PlainHazard

If you are in immediate danger, call 911.

The data below is historical (NOAA Storm Events / FEMA), not a live alert. For current warnings and evacuation orders, check the National Weather Service, Ready.gov, or FEMA.gov.

Texas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

San Patricio County, TX

34 FEMA disaster declarations (1967-2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate. Most common hazard: Hurricane.

34
FEMA declarations
22
Major disasters
85
NRI risk · Relatively Moderate
Hurricane
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for San Patricio County. Its 34 FEMA declarations are 63% above the Texas county mean and exceed the count for 92% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it in the riskiest 15%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Riskiest 15%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Moderate
FEMA National Risk Index rating
34
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
1,981
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

View my watchlist

FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 48409 · San Patricio County 34 declarations · rank 251/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-UPPER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-MID · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-HIGH

  • DECL-HEAVY 34
  • MAJOR-MID 65%
  • RANK-UPPER #251
  • PHOTO-FINISH Sumter
  • NRI-MID 85
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Hurricane
  • VS-ST-HIGH +63%

Nearest declaration peer: Sumter, FL (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Texas state profile

San Patricio County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among San Patricio County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows San Patricio County carries 34 FEMA declaration records, ranked 251 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where San Patricio County ranks in the national declaration registry

San Patricio County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · San Patricio County

34 Top 8% higher than 92% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

San Patricio County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Texas avg49/10085.4/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

What does San Patricio County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 1,981 claims and $19.8M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $10.0K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. San Patricio County's 34 federal records stand 63% above the Texas county mean of 20.9. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county sits among the highest-risk counties nationally on FEMA's National Risk Index, a composite score of 85.4/100 (Relatively Moderate). Expected Annual Loss is rated Relatively Low (roughly $39.5M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability reads Very High and community resilience Relatively Moderate, both critical modifiers of realized harm here. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Hurricane stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at roughly once every 8 years here, based on 44 historical events on record.

79 /100

Historical Activity Index

Very High historical activity

San Patricio County, TX · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Very High
25/30

34 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.6x national county average)

County Disaster Density Very High
20/25

34 declarations (1.6x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share High
16/25

22 of 34 declarations are major disasters (65%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in San Patricio County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - San Patricio County

San Patricio County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 48, Hurricane 70, Tornado 48, Wildfire 25, Drought 70, Heat Wave 48, Winter Storm 70. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 48 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 48 8-hazard mean
San Patricio County NRI risk profile FIPS 48409 · displayed-hazard mean 48/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

34

Very high volume

Major Disaster share

65%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

85

Relatively Moderate

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike San Patricio County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Hurricane Relatively High roughly once every 8 years
Drought Relatively High 63 modeled event-days per year
Cold Wave Relatively High an average of 2.6 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate 14 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 4 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 2.5 times per year
Hail Relatively Low an average of 1.1 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 312 years
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 47 times per year
Ice Storm Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Coastal Flooding Relatively Low an average of 3.7 times per year
Strong Wind Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Winter Weather Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 5,618 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 16 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Hurricane 18
Flood 5
Fire 3
Severe Storm 3
Severe Ice Storm 2
Biological 2
Coastal Storm 1

What Hurricane declarations mean here

Hurricane is the most frequent declaration type on San Patricio County's federal record, 53% of its declarations. Atlantic tropical systems run on a defined season, 1 June to 30 November, with most activity concentrated between August and October; Pacific and territorial basins run on their own calendars. A single named storm routinely produces one declaration number covering a long corridor of counties at once, well inland as well as on the coast, which is why an affected county's count can jump by several in one year without several separate events having occurred.

One practical distinction matters when reading these records: a tropical declaration usually bundles wind, storm surge and inland rainfall flooding under a single incident, but the insurance behind them is split. Wind damage falls to property insurers, while flood and surge damage is covered only under a separate National Flood Insurance Program policy. That is why a county can show heavy declaration activity and a comparatively small NFIP claims record, or the reverse.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 22 64.7%

