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Texas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Aransas County, TX

31 FEMA disaster declarations (1967-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

31
FEMA declarations
19
Major disasters
61
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Aransas County. Its 31 FEMA declarations are 48% above the Texas county mean and exceed the count for 88% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 39%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 39%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
31
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
4,125
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 48007 · Aransas County 31 declarations · rank 358/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-MID · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 31
  • MAJOR-MID 61%
  • RANK-MID #358
  • PHOTO-FINISH Galveston
  • NRI-LOW 61
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +48%

Nearest declaration peer: Galveston, TX (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Texas state profile

Aransas County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Aransas County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Aransas County carries 31 FEMA declaration records, ranked 358 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Aransas County ranks in the national declaration registry

Aransas County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Aransas County

31 Top 12% higher than 88% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Aransas County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Texas avg49/10061.2/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

What does Aransas County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 4,125 claims and $64.3M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $15.6K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Aransas County's 31 federal records stand 48% above the Texas county mean of 20.9. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 61.2/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $15.2M in annualized losses), and a Very High social-vulnerability profile combined with Very High community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Hurricane carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 7 years here, based on 50 historical events on record.

71 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Aransas County, TX · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
22/30

31 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.5x national county average)

County Disaster Density Very High
19/25

31 declarations (1.5x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share High
15/25

19 of 31 declarations are major disasters (61%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
15/20

6 different disaster types declared in Aransas County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Aransas County

Aransas County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 48, Hurricane 48, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 8, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 27 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 27 8-hazard mean
Aransas County NRI risk profile FIPS 48007 · displayed-hazard mean 27/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

31

High volume

Major Disaster share

61%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

61

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Aransas County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Hurricane Relatively Moderate roughly once every 7 years
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate an average of 2.1 times per year
Coastal Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 3.7 times per year
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 213 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 7.7 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 5 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.6 times per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 47 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Hail Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Winter Weather Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Drought Very Low 44 modeled event-days per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 3,268 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 47 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 18
Flood 4
Fire 3
Severe Ice Storm 2
Biological 2
Severe Storm 2

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on Aransas County's federal record, 58% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 19 61.3%

of all 31 declarations

Emergency - 11 35.5%

of all 31 declarations

Fire Management - 1 3.2%

of all 31 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 1
2021 2
2020 4
2017 1
2010 1
2009 1
2008 5
2007 1
2006 1
2005 3
2003 2
1999 1
1998 1
1992 1
1980 1
Show 5 earlier declaration years
1979 1
1971 1
1970 1
1968 1
1967 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 31 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 31 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4798 HURRICANE BERYL DR Hurricane 2024-07-09
4586 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-19
3554 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-14
3540 TROPICAL STORMS MARCO AND LAURA EM Hurricane 2020-08-24
3530 HURRICANE HANNA EM Hurricane 2020-07-26
4485 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3458 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4332 HURRICANE HARVEY DR Hurricane 2017-08-25
3313 TROPICAL STORM ALEX EM Hurricane 2010-06-29
2803 HOLIDAY BEACH FIRE FM Fire 2009-04-05
1791 HURRICANE IKE DR Hurricane 2008-09-13
3294 HURRICANE IKE EM Hurricane 2008-09-10
3290 HURRICANE GUSTAV EM Hurricane 2008-08-29
1780 HURRICANE DOLLY DR Hurricane 2008-07-24
3284 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2008-03-14
3277 HURRICANE DEAN EM Hurricane 2007-08-18
1624 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-11
1606 HURRICANE RITA DR Hurricane 2005-09-24
3261 HURRICANE RITA EM Hurricane 2005-09-21
3216 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
Show 11 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1479 HURRICANE CLAUDETTE DR Hurricane 2003-07-17
1439 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-11-05
1287 HURRICANE BRET DR Hurricane 1999-08-22
1239 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DR Severe Storm 1998-08-26
930 SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DR Flood 1991-12-26
627 HURRICANE ALLEN DR Hurricane 1980-08-11
603 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1979-09-25
313 HEAVY RAINS, HIGH WINDS & FLOODING DR Flood 1971-09-18
292 HURRICANE CELIA DR Hurricane 1970-08-04
246 SEVERE STORMS, HIGH WINDS & FLOODING DR Flood 1968-07-05
232 HURRICANE BEULAH DR Hurricane 1967-09-28

Storm Events in Texas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Aransas County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 14,072 0 15 $7.4B
Thunderstorm Wind 10,293 41 141 $369.9M
Drought 7,032 0 0 $86.0K
Flash Flood 4,728 338 24 $47.6B
Heat 4,079 119 405 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

4,125

Total Paid

$64.3M

Avg Per Claim

$15.6K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 61.2/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$15.2M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Very High

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Hurricane Relatively Moderate
Cold Wave Relatively Moderate
Coastal Flooding Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Very Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Hail Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Winter Weather Very Low
Drought Very Low
Earthquake Very Low
Landslide Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Hurricane

Hurricane exposure in the model bundles the three ways a tropical system does harm, which arrive on different timescales and are insured differently: wind, storm surge on the coast, and rainfall flooding that can reach far inland well after landfall.

For Aransas County the two measures on this page point the same way: Hurricane is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively Moderate), and Hurricane declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Aransas County's closest FEMA peer: Hillsborough County, NH

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Aransas County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Aransas County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Aransas County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Aransas County's NFIP claims file (4,125 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Aransas County?
The most common disaster type in Aransas County is Hurricane, with 18 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (4), Fire (3), Severe Ice Storm (2).
How does Aransas County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Texas average?
FEMA lists 31 declaration records for Aransas County. That is 48% above the Texas county mean of 20.9. Its count is also 50% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Aransas County received?
Aransas County has received 19 major disaster declarations, representing 61% of all 31 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Aransas County filed?
Aransas County has 4,125 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $64.3M in payments, with an average of $15.6K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Aransas County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Aransas County was 2008, with 5 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1967 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Aransas County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Aransas County, Texas has an overall risk score of 61.2 out of 100 (Relatively Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Very High and community resilience is Very High. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $15.2M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Aransas County?
The top hazard flagged by FEMA's NRI for Aransas County as of the latest release is Hurricane (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Cold Wave (Relatively Moderate) and Coastal Flooding (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts hurricane here at roughly once every 7 years, drawn from 50 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Aransas County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Texas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events