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Texas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Blanco County, TX

21 FEMA disaster declarations (1989-2026), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Flood.

21
FEMA declarations
13
Major disasters
33
NRI risk · Very Low
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Blanco County. Its 21 FEMA declarations are 0% above the Texas county mean and exceed the count for 52% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 33%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 33%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
21
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
43
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 48031 · Blanco County 21 declarations · rank 1469/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 21
  • MAJOR-MID 62%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,469
  • PHOTO-FINISH Montgomery
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Flood
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +0%

Nearest declaration peer: Montgomery, IN (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Texas state profile

Blanco County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Blanco County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Blanco County carries 21 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1469 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Blanco County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Blanco County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Blanco County

21 Top 48% higher than 52% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Blanco County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Texas avg49/10033/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Blanco County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $6.6M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Very High), while Drought carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Blanco County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 33.0/100 for this county (Very Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $10.1M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Relatively Moderate) and community resilience (Relatively Moderate) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Drought carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at 118 modeled event-days per year here, based on 3,486 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 43 claims and $2.5M paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Blanco County's 21 federal records stand 0% above the Texas county mean of 20.9. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

63 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Blanco County, TX · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
15/30

21 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.0x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
13/25

21 declarations (1.0x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share High
15/25

13 of 21 declarations are major disasters (62%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
20/20

8 different disaster types declared in Blanco County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Blanco County

Blanco County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 25, Wildfire 25, Drought 48, Heat Wave 8, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 22 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 22 8-hazard mean
Blanco County NRI risk profile FIPS 48031 · displayed-hazard mean 22/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

21

Above median

Major Disaster share

62%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

33

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Blanco County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Drought Relatively Moderate 118 modeled event-days per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 506 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 4.4 times per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 61 years
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 2.4 times per year
Tornado Relatively Low roughly once every 3 years
Winter Weather Relatively Low an average of 3.9 times per year
Lightning Relatively Low an average of 48 times per year
Heat Wave Very Low 4.8 modeled event-days per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 4 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 1.5 times per year
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 4,444 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 5
Fire 4
Severe Storm 3
Hurricane 3
Severe Ice Storm 2
Biological 2
Winter Storm 1
Drought 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Blanco County's record, 24% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 13 61.9%

of all 21 declarations

Emergency - 8 38.1%

of all 21 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2026 1
2024 1
2023 1
2021 2
2020 2
2015 1
2011 1
2008 1
2006 1
2005 3
2002 1
1999 2
1998 1
1997 1
1993 1
Show 1 earlier declaration years
1989 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 21 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 21 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
3649 FLOODING EM Flood 2026-07-18
4781 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2024-05-17
4705 SEVERE WINTER STORM DR Winter Storm 2023-04-21
4586 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-19
3554 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-14
4485 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3458 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4223 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-05-29
1999 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2011-07-01
3284 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2008-03-14
1624 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-11
1606 HURRICANE RITA DR Hurricane 2005-09-24
3261 HURRICANE RITA EM Hurricane 2005-09-21
3216 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
1425 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2002-07-04
3142 EXTREME FIRE HAZARDS EM Fire 1999-09-01
1257 TX-FLOODING 10/18/98 DR Flood 1998-10-21
1239 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DR Severe Storm 1998-08-26
1179 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1997-07-07
3113 EXTREME FIRE HAZARD EM Drought 1993-09-10
Show 1 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
828 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1989-05-19

Storm Events in Texas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Blanco County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 14,072 0 15 $7.4B
Thunderstorm Wind 10,293 41 141 $369.9M
Drought 7,032 0 0 $86.0K
Flash Flood 4,728 338 24 $47.6B
Heat 4,079 119 405 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

43

Total Paid

$2.5M

Avg Per Claim

$57.8K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 33.0/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$10.1M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively Moderate

Community Resilience

Relatively Moderate

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Drought Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Hail Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Low
Lightning Relatively Low
Heat Wave Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Earthquake Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Drought

Drought is the slowest of the modeled hazards and the least visible: it does its damage to agriculture, water supply and soil over seasons rather than hours, so it rarely produces the kind of single-day damage that drives a disaster declaration. FEMA scores it in event-days per year rather than discrete events for exactly that reason.

Worth noting for Blanco County: the model and the federal record do NOT point at the same hazard. Drought carries the highest modeled rating (Relatively Moderate), while the county's declaration history is led by Flood. That is not a contradiction, the two measure genuinely different things. Declarations record federal ACTION, which requires damage costly enough to exceed state and local capacity; the Risk Index models EXPECTED annual loss across all 18 hazards whether or not any declaration ever followed. A hazard can be the county's largest modeled exposure and never once have driven a declaration.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Blanco County's closest FEMA peer: Fulton County, GA

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Blanco County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Blanco County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Blanco County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 21 FEMA declarations, Blanco County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Blanco County?
The most common disaster type in Blanco County is Flood, with 5 declarations. Other disaster types include Fire (4), Severe Storm (3), Hurricane (3).
How does Blanco County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Texas average?
FEMA lists 21 declaration records for Blanco County. That is 0% above the Texas county mean of 20.9. Its count is also 1% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Blanco County received?
Blanco County has received 13 major disaster declarations, representing 62% of all 21 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Blanco County filed?
Blanco County has 43 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $2.5M in payments, with an average of $57.8K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Blanco County?
No. In Blanco County, Drought has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively Moderate), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $6.6M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Blanco County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Blanco County was 2005, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1989 to 2026.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Blanco County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Blanco County, Texas has an overall risk score of 33.0 out of 100 (Very Low). The county's social vulnerability rating is Relatively Moderate and community resilience is Relatively Moderate. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $10.1M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Blanco County?
Based on FEMA NRI data, the highest-risk natural hazard in Blanco County as of the latest release is Drought (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Wildfire (Relatively Low) and Hail (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts drought here at 118 modeled event-days per year, drawn from 3,486 historical events on record. FEMA derives these ratings from historical event frequency, the assets exposed, and the community's vulnerability profile.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Blanco County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Texas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events