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Mississippi · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Winston County, MS

18 FEMA disaster declarations (1977-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

18
FEMA declarations
13
Major disasters
40
NRI risk · Very Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Winston County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 18 declarations, more than 37% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 30% below the Mississippi county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county safer than 40%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Safer than 40%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
18
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
28
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 28159 · Winston County 18 declarations · rank 1936/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 18
  • MAJOR-MID 72%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,936
  • PHOTO-FINISH Monroe
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-BELOW -30%

Nearest declaration peer: Monroe, TN (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Mississippi state profile

Winston County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Winston County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Winston County carries 18 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1936 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Winston County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Winston County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Winston County

18 37th percentile higher than 37% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Winston County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Mississippi avg51/10039.9/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Mississippi county average

What does Winston County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 39.9/100 for this county (Very Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $7.7M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Very High) and community resilience (Relatively Low) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Tornado carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 2 years here, based on 35 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 28 claims and $544.7K paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

Start with the state benchmark: a Mississippi county averages 25.9 federal declaration records, while Winston County has 18. The gap is 30% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

55 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Winston County, MS · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
13/30

18 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.9x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
9/25

18 declarations (0.7x state county average of 26)

Major Disaster Share High
18/25

13 of 18 declarations are major disasters (72%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Winston County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Winston County

Winston County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 25, Flood 8, Hurricane 25, Tornado 48, Wildfire 8, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 24 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 24 8-hazard mean
Winston County NRI risk profile FIPS 28159 · displayed-hazard mean 24/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

18

Below median

Major Disaster share

72%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

40

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Winston County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 2 years
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate an average of 2.6 times per year
Hurricane Relatively Low roughly once every 14 years
Earthquake Relatively Low roughly once every 378 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 3.5 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 12 modeled event-days per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low an average of 1.1 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Drought Relatively Low 14 modeled event-days per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 69 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 3 years
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 3.1 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 1,374 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low an average of 1.1 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 7
Severe Storm 4
Winter Storm 2
Severe Ice Storm 2
Biological 2
Snowstorm 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Winston County's federal record, 39% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 13 72.2%

of all 18 declarations

Emergency - 5 27.8%

of all 18 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 2
2022 1
2021 2
2020 2
2014 1
2012 1
2011 1
2008 1
2005 2
2004 1
2001 1
1999 1
1979 1
1977 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 18 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 18 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4899 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Winter Storm 2026-02-06
3640 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
4626 HURRICANE IDA DR Hurricane 2021-10-22
3569 HURRICANE IDA EM Hurricane 2021-08-28
4598 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-05-04
4528 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-04-05
3474 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4175 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2014-04-30
4081 HURRICANE ISAAC DR Hurricane 2012-08-29
1972 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND ASSOCIATED FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-04-29
3291 HURRICANE GUSTAV EM Hurricane 2008-08-30
1604 HURRICANE KATRINA DR Hurricane 2005-08-29
1594 HURRICANE DENNIS DR Hurricane 2005-07-10
1550 HURRICANE IVAN DR Hurricane 2004-09-15
1360 SEVERE STORMS AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2001-02-23
1265 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, ICE AND FREEZING RAIN DR Severe Ice Storm 1999-01-25
577 STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODS DR Severe Storm 1979-04-16
3032 DROUGHT & FREEZING EM Snowstorm 1977-02-22

Storm Events in Mississippi

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Winston County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 5,557 17 60 $93.9M
Flash Flood 1,551 6 9 $83.6M
Hail 1,411 0 0 $90.1M
Heat 1,340 3 0 $0
Tornado 1,097 68 610 $562.0M

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

28

Total Paid

$544.7K

Avg Per Claim

$19.5K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 39.9/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$7.7M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Tornado Relatively Moderate
Strong Wind Relatively Moderate
Hurricane Relatively Low
Earthquake Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Wildfire Very Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Tornado

Tornado exposure is the most spatially concentrated in the model: total destruction along a narrow corridor with intact property either side. County-level averages therefore understate severity badly for anyone actually in the path, and overstate it for everyone else.

Worth noting for Winston County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Tornado carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Hurricane. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Winston County's closest FEMA peer: Harrison County, OH

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Winston County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Winston County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Winston County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 18 FEMA declarations, Winston County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Winston County?
The most common disaster type in Winston County is Hurricane, with 7 declarations. Other disaster types include Severe Storm (4), Winter Storm (2), Severe Ice Storm (2).
How does Winston County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Mississippi average?
The typical Mississippi county has 25.9 FEMA declaration records; Winston County has 18, or 30% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 13% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Winston County received?
Winston County has received 13 major disaster declarations, representing 72% of all 18 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Winston County filed?
Winston County has 28 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $544.7K in payments, with an average of $19.5K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Winston County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Winston County was 2005, with 2 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1977 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Winston County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Winston County, Mississippi has an overall risk score of 39.9 out of 100 (Very Low). Social vulnerability here rates Very High, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $7.7M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Winston County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Winston County as of the latest release is Tornado (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Strong Wind (Relatively Moderate) and Hurricane (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts tornado here at roughly once every 2 years, drawn from 35 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Winston County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Mississippi profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events