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Texas · FEMA + NOAA + National Risk Index

Bosque County, TX

24 FEMA disaster declarations (1989-2024), with a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low. Most common hazard: Severe Storm.

24
FEMA declarations
15
Major disasters
37
NRI risk · Very Low
Severe Storm
Top hazard

The verdict

Two federal records point in the busier direction for Bosque County. Its 24 FEMA declarations are 15% above the Texas county mean and exceed the count for 66% of the 3,266 counties in this registry. Separately, FEMA's National Risk Index places it safer than 37%, based on modeled expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience.

Safer than 37%
of U.S. counties for FEMA National Risk Index score
Very Low
FEMA National Risk Index rating
24
FEMA declarations vs 21 national county avg
43
NFIP flood insurance claims filed

FEMA's National Risk Index and its declaration registry are separate measures. This county's registry includes Fire Management Assistance (FM) records, which are not presidential disaster declarations, alongside Major Disaster (DR) and Emergency (EM) records.

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FEMA OpenFEMA declaration desk

County FIPS 48035 · Bosque County 24 declarations · rank 1092/3,266

DECL-HEAVY · MAJOR-MID · RANK-LOWER · PHOTO-FINISH · NRI-LOW · ACT-HIGH · TYPE-LEAD · VS-ST-ABOVE

  • DECL-HEAVY 24
  • MAJOR-MID 63%
  • RANK-LOWER #1,092
  • PHOTO-FINISH Eddy
  • NRI-LOW Very Low
  • ACT-HIGH High
  • TYPE-LEAD Severe Storm
  • VS-ST-ABOVE +15%

Nearest declaration peer: Eddy, ND (0 declaration gap)

FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 filing stamps for this county register. Read with this county → · Texas state profile

Bosque County in the declaration-count neighbourhood

FEMA declaration records among Bosque County and nearest peers by total count

declarations

What this shows Bosque County carries 24 FEMA declaration records, ranked 1092 of 3,266 counties in this registry.

Source FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 As of 2026-08-25

How Bosque County's FEMA declaration count compares nationally

Bosque County vs. all counties in this dataset

FEMA disaster declarations, all-time · Bosque County

24 Top 34% higher than 66% of 3,266 counties

This county 0 90 all U.S. counties FEMA tracks, bucketed by value

Each bar is a band; taller bars hold more counties. The dashed line + filled bar mark this entry. Hover or tap any bar for its full count, share, and where it sits relative to this entry.

Source FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 · 2026-08-25

Bosque County's FEMA Risk Index score

0/100100/100Texas avg49/10036.9/100
FEMA National Risk Index composite score vs. the Texas county average

Which hazard drives modeled loss here?

FEMA's modeled annual dollar loss for Bosque County is led by Riverine Flooding (about $3.8M Expected Annual Loss, Historical Loss Ratio Relatively Low), while Lightning carries the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High). EAL and risk score use different inputs; they need not agree.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (December 2025 release) - Expected Annual Loss vs composite risk rating by hazard.

What does Bosque County's hazard record show?

FEMA National Risk Index

FEMA's data shows an elevated National Risk Index composite of 36.9/100 for this county (Very Low rating). Expected Annual Loss comes in at Very Low (roughly $9.1M in annualized losses). Social vulnerability (Relatively High) and community resilience (Relatively Low) both factor into how that raw exposure plays out on the ground. Of the 18 hazards FEMA models, Lightning stands out as the sharpest exposure here, rated Relatively High. FEMA's modeled frequency puts that hazard at an average of 50 times per year here, based on 94,425 historical events on record.

Reading the federal records together

This county has a small entry in FEMA's NFIP paid-claims table: 43 claims and $1.5M paid in total. PlainHazard calls 1-49 claims a light registry record, a label for this dataset rather than a finding that flood exposure is low. A short claims history can also reflect insurance take-up, the period covered, or losses that were never insured.

The declaration register points in the busier direction. Bosque County's 24 federal records stand 15% above the Texas county mean of 20.9. That comparison describes how often federal action was recorded, including any Major Disaster, Emergency, and Fire Management entries shown on this page; it does not convert the count into future probability.

65 /100

Historical Activity Index

High historical activity

Bosque County, TX · PlainHazard-derived composite from federal records

This 0–100 index is an explicit PlainHazard composite from FEMA declaration history only on the county surface (this DB has no county-level NOAA damage row) . It is not FEMA's National Risk Index, not a forecast, and not a safety, insurance, or preparedness rating. Open the calculator · Methodology

FEMA Declarations (1953–present) High
17/30

24 OpenFEMA declarations, full ingest window (1.2x national county average)

County Disaster Density High
14/25

24 declarations (1.1x state county average of 21)

Major Disaster Share High
16/25

15 of 24 declarations are major disasters (63%)

Hazard Diversity Very High
18/20

7 different disaster types declared in Bosque County

FEMA NRI 8-hazard radar - Bosque County

Bosque County NRI risk profile 8-axis FEMA National Risk Index radar showing per-hazard scores for Earthquake 8, Flood 25, Hurricane 8, Tornado 48, Wildfire 25, Drought 25, Heat Wave 25, Winter Storm 25. The simple mean of these eight displayed scores is 24 of 100. Earthquake Flood Hurricane Tornado Wildfire Drought Heat Wave Winter Storm 24 8-hazard mean
Bosque County NRI risk profile FIPS 48035 · displayed-hazard mean 24/100
How to read this radar

Each axis: NRI risk rating (Very Low-Very High) on a 0-100 scale. Rounder = broad exposure; spiky = one or two hazards dominate.

FEMA Records

24

Above median

Major Disaster share

63%

Major-heavy

NRI risk score

37

Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Per-county per-hazard ratings, December 2025 release

How often does each hazard strike Bosque County?

FEMA's National Risk Index models a historical event count and an annualized frequency for each hazard type. Most hazards are expressed as modeled occurrences per year; FEMA expresses drought and heat-wave frequency as event-days per year. These modeled frequencies are not forecasts.

Hazard NRI Risk Rating Recurrence
Lightning Relatively High an average of 50 times per year
Wildfire Relatively Low roughly once every 189 years
Tornado Relatively Moderate roughly once every 1 years
Hail Relatively Low an average of 6.3 times per year
Heat Wave Relatively Low 14 modeled event-days per year
Hurricane Very Low roughly once every 36 years
Cold Wave Relatively Low roughly once every 1 years
Drought Relatively Low 61 modeled event-days per year
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low an average of 1.4 times per year
Ice Storm Very Low roughly once every 1 years
Landslide Very Low roughly once every 5 years
Strong Wind Relatively Low an average of 2.5 times per year
Earthquake Very Low roughly once every 1,996 years
Winter Weather Very Low an average of 3.3 times per year

Source: FEMA National Risk Index Modeled annualized frequency; drought and heat wave use event-days/year, December 2025 release

Disaster Types

Fire 6
Severe Storm 6
Flood 4
Hurricane 3
Severe Ice Storm 2
Biological 2
Drought 1

What Severe Storm declarations mean here

Severe Storm is the most frequent declaration type on Bosque County's record, 25% of its declarations. In FEMA's vocabulary this covers convective weather: thunderstorm straight-line winds, large hail, and the multi-day outbreaks that often carry embedded tornadoes. Activity is heaviest in spring and summer, though the season varies by region.

These events behave differently from a hurricane on paper. Damage tends to be distributed along a storm track rather than concentrated on a coastline, and a declaration typically follows an outbreak that crossed several counties over a few days, not a single point of impact. Because the qualifying threshold is the cost of uninsured public and individual losses rather than storm intensity, two similar storms can produce a declaration in one year and none in another.

Declaration counts describe past federal action. They are a record of what was declared, not a forecast of future hazard probability.

Declaration Types

What DR / EM / FM mean

FEMA categorizes declarations as Major Disasters (DR), Emergencies (EM), or Fire Management Assistance (FM).

Major Disaster - 15 62.5%

of all 24 declarations

Emergency - 7 29.2%

of all 24 declarations

Fire Management - 2 8.3%

of all 24 declarations

FEMA Declarations Timeline

Year Declarations
2024 1
2022 1
2021 2
2020 2
2016 3
2015 1
2011 2
2008 1
2007 1
2006 1
2005 3
1999 1
1998 1
1993 1
1992 1
Show 2 earlier declaration years
1990 1
1989 1

Disaster Declarations

How the 24 FEMA declarations break into federal action codes (DR / EM / FM). Same DISTINCT grain as the table below.

Download these 24 declarations as CSV . FEMA source data is public domain; our derived presentation is CC0.

DR# Title Type Incident Date
4781 SEVERE STORMS, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Flood 2024-05-17
5443 HARD CASTLE FIRE FM Fire 2022-07-07
4586 SEVERE WINTER STORMS DR Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-19
3554 SEVERE WINTER STORM EM Severe Ice Storm 2021-02-14
4485 COVID-19 PANDEMIC DR Biological 2020-03-25
3458 COVID-19 EM Biological 2020-03-13
4272 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2016-06-11
4269 SEVERE STORMS AND FLOODING DR Flood 2016-04-25
4245 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-11-25
4223 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2015-05-29
4029 WILDFIRES DR Fire 2011-09-09
2870 BIG TRICKLE RANCH FIRE FM Fire 2011-03-12
3284 WILDFIRES EM Fire 2008-03-14
1709 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES, AND FLOODING DR Severe Storm 2007-06-29
1624 EXTREME WILDFIRE THREAT DR Fire 2006-01-11
1606 HURRICANE RITA DR Hurricane 2005-09-24
3261 HURRICANE RITA EM Hurricane 2005-09-21
3216 HURRICANE KATRINA EVACUATION EM Hurricane 2005-09-02
3142 EXTREME FIRE HAZARDS EM Fire 1999-09-01
1239 TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY DR Severe Storm 1998-08-26
Show 4 earlier declaration records
DR# Title Type Incident Date
3113 EXTREME FIRE HAZARD EM Drought 1993-09-10
930 SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS DR Flood 1991-12-26
863 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1990-05-02
828 SEVERE STORMS, TORNADOES & FLOODING DR Severe Storm 1989-05-19

Storm Events in Texas

Statewide NOAA context only. PlainHazard does not currently attribute these state totals to Bosque County.

Storm Type Events Fatalities Injuries Property Damage
Hail 14,072 0 15 $7.4B
Thunderstorm Wind 10,293 41 141 $369.9M
Drought 7,032 0 0 $86.0K
Flash Flood 4,728 338 24 $47.6B
Heat 4,079 119 405 $0

Source: NOAA Storm Events Database State-level aggregated data, 2015-2025

NFIP Flood Insurance Claims

Total Claims

43

Total Paid

$1.5M

Avg Per Claim

$34.8K

Source: FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA Claims Data

FEMA National Risk Index

Overall Risk

Very Low

Score: 36.9/100

Expected Annual Loss

Very Low

$9.1M/year

Social Vulnerability

Relatively High

Community Resilience

Relatively Low

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Lightning Relatively High
Wildfire Relatively Low
Tornado Relatively Moderate
Hail Relatively Low
Heat Wave Relatively Low
Hurricane Very Low
Cold Wave Relatively Low
Drought Relatively Low
Riverine Flooding Relatively Low
Ice Storm Very Low
Landslide Very Low
Strong Wind Relatively Low
Earthquake Very Low
Winter Weather Very Low

Source: FEMA National Risk Index (NRI) Ratings reflect relative scores among all US counties. Data: hazards.fema.gov/nri

The model's sharpest exposure here: Lightning

Lightning is modeled as a high-frequency, low-per-event hazard: strike counts are large, but each strike affects a very small area. Its aggregate cost accumulates through structure fires, electrical and electronic damage, and it is one of the few hazards whose risk is essentially continuous through the season rather than episodic.

For Bosque County the two measures on this page point the same way: Lightning is the county's highest-rated modeled hazard (Relatively High), and Severe Storm declarations also lead its federal record. Where the model and the declaration history agree, the reading is comparatively straightforward, the hazard is both expected and repeatedly realised.

National Risk Index ratings are modeled estimates of expected annual loss, not predictions of what will happen in any given year.

Data-matched county comparisons

Bosque County's closest FEMA peer: Watauga County, NC

Comparisons use published FEMA declaration fields plus the National Risk Index composite for Bosque County. Record similarity, not a safety rating.

How these peers are chosen

Cohort: Published U.S. county equivalents outside the source state or territory. Each metric keeps six ETL candidates; three unique destinations are shown after de-duplicating across axes. Declaration-volume ranking combines count and Major-disaster share and prefers a different leading incident type; Major-share ranks the Major fraction adjusted for volume; NRI ranks the modeled composite score only.

Retained FEMA snapshot feed for Bosque County - capture-dated entries only.

Compare beyond this state

Nationwide peers by NRI score & FEMA declaration volume

Two PlainHazard-derived comparison paths for Bosque County: nearest out-of-state National Risk Index composite and nearest FEMA declaration count (floor ≥5 records). Record similarity only, not a forecast of the next hazard.

Further reading for this county

Most disaster-prone counties

With 24 FEMA declarations, Bosque County sits in the high-volume declaration band - see how that count ranks against other U.S. counties.

More PlainHazard guides

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most common disaster type in Bosque County?
The most common disaster type in Bosque County is Severe Storm, with 6 declarations. Other disaster types include Fire (6), Flood (4), Hurricane (3).
How does Bosque County's FEMA declaration record compare with the Texas average?
FEMA lists 24 declaration records for Bosque County. That is 15% above the Texas county mean of 20.9. Its count is also 16% above the national county mean of 20.7. A larger declaration history records more federal actions; it is not a forecast of the county's next hazard.
How many major FEMA disaster declarations has Bosque County received?
Bosque County has received 15 major disaster declarations, representing 63% of all 24 disaster declarations.
How many flood insurance claims has Bosque County filed?
Bosque County has 43 National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims totaling $1.5M in payments, with an average of $34.8K per claim.
Does FEMA's top risk-rated hazard match the highest Expected Annual Loss in Bosque County?
No. In Bosque County, Lightning has the highest National Risk Index rating (Relatively High), while Riverine Flooding leads Expected Annual Loss at about $3.8M. FEMA's risk score and dollar-loss model use different inputs, so the leaders often differ.
What was the worst year for disasters in Bosque County?
The most active year for disaster declarations in Bosque County was 2005, with 3 declarations. The county has FEMA disaster data spanning 1989 to 2024.
What is the FEMA National Risk Index score for Bosque County?
According to the FEMA National Risk Index, Bosque County, Texas has an overall risk score of 36.9 out of 100 (Very Low). Social vulnerability here rates Relatively High, while community resilience comes in at Relatively Low. The Expected Annual Loss (EAL) score is Very Low, representing $9.1M in annualized losses.
Which natural hazard poses the greatest risk to Bosque County?
FEMA's NRI data points to Bosque County as of the latest release is Lightning (risk rating: Relatively High). Other significant hazards include Wildfire (Relatively Low) and Tornado (Relatively Moderate). FEMA's modeled event frequency puts lightning here at an average of 50 times per year, drawn from 94,425 historical events on record. These scores are based on FEMA's analysis of historical event frequency, exposed assets, and community vulnerability.
Data Sources & Methodology

Disaster declaration data comes from the FEMA OpenFEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries v2 API, which includes all federally declared disasters, emergencies, and fire management assistance grants.

Storm event data is sourced from the NOAA Storm Events Database (2015-2025), which tracks significant weather events including thunderstorms, tornadoes, floods, and winter storms.

Flood insurance data comes from the FEMA National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) OpenFEMA claims dataset.

This data is provided for informational purposes only. FEMA disaster declarations represent federal response actions and may not capture all local emergencies or weather events.

FEMA OpenFEMA declarations + NRI for Bosque County · vintage 2026-08-25 · Methodology · Texas profile · Verify with FEMA OpenFEMA · Verify with NOAA Storm Events