of all 34 declarations

Emergency - 11 32.4%

of all 34 declarations

Fire Management - 1 2.9%

of all 34 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2025 1
2024 1
2021 2
2020 4
2017 1
2010 1
2008 5
2007 2
2006 1
2005 3
2003 2
2002 2
1999 2
1998 1
1985 1
Show 5 earlier declaration years
1980 1
1971 1
1970 1
1968 1
1967 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 34 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 34 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
5552 WELDER FIRE FM Fire 2025-03-04
4798 HURRICANE BERYL DR Hurricane 2024-07-09
4586 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-19
3554 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-14
3540 TROPICAL STORMS MARCO AND LAURA EM Hurricane 2020-08-24
3530 HURRICANE HANNA EM Hurricane 2020-07-26
4485 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3458 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4332 HURRICANE HARVEY DR Hurricane 2017-08-25
3313 TROPICAL STORM ALEX EM Hurricane 2010-06-29
1791 HURRICANE IKE DR Hurricane 2008-09-13
3294 HURRICANE IKE EM Hurricane 2008-09-10
3290 HURRICANE GUSTAV EM Hurricane 2008-08-29
1780 HURRICANE DOLLY DR Hurricane 2008-07-24
3284 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2008-03-14
3277 HURRICANE DEAN EM Hurricane 2007-08-18
1709 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-06-29
1624 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-11
1606 HURRICANE RITA DR Hurricane 2005-09-24
3261 HURRICANE RITA EM Hurricane 2005-09-21
Show 14 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
3216 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
1479 HURRICANE CLAUDETTE DR Hurricane 2003-07-17
1439 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-11-05
1434 TROPICAL STORM FAY DR Coastal Storm 2002-09-26
1425 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2002-07-04
1287 HURRICANE BRET DR Hurricane 1999-08-22
1257 TX-FLOODING 10/18/98 DR Flood 1998-10-21
1239 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DR Severe Storm 1998-08-26
727 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1984-10-30
627 HURRICANE ALLEN DR Hurricane 1980-08-11
313 HEAVY RAINS, HIGH WINDS & FLOODING DR Flood 1971-09-18
292 HURRICANE CELIA DR Hurricane 1970-08-04
246 SEVERE STORMS, HIGH WINDS & FLOODING DR Flood 1968-07-05
232 HURRICANE BEULAH DR Hurricane 1967-09-28

Storm Events in Texas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to San Patricio County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 14,072 0 15 $7.4B
Thunderstorm Wind 10,293 41 141 $369.9M
Drought 7,032 0 0 $86.0K
Flash Flood 4,728 338 24 $47.6B
Heat 4,079 119 405 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

1,981

Total Paid

$19.8M

Avg Per Claim

$10.0K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Moderate

Score: 85.4/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$39.5M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Hurricane Relatively High
Drought Relatively High
Cold Wave Relatively High
Heat Wave Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Low
Wildfire Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Ice Storm Relatively Low
Coastal Flooding Relatively Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Landslide Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Hurricane

Hurricane exposure in the model bundles the three ways a tropical system does harm, which arrive on different timescales and are insured differently: wind, storm surge on the coast, and rainfall flooding that can reach far inland well after landfall.

For San Patricio County the two measures on this page point the same way: Hurricane is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively High), and Hurricane declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

San Patricio County's closest FEMA peer: Santa Cruz County, CA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for San Patricio County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for San Patricio County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for San Patricio County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

San Patricio County's NFIP claims file (1,981 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in San Patricio County?
The most common disaster type in San Patricio County is Hurricane, with 18 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (5), Fire (3), Severe Storm (3).
How does San Patricio County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Texas average?
FEMA lists 34 declaration records for San Patricio County. That is 63% above the Texas county mean of 20.9. Its count is also 64% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has San Patricio County received?
San Patricio County has received 22 major disaster declarations, representing 65% of all 34 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has San Patricio County filed?
San Patricio County has 1,981 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $19.8M in payments, with an average of $10.0K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in San Patricio County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in San Patricio County was 2008, with 5 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1967 to 2025.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for San Patricio County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, San Patricio County, Texas has an overall risk score of 85.4 out of 100 (Relatively Moderate). The county's social vulnerability rating is Very High and community resilience is Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $39.5M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to San Patricio County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in San Patricio County as of the latest release is Hurricane (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Drought (Relatively High) and Cold Wave (Relatively High). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts hurricane here at roughly once every 8 years, drawn from 44 historical events on record. The underlying methodology weighs historical event frequency against exposed assets and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for San Patricio County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Texas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events