Duval County, Florida: hazard risk
FEMA rates Duval County's overall risk Relatively High (score 97.2 of 100, higher than 97% of rated U.S. counties); 8 of its 15 hazards are rated Relatively High or Very High, led by lightning, cold wave, hurricane. Its storm record holds 1,985 events since 1950.
FEMA's rating for each hazard
These are FEMA's county-wide model ratings and this county's storm record. They are not an assessment of any property, address or building, and not insurance advice: a property's risk depends on its own elevation, construction and location.
FEMA gives each hazard its own rating, and a rating does not follow the score from one hazard to the next: a hazard with a higher score can carry a lower rating than another. The table sorts by FEMA's rating, then by score (0 to 100, the county against every other county for that hazard).
| Hazard | Risk rating | Score | Expected annual loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lightning | Very High | 98.5 | $3.6M |
| Cold Wave | Relatively High | 98.5 | $26M |
| Hurricane | Relatively High | 97.7 | $65M |
| Riverine Flooding | Relatively High | 97.6 | $134M |
| Heat Wave | Relatively High | 96.8 | $8.7M |
| Hail | Relatively High | 96.2 | $3.6M |
| Tornado | Relatively High | 91.5 | $8.0M |
| Coastal Flooding | Relatively High | 91.0 | $6.5M |
| Earthquake | Relatively Moderate | 90.2 | $5.4M |
| Wildfire | Relatively Moderate | 89.9 | $1.4M |
| Strong Wind | Relatively Moderate | 81.8 | $1.4M |
| Landslide | Very Low | 41.9 | $751 |
| Drought | Very Low | 21.3 | $6K |
| Ice Storm | Very Low | 17.0 | $12K |
| Winter Weather | Very Low | 7.9 | $6K |
Source: FEMA National Risk Index, December 2025 release. A model of future loss, not a count of past events. FEMA's National Risk Index map.
What the record holds
| Hazard | Records | Deaths | Damage | Rank in state | Rank in U.S. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Severe thunderstorm wind | 764 | 1 | $23M | 2nd of 67 | 108th of 3,080 |
| Heavy rain | 307 | 0 | $17K | 2nd of 67 | 9th of 3,080 |
| Hail | 286 | 0 | $8K | 3rd of 67 | 262nd of 3,080 |
| Floods | 217 | 0 | $4.7M | 1st of 67 | 205th of 3,080 |
| Lightning | 111 | 4 | $2.5M | 2nd of 67 | 16th of 3,080 |
| Tornadoes | 77 | 1 | $53M | 14th of 67 | 79th of 3,080 |
| Rip currents and high surf | 64 | 15 | – | 3rd of 67 | 21st of 2,080 |
| Hurricanes and tropical storms | 38 | 5 | $14M | 27th of 67 | 176th of 1,849 |
| Drought | 20 | 0 | – | 37th of 67 | 2082nd of 3,063 |
| High wind and dust storms | 20 | 0 | $144K | 3rd of 67 | 1695th of 3,080 |
| Wildfires | 11 | 0 | – | 18th of 67 | 200th of 2,972 |
| Winter storms | 10 | 0 | $601K | 2nd of 67 | 2842nd of 3,077 |
| Extreme cold | 2 | 0 | – | 49th of 67 | 2596th of 3,076 |
| Heat | 1 | 0 | – | 33rd of 67 | 2278th of 3,076 |
Source: NOAA NCEI Storm Events Database, 1950 to 2026-06-30; damage in 2025 dollars. Search the record at NCEI.
The full Duval County record: every hazard by year and month, the deadliest events and FEMA's declarations.