landslide has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $5.6M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Garfield County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Garfield County was 2020, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1977 to 2021.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Garfield County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Garfield County, Utah has an overall risk score of 37.6 out of 100 (Very Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Relatively Moderate; on community resilience, Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $10.4M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Garfield County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Garfield County as of the latest release is Landslide (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Lightning (Relatively High) and Winter Weather (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts landslide here at an average of 6.4 times per year. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Garfield County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Utah profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events