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Kentucky · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Bath County, KY

29 FEMA disaster declarations (1979-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

29
FEMA declarations
22
Major disasters
14
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Bath County. Its 29 FEMA declarations are 3% above the Kentucky county mean and exceed the count for 85% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 14%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 14%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
29
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
100
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 21011 · Bath County 29 declarations · rank 446/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-MID · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 29
  • MAJOR-MID 76%
  • RANK-MID #446
  • PHOTO-FINISH Lenoir
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +3%

Nearest declaration peer: Lenoir, NC (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Kentucky state profile

Bath County among high-volume declaration counties

FEMA declaration records among Bath County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Bath County carries 29 FEMA declaration records, ranked 446 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Where Bath County ranks in the national declaration registry

Bath County vs. high-volume counties in this registry

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Bath County

29 Top 15% higher than 85% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Bath County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Kentucky avg44/10013.7/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Kentucky county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Bath County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $3.0M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Moderate), while Lightning carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Bath County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

The NFIP claims register shows a middle-volume loss record here: 100 paid claims, totaling $1.4M. PlainHazard uses 50-499 claims for this descriptive band; FEMA does not publish it as a safety or coverage category. The $14.2K average describes payments on recorded claims only, leaving uninsured damage and properties without a claim outside the measure.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Bath County's 29 federal records stand 3% above the Kentucky county mean of 28.1. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's National Risk Index places this county in the low end of the national distribution, composite score 13.7/100 (Very Low). Expected Annual Loss is rated Very Low (roughly $4.9M in annualized losses). Two modifiers shape how that exposure becomes real-world harm here: social vulnerability (Relatively Moderate) and community resilience (Relatively Low). Among the 18 modeled hazards, Lightning carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 51 times per year here, based on 31,321 historical events on record.

73 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Bath County, KY · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
21/30

29 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.4x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
13/25

29 declarations (1.0x state county average of 28)

Major Disaster Share Very High
19/25

22 of 29 declarations are major disasters (76%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

9 different disaster types declared in Bath County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Bath County

Bath County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 8, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 8, Drought 8, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 12 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 12 8-hazard mean
Bath County NRI risk profile FIPS 21011 · displayed-hazard mean 12/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

29

High volume

Major Disaster share

76%

Mostly major

NRI risk score

14

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Bath County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 51 times per year
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 15 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 5 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 531 years
Heat Wave Very Low 2.8 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 10 years
Riverine Flooding Very Low an average of 1.4 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 43 years
Wildfire Very Low roughly once every 1,706 years
Hail Very Low an average of 3.1 times per year
Drought Very Low 2.8 modeled event-days per year
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Cold Wave Very Low an average of 1.1 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Severe Storm 13
Flood 4
Severe Ice Storm 3
Snowstorm 3
Biological 2
Winter Storm 1
Tropical Storm 1
Hurricane 1
Tornado 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Bath County's record, 45% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 22 75.9%

of all 29 declarations

Emergency - 7 24.1%

of all 29 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2025 3
2021 1
2020 2
2015 2
2012 1
2011 1
2010 1
2009 2
2008 1
2005 1
2004 1
2003 1
2002 1
2001 1
Show 9 earlier declaration years
2000 1
1998 1
1997 1
1996 1
1995 1
1994 1
1993 1
1989 1
1979 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 29 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 29 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3633 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Winter Storm 2026-01-24
3626 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING EM Severe Storm 2025-04-03
3624 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, FLOODING, AND LANDSLIDES EM Severe Storm 2025-02-16
4848 REMNANTS OF HURRICANE HELENE DR Tropical Storm 2024-11-26
4592 SEVERE WINTER STORMS, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-03-31
4497 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-28
3469 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4218 SEVERE WINTER STORM, SNOWSTORM, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2015-05-12
4217 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, LANDSLIDES, AND MUDSLIDES DR Flood 2015-05-01
4057 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2012-03-06
1976 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2011-05-04
1912 SEVERE STORMS, FLOODING, MUDSLIDES, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 2010-05-11
1818 SEVERE WINTER STORM AND FLOODING DR Severe Ice Storm 2009-02-05
3302 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2009-01-28
1746 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND DR Severe Storm 2008-02-21
3231 HURRICANE KATRINA EM Hurricane 2005-09-10
1523 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, FLOODING, AND MUDSLIDES DR Severe Storm 2004-06-10
1454 SEVERE WINTER ICE AND SNOW STORMS, HEAVY RAIN, FLOODING, TORNADOES, AND MUD AND DR Severe Storm 2003-03-14
1407 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2002-04-04
1388 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2001-08-15
Show 9 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
1320 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2000-02-28
1207 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Severe Storm 1998-03-03
1163 SEVERE STORM, FLOODING, AND TORNADOES DR Severe Storm 1997-03-04
1089 BLIZZARD OF 96 DR Snowstorm 1996-01-13
1055 TORNADOES, SEVERE WINDS, HAIL DR Tornado 1995-06-13
1018 SEVERE WEATHER, FREEZING RAIN, SLEET, SNW DR Snowstorm 1994-03-16
3104 SEVERE SNOWFALL & WINTER STORM EM Snowstorm 1993-03-16
821 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1989-02-24
568 SEVERE STORMS & FLOODING DR Flood 1978-12-12

Storm Events in Kentucky

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Bath County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Thunderstorm Wind 6,702 9 56 $55.2M
Flash Flood 1,757 65 16 $42.6M
Flood 1,646 31 6 $37.1M
Hail 1,534 1 0 $4.7M
Winter Weather 1,079 14 54 $655.0K

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

100

Total Paid

$1.4M

Avg Per Claim

$14.2K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 13.7/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$4.9M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Lightning Relatively Moderate
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Very Low
Hurricane Very Low
Wildfire Very Low
Hail Very Low
Drought Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Cold Wave Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Lightning

Lightning is modeled as a high-frequency, low-per-event hazard: strike counts are large, but each strike affects a very small area. Its aggregate cost accumulates through structure fires, electrical and electronic damage, and it is one of the few hazards whose risk is essentially continuous through the season rather than episodic.

For Bath County the two measures on this page point the same way: Lightning is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively Moderate), and Severe Storm declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Bath County's closest FEMA peer: Montgomery County, PA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Bath County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Bath County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Bath County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Bath County's NFIP claims file (100 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Bath County?
The most common disaster type in Bath County is Severe Storm, with 13 declarations. Other disaster types include Flood (4), Severe Ice Storm (3), Snowstorm (3).
How does Bath County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Kentucky average?
FEMA lists 29 declaration records for Bath County. That is 3% above the Kentucky county mean of 28.1. Its count is also 40% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Bath County received?
Bath County has received 22 major disaster declarations, representing 76% of all 29 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Bath County filed?
Bath County has 100 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $1.4M in payments, with an average of $14.2K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Bath County?
No. In Bath County, Lightning has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $3.0M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Bath County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Bath County was 2025, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1979 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Bath County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Bath County, Kentucky has an overall risk score of 13.7 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Moderate and community resilience is Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $4.9M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Bath County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Bath County is Lightning (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Winter Weather (Relatively Low) and Landslide (Very Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts lightning here at an average of 51 times per year, drawn from 31,321 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Bath County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Kentucky profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events