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Texas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Llano County, TX

17 FEMA disaster declarations (1992-2025), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low. Most common hazard: Flood.

17
FEMA declarations
10
Major disasters
70
NRI risk · Relatively Low
Flood
Top hazard

The verdict

Llano County has a nationally busy FEMA history: 17 declarations, more than 32% of counties in this registry. But the state comparison tempers that reading: the total is 19% below the Texas county mean. FEMA's separate National Risk Index places the county in the riskiest 30%; that score models loss and vulnerability rather than counting declarations.

Riskiest 30%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Relatively Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
17
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
693
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records; an EM authorizes a narrower set of federal assistance than a DR.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 48299 · Llano County 17 declarations · rank 2151/3,266

DECL-MID · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-BELOW

  • DECL-MID 17
  • MAJOR-MID 59%
  • RANK-LOWER #2,151
  • PHOTO-FINISH Curry
  • NRI-LOW 70
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Flood
  • VS-ST-BELOW -19%

Nearest declaration peer: Curry, OR (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Texas state profile

Llano County among counties with fewer federal records

FEMA declaration records among Llano County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Llano County carries 17 FEMA declaration records, ranked 2151 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

Llano County versus quieter counties in this dataset

Llano County among lower-declaration counties nationally

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Llano County

17 32nd percentile higher than 32% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Llano County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Texas avg49/10070.4/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

What does Llano County's hazard record show?

Reading the federal records together

FEMA's NFIP table contains a substantial paid-claim history for this county: 693 claims and $20.0M in payments. PlainHazard labels 500 or more claims a heavy registry record; that is a reporting bucket, not an official FEMA risk grade. The average paid claim was $28.9K. NFIP totals exclude uninsured flood losses and do not measure how many properties currently carry a policy.

Start with the state benchmark: a Texas county averages 20.9 federal declaration records, while Llano County has 17. The gap is 19% below that mean. Fewer entries indicate a quieter history of recorded federal actions, not immunity from a hazard and not a prediction about what happens next.

FEMA National Risk Index

This county carries a high composite score on FEMA's National Risk Index, 70.4/100, rated Relatively Low. Its Expected Annual Loss rating is Relatively Low (roughly $18.6M in annualized losses), and a Very High social-vulnerability profile combined with Relatively Low community resilience shapes how much of that raw exposure becomes realized harm. Among the 18 modeled hazards, Riverine Flooding carries the county's highest rating, a mid-range Relatively Moderate. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 2.4 times per year here, based on 66 historical events on record.

55 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Llano County, TX · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) Moderate
12/30

17 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (0.8x national county average)

County Disaster Density Moderate
10/25

17 declarations (0.8x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share High
15/25

10 of 17 declarations are major disasters (59%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Llano County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Llano County

Llano County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 48, Hurricane 8, Tornado 48, Wildfire 25, Drought 48, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 48. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 32 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 32 8-hazard mean
Llano County NRI risk profile FIPS 48299 · displayed-hazard mean 32/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

17

Below median

Major Disaster share

59%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

70

Relatively Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Llano County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate an average of 2.4 times per year
Hail Relatively Moderate an average of 3.8 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 469 years
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate an average of 4.1 times per year
Lightning Relatively Moderate an average of 48 times per year
Drought Relatively Moderate 86 modeled event-days per year
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 3 years
Heat Wave Relatively Low 6.7 modeled event-days per year
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 2 years
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 90 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 1.1 times per year
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 4 years
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 2 years
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 3,378 years

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Flood 4
Fire 3
Hurricane 3
Severe Ice Storm 2
Biological 2
Severe Storm 2
Drought 1

What Flood declarations mean here

Flood is the most frequent declaration type on Llano County's record, 24% of its declarations. Federal flood declarations cover two mechanisms that behave very differently: riverine flooding, which builds over days as a watershed drains and is usually forecast well in advance, and flash flooding, which can arrive in under an hour from rainfall that fell somewhere upstream.

Flood is also the one hazard class where a second federal dataset exists for the same events. The National Flood Insurance Program records what was actually paid on insured losses, so it measures a narrower thing than the declaration count: uninsured damage, and flooding outside mapped special flood hazard areas, never enters it. Reading the two together is more informative than either alone.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 10 58.8%

of all 17 declarations

Emergency - 7 41.2%

of all 17 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2025 1
2021 2
2020 2
2019 1
2008 1
2007 1
2006 1
2005 3
1999 1
1998 1
1997 1
1993 1
1992 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 17 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 17 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4879 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2025-07-06
4586 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-19
3554 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-14
4485 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3458 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4416 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2019-02-25
3284 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2008-03-14
1709 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-06-29
1624 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-11
1606 HURRICANE RITA DR Hurricane 2005-09-24
3261 HURRICANE RITA EM Hurricane 2005-09-21
3216 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
3142 EXTREME FIRE HAZARDS EM Fire 1999-09-01
1239 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DR Severe Storm 1998-08-26
1179 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 1997-07-07
3113 EXTREME FIRE HAZARD EM Drought 1993-09-10
930 SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DR Flood 1991-12-26

Storm Events in Texas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Llano County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 14,072 0 15 $7.4B
Thunderstorm Wind 10,293 41 141 $369.9M
Drought 7,032 0 0 $86.0K
Flash Flood 4,728 338 24 $47.6B
Heat 4,079 119 405 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

693

Total Paid

$20.0M

Avg Per Claim

$28.9K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Relatively Low

Score: 70.4/100

Expected Annual Loss

Relatively Low

$18.6M/year

Social Vulnerability

Very High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Riverine Flooding Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Moderate
Wildfire Relatively Low
Winter Weather Relatively Moderate
Lightning Relatively Moderate
Drought Relatively Moderate
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Landslide Very Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Earthquake Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Riverine Flooding

Riverine Flooding is the model's measure of a watershed draining more water than its channel can carry. Unlike flash flooding it usually builds over days and is forecast in advance, which makes it the hazard where warning time most reliably converts into reduced harm.

For Llano County the two measures on this page point the same way: Riverine Flooding is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively Moderate), and Flood declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Llano County's closest FEMA peer: Coles County, IL

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Llano County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Llano County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Llano County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Understanding disaster data

Llano County's NFIP claims file (693 claims) and FEMA declaration history measure different federal records - this guide separates them from modeled NRI risk.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Llano County?
The most common disaster type in Llano County is Flood, with 4 declarations. Other disaster types include Fire (3), Hurricane (3), Severe Ice Storm (2).
How does Llano County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Texas average?
The typical Texas county has 20.9 FEMA declaration records; Llano County has 17, or 19% fewer. Against the national county mean of 20.7, this county's total is 18% lower. The comparison is historical and says nothing about the probability of a future event.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Llano County received?
Llano County has received 10 major disaster declarations, representing 59% of all 17 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Llano County filed?
Llano County has 693 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $20.0M in payments, with an average of $28.9K per claim.
What was the worst year for disasters in Llano County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Llano County was 2005, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1992 to 2025.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Llano County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Llano County, Texas has an overall risk score of 70.4 out of 100 (Relatively Low). On social vulnerability the county rates Very High; on community resilience, Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Relatively Low, representing $18.6M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Llano County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Llano County as of the latest release is Riverine Flooding (risk rating: Relatively Moderate). Other significant hazards include Hail (Relatively Moderate) and Wildfire (Relatively Low). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts riverine flooding here at an average of 2.4 times per year, drawn from 66 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Llano County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Texas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events