Coconino County, Arizona: hazard risk
FEMA rates Coconino County's overall risk Relatively Moderate (score 94.2 of 100, higher than 94% of rated U.S. counties); 4 of its 16 hazards are rated Relatively High or Very High, led by lightning, winter weather, wildfire. Its storm record holds 1,792 events since 1950.
FEMA's rating for each hazard
These are FEMA's county-wide model ratings and this county's storm record. They are not an assessment of any property, address or building, and not insurance advice: a property's risk depends on its own elevation, construction and location.
FEMA gives each hazard its own rating, and a rating does not follow the score from one hazard to the next: a hazard with a higher score can carry a lower rating than another. The table sorts by FEMA's rating, then by score (0 to 100, the county against every other county for that hazard).
| Hazard | Risk rating | Score | Expected annual loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lightning | Very High | 99.6 | $5.5M |
| Winter Weather | Very High | 98.3 | $1.2M |
| Wildfire | Relatively High | 99.4 | $29M |
| Riverine Flooding | Relatively High | 96.5 | $86M |
| Landslide | Relatively Moderate | 97.4 | $309K |
| Earthquake | Relatively Moderate | 90.4 | $4.7M |
| Avalanche | Relatively Moderate | 81.7 | $457K |
| Cold Wave | Relatively Moderate | 80.2 | $3.2M |
| Volcanic Activity | Relatively Low | 85.7 | $3K |
| Heat Wave | Relatively Low | 63.9 | $600K |
| Ice Storm | Relatively Low | 57.6 | $103K |
| Hail | Relatively Low | 57.1 | $296K |
| Drought | Very Low | 25.1 | $11K |
| Tornado | Very Low | 24.3 | $296K |
| Strong Wind | Very Low | 14.4 | $101K |
| Hurricane | No Rating | 0.0 | $0 |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. A model of future loss, not a count of past events. FEMA's National Risk Index map.
What the record holds
| Hazard | Records | Deaths | Damage | Rank in state | Rank in U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winter storms | 516 | 24 | $2.3M | 6th of 15 | 2833rd of 3,077 |
| High wind and dust storms | 369 | 0 | $320K | 10th of 15 | 2376th of 3,080 |
| Floods | 335 | 24 | $40M | 11th of 15 | 2604th of 3,080 |
| Hail | 177 | 0 | $342K | 8th of 15 | 2859th of 3,080 |
| Heavy rain | 108 | 0 | $13K | 6th of 15 | 1340th of 3,080 |
| Wildfires | 74 | 0 | $105M | 9th of 15 | 645th of 2,972 |
| Severe thunderstorm wind | 51 | 0 | $143K | 14th of 15 | 2993rd of 3,080 |
| Tornadoes | 48 | 0 | $2.6M | 7th of 15 | 2834th of 3,080 |
| Extreme cold | 20 | 3 | $1.3M | 9th of 15 | 2831st of 3,076 |
| Lightning | 19 | 7 | $581K | 9th of 15 | 2240th of 3,080 |
| Heat | 15 | 0 | – | 15th of 15 | 2462nd of 3,076 |
| Landslides and avalanches | 13 | 0 | – | 3rd of 15 | 384th of 2,278 |
| Drought | 7 | 0 | – | 7th of 15 | 2476th of 3,063 |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026-06-30; damage in 2025 dollars. Search the record at NCEI.
The full Coconino County record: every hazard by year and month, the deadliest events and FEMA's declarations